Bitcoin – Why BTC is not in a price bubble, despite recent volatility

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-08-02Last updated on 2025-08-02

Key takeaways

Bitcoin is rising steadily without signs of a speculative bubble, staying above its long-term trend. Most selling is coming from short-term holders. Market indicators show a cautious but stable outlook.


Bitcoin [BTC] is growing steadily, without the wild price spikes we’ve seen in past bull runs. It’s staying above its long-term growth trend, but not in a bubble.

Most of the recent selling has come from short-term traders, not long-time holders, which means newer investors are driving the ups and downs.

Meanwhile, the broader market seems to be settling into a more mature phase.

BTC grows in line with Power Law theory, avoids bubble territory

A recent report by Arab Chain on CryptoQuant highlighted how Bitcoin is closely tracking its long-term growth pattern based on the Power Law theory.

This model suggests that Bitcoin’s price increases over time in a logarithmic, predictable way – forming a steady upward curve rather than spiking irrationally.

bitcoinbitcoin

Source: Cryptoquant Quicktake

The Power Law divergence indicator measures how far the current price is from this expected trajectory.

When comparing past Bitcoin cycles to the current one, it’s evident that the price has not yet entered bubble territory and may still have room to grow. 

According to the latest reading, Bitcoin is positioned above its long-term trendline but still well below the overheated “top watch” zone(red).

This shows disciplined, organic growth and leaves room for further upside.

STHs are driving market volatility

On-chain data from Glassnode showed that 85.5% of Bitcoin’s spent volume over the last 24 hours came from STHs, amounting to $18.24 billion.

In contrast, LTHs only accounted for $3.10 billion, or 14.5% of total spent volume.

bitcoinbitcoin

Source: Glassnode

This imbalance indicates that the current wave of selling is being led by recent entrants, not long-standing believers. So long-term conviction in Bitcoin remains intact.

Stable, but indicators show mixed signals

At press time, Bitcoin hovered around $113,545 after a brief pullback from recent highs near $118K.

The daily RSI dropped to 42.91, showing weakening bullish momentum but not yet entering oversold territory. The OBV also trended downward, reflecting a reduction in buying pressure over the past week.

Source: TradingView

While the price managed a slight uptick during the latest daily session, market momentum remains cautious.

The overall pattern suggests that Bitcoin was cooling off from its recent rally, but not breaking down; in line with the narrative of a disciplined, maturing market.

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What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

582 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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