Почему Ethereum может быть готов к прорыву выше $3 500

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2023-12-24Last updated on 2025-01-24

Ethereum (ETH) торгуется в боковом тренде более месяца, и его цена остается ниже ключевого уровня сопротивления $3 500

Ончейн-данные показывают, что Ethereum может переломить текущий боковой тренд. Разбираемся, какие индикаторы указывают на возможный бычий прорыв ETH.

Время хранения Ethereum увеличивается

Ончейн-данные показали резкий рост времени удержания всех токенов ETH, участвующих в транзакциях за последние семь дней. По данным IntoTheBlock, это время увеличилось на 55% за отчетный период.

Время хранения монет показывает среднюю продолжительность времени, в течение которого токены остаются в кошельках перед продажей или перемещением. Длительное удержание отражает более сильную уверенность инвесторов. Они предпочитают хранить свои монеты, а не избавляться от них. Это может снизить давление продаж на рынке Ethereum и повысить цену.

Время удержания ETH. Источник: IntoTheBlock

Кроме того, ставка финансирования ETH остается положительной, несмотря на колебания цены в диапазоне в недавние недели. На момент написания она составляет 0,019%.

Этот механизм обеспечивает баланс между длинными и короткими позициями на рынке бессрочных фьючерсных контрактов. Положительные значения указывают на доминирование длинных позиций и означают, что цена контракта превышает спотовую цену. Это значит, что больше трейдеров покупают монету с расчетом продажи по более высокой цене и готовы платить премию за поддержание длинных позиций. Между тем отрицательная ставка указывает на то, что большинство трейдеров ожидает снижения цены.

Ставка финансирования Ethereum. Источник: Santiment

Несмотря на боковое движение цены, стабильно положительные значения ставки финансирования указывают на то, что больше трейдеров ставят на рост цены. Это сигнал о бычьих настроениях.

Читайте также: Джастин Сан предложил четыре идеи для развития Ethereum

Прогноз ETH: прорыв $3 516 или риск отката

Уменьшение распродаж может подтолкнуть Ethereum выше сопротивления на $3 516. Если цена успешно преодолеет этот ключевой уровень, она сможет подняться до $3 684.

Анализ цены ETH. Источник: TradingView

Однако если этот бычий тренд забуксует, монета может вернуться в узкий диапазон или упасть к поддержке на $3 210.

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