ETH冲击 2.9 万美元:机会还是陷阱?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-05-14Last updated on 2025-05-14

Abstract

6 个月的清算热图显示,2.9 万美元区域是一个强磁区,应该很快就会拉高以太坊的价格。

  • 以太坊强势反弹,打破了五个月的下跌趋势
  • 最大的山寨币的势头刺激了市场进入看涨狂潮
  • 以太坊[ETH]领涨山寨币,五天内上涨47%。在此期间,BTC上涨了7.9%。不出所料,比特币的主导地位在六天内从65.36%下降到62.38%。同期,山寨币市场规模增加了2320亿美元。

Pectra 的升级不仅吸引了散户投资者,还见证了巨额资金涌入中心化交易所所带来的抛售压力。

以太坊接近 50% 回撤位——突破,或者……

OBV 全年一直呈稳步下降趋势。但过去一个月情况有所转变,OBV 的趋势逆转表明买家占据主导地位。CMF 也认同这一结论。

其读数为+0.25,表明大量资金流入市场。MFY指标也呈上升趋势,显示看涨势头和资金流动。然而,该指标在1日图上尚未形成看跌背离。

因此,以太坊还有更大的上涨空间。基于2025年下跌趋势绘制的斐波那契水平显示,50%的水平(2,774美元)已近在咫尺。

清算图突显了空头清算开销的缺乏。高杠杆多头仓位尚未平仓,跌至 2.4 万美元和 2.5 万美元将导致许多仓位被清仓。

这意味着交易员应该警惕向南的流动性追逐。

6 个月的清算热力图显示,2.9 万美元区域是一个强磁区。ETH 迟早会跌至这一水平,但突破这一水平并非必然。

看涨的比特币 [BTC]和宏观经济条件可能需要与 ETH 上涨至 2.900 美元保持一致,以催化突破 3000 美元的心理阻力位。

1个月清算热力图显示,以太坊在5月初于1.8万美元附近盘整,在1.9万美元时触发短期清算,随后进一步上涨。最近几天也出现了类似但强度较低的模式。

流动性已在 2.7K 美元区域附近积累,ETH 已占据部分份额。未来几天或几周,市场可能在 2.8K 美元下方进一步盘整,之后出现反弹。

与此同时,由于近期鲸鱼抛售活动有所增加,交易员和投资者可能会考虑获利了结,并为潜在的回调做好准备。

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