Avalanche(AVAX)维持下行趋势,空头仍占据主导地位

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-03-17Last updated on 2025-03-17

Abstract

短线交易者可考虑在 $21 附近做空,目标看向 $14.46。

在 3 月初,Avalanche(AVAX)曾被预测将迎来 10% 反弹,但整体下行趋势仍将延续。如今,这一走势已经兑现。

随后,分析预计 AVAX 将跌至 $14,而实际价格在一周后跌至 $15.2。目前,AVAX 的空头趋势仍然占据主导,需求不足,无法扭转市场结构,而上方阻力依旧强劲。

对于波段交易者而言,短期内寻找做空机会或观望可能是更好的选择。

AVAX 仍面临较强下行压力

自 2 月 24 日以来,AVAX 再度下跌 14%,此前的 11 月涨幅已被完全回吐。

交易量在下跌期间保持较高水平,表明市场抛压较大。

短期均线(20、50 日均线)呈现下行趋势,20 日均线(目前在 $20.29)已连续两周作为动态阻力,压制价格反弹。

关键阻力区域:

$20-$21.7:此区域为空头订单区间,卖方可能会在此阻挡价格反弹。

$20.5-$22.1:为高成交量区间,由固定区间成交量分布(Fixed Range Volume Profile)工具确定,增强了该区域的阻力强度。

$24.95:日线结构的最近低高点,若价格日线收盘站上此位,市场结构才可能转向看涨,但目前来看可能性较低。

潜在支撑目标:

$14.46:斐波那契 23.6% 延展位,可能成为短期下跌目标。

交易策略展望

短线交易者可考虑在 $21 附近做空,目标看向 $14.46。

若价格突破**$22.15**,则空头思路失效,需重新评估市场方向。

目前来看,AVAX 短期仍处于空头趋势,交易者需密切关注 BTC 走势及市场整体情绪。

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