Raydium反击pump.fun,meme返场季谁能笑到最后?

Odaily星球日报Published on 2025-04-17Last updated on 2025-04-17

Abstract

昔日盟友,如今都盯上了对方碗里的肉。

原创 | Odaily星球日报(@OdailyChina

作者|Azuma(@azuma_eth

Raydium反击pump.fun,meme返场季谁能笑到最后?

4 月 16 日,Raydium 官方宣布已正式推出代币发行平台 LaunchLab,允许用户通过该平台快速发行代币,并在代币流动性达到一定规模(85 SOL)后自动迁移至 Raydium AMM。显然,这是 Raydium 对来势汹汹的 pump.fun 的直接反击。

Raydium反击pump.fun,meme返场季谁能笑到最后?

Raydium 与 pump.fun 的“恩怨局”

Raydium 与 pump.fun 的敌对由来并不算久,在 Solana 生态的上一轮 meme 爆发周期中,双方曾经还算是“盟友”。

在 pump.fun 的早期设计中,代币发行需经过“内盘”、“外盘”两个阶段 —— 代币发行后将先进入“内盘”交易阶段,该依赖于 pump.fun 协议自身的 Bonding Curve 进行撮合,待交易量达到 69000 美元时则会进入“外盘”交易阶段,届时流动性将迁移至 Raydium,在该 DEX 上建池并继续开放交易。

然而,pump.fun 于 3 月 21 日宣布推出自建 AMM DEX 产品 PumpSwap,自此之后 pump.fun 代币在进入“外盘”时流动性将不再迁移至 Raydium,而是会导向 PumpSwap —— 此举直接截断了 pump.fun 向 Raydium 的导流路径,进而削减后者的交易量及费用收入。

Dune 数据显示,尽管上线时间不足一月,但 PumpSwap 的交易量规模(下图绿色部分)如今已占据了 Solana 生态约 15% 的市场份额,虽然 Raydium(下图紫色部分)仍占据着市占率头名的位置,但显然也承受到了压力。

Raydium反击pump.fun,meme返场季谁能笑到最后?

LaunchLab:Raydium 的反击

眼看着自己的“领地”被 pump.fun 借 PumpSwap 逐步蚕食,Raydium 自然不愿意坐以待毙。LaunchLab 的上线可被视为 Raydium 朝向 pump.fun “领地”进军的开始,双方之间的竞争关系自此进一步升级。

结合 LaunchLab 的官方文档来看,该平台与提供了完备的代币发行及流动性冷启动服务。LaunchLab 支持两种代币发行模式 —— JustSendit 模式采用了精简、标准的联合曲线(bonding curve)设置;LaunchLab 模式则允许发行方自定义供应设定、募资总额、分发曲线、解锁状况等多项参数。

相较于 pump.fun,LaunchLab 最大的特点在于其架构支持第三方集成,这使得外部团队和平台能够在 LaunchLab 生态系统内创建和管理自己的启动环境。换句话说,也就是第三方可以依赖于 LaunchLab 的底层技术(重点是流动性池仍留在 LaunchLab 和 Raydium),推出独立的代币启动前端。

目前整个 LaunchLab 生态的龙头代币 TIME 正是通过第三方启动平台 cook.meme 发行,该代币为整个 LaunchLab 生态的首个发射代币,市值暂报 570 万美元;而通过 LaunchLab 自身 UI 发射的第一个代币则是 AURA,目前市值暂报 15 万美元。 

  • Odaily 注:meme 代币行情波动较大,请投资者谨慎参与。

谁能笑到最后?

作为当前 Solana 生态 meme 市场的两大重点级角色,pump.fun 和 Raydium 分别“统治”了代币发行一端和流动性池一端,如今双方均把触手伸向了对方的“领地”。

就当前的竞争状况来看,PumpSwap 凭借接近 15% 的市占率已在一定程度上让 Raydium 吃了痛,而上线仅一日的 LaunchLab 由于仍未冲出足够具备影响力的“金狗”,暂时还并未让 pump.fun 的位置有所晃动。不过,这也并不意味着 pump.fun 已可宣告胜利,原因大致有以下三点。

  • 一是在 LaunchLab 上线首日,Raydium 的交易量占比已从 34% 左右回升至 60% ,说明 LaunchLab 已吸引到了一定的资金关注,虽暂时缺乏代表性代币,但这一启动并不算失败。

Raydium反击pump.fun,meme返场季谁能笑到最后?

  •  二是相较于“赚了就砸”的 pump.fun,相对更“正统”且拿过 Solana 基金会直接投资的 Raydium 吃相应不至于那么难看,未来可能会得到 Solana 基金会方面的一定资源倾斜。

  • 第三点则是最为重要的原因,当下 meme 市场的用户交易大多是通过 GMGN 等聚合交易平台完成。pump.fun 也好、Raydium 也罢,并不常直面用户,用户对于后端发行平台、流动性池的感知其实并不明显 —— 虽然目前 pump.fun 对各平台的集成进度显然处于领先,但对于各大平台来说,出于竞争考虑必然会尽快添加对 LaunchLab 的支持。在这一模式下,财富效应将是决定用户选择的关键 —— 简而言之,哪里的代币更能涨,资金就会流向哪里。

因此我个人倾向的结论是,当下 pump.fun 具备一定先手进攻的优势,同时双方都尚未形成足够稳固的护城河,因此谁能笑到最后仍未可知。

此外需要强调的是,这一切的前提都取决于 meme 市场的整体环境变化。回看 pump.fun 和 Raydium 之间的关系演变,早年在 meme 市场处于增量发展阶段时也曾“你侬我侬”,但随着赛道熄火、利润缩减,双方很自觉地都盯上了对方碗里的蛋糕。眼下 meme 市场有一定复苏态势,但暂时仍不确定能否重现上一轮的盛况,若市场环境再次转冷,双方后续的日子可能都不太好过。

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