Delphi Digital 2025十大预测:DeFi向DeAI演进,NFT卷土重来

Odaily星球日报Published on 2025-01-16Last updated on 2025-01-16

Abstract

揭示加密货币行业未来可能的演进方向。

原文作者:Delphi Digital

原文编译:Yuliya,PANews

在加密货币领域, 2025 年被认为是一个充满创新与变革的关键年份。随着技术的不断发展和市场环境的变化,多个领域预计将迎来巨大的突破和机会。从比特币的牛市延续到 Solana 的崛起,再到 DeFi 向 DeAI 的转型, 2025 年的加密市场将呈现出前所未有的多样化趋势。本文将探讨 Delphi Digital 所预测的十大市场趋势,揭示加密货币行业未来可能的演进方向。

1.比特币 (BTC) 仍有上涨空间

Delphi Digital 的周期模型曾预测比特币将在 2024 年第四季度创下新高。目前比特币走势与预测一致。

每次新的历史高点都伴随着月度 RSI 突破 70 的现象,而此前的牛市通常在 RSI 超过 90 后才结束。

根据月度价格回归通道,比特币仍低于标志顶部的 1-2 个标准差范围。

机构兴趣增加和监管环境放松可能是本轮牛市的主要驱动力。

Delphi Digital 2025十大预测:DeFi向DeAI演进,NFT卷土重来

2.Solana 崭露头角

Solana 将继续优于以太坊,原因主要是其卓越的用户体验和更好的内容生态。

无需批准代币或包裹代币,Solana 的操作简单直观。

Solana 虚拟机 (SVM) 是增长最快的替代虚拟机(alt-vm)生态系统,其网络效应不断增强。同时,Anza、Firedancer 和改进的钱包基础设施将进一步优化用户体验。

Solana 联合创始人 Anatoly Yakovenko 的愿景是通过增加带宽、减少延迟,让 Solana 即使面对更多竞争也能保持优势。

Delphi Digital 2025十大预测:DeFi向DeAI演进,NFT卷土重来

3.NFT 卷土重来

NFT 市场将经历情绪与基本面不符的强势复苏。

尽管代币交易更方便,但 NFT 可以实现链上唯一性编码,异质资产(如艺术品、葡萄酒等)可能会被 NFT 化。

一些重大财富创造事件(如 PudgyPenguins、Milady 和 Azuki 的空投)可能引发其他 NFT 项目效仿。

NFT 对零售用户更友好,适合展示文化和身份地位。Delphi Digital 2025十大预测:DeFi向DeAI演进,NFT卷土重来

4.去中心化金融 (DeFi) 向 DeAI 演进

DeAI 将从根本上改变用户与 DeFi 的交互方式。

前端界面将被智能代理取代,用户可通过自然语言处理完成交易、换汇和收益搜索等操作。

未来,大多数资本分配决策将由代理完成。griffain 是这方面的先行者,但 HeyAnon 等 DeAI 项目正在迅速崛起。

Delphi Digital 2025十大预测:DeFi向DeAI演进,NFT卷土重来

5.AI 代理成为顶级加密风险投资者

交易的未来将由 AI 代理主导,而非人类对手盘。

代理可以全天候监控市场并处理更多数据,交易将演变为计算能力和独特数据集的竞争。

到 2025 年,至少三个代理框架将成为市值超过 100 亿美元的独角兽企业。Delphi Digital 2025十大预测:DeFi向DeAI演进,NFT卷土重来

6.高吞吐量链推动创新

高吞吐量区块链将在 2025 年带来更多实验与机会。

值得关注的主要项目包括 Hyperliquid、Sui 和 Monad,但 Berachain 等其他链也具有潜力。

MegaETH 预计将与二层网络竞争市场份额,而非直接与一层网络竞争。

7.DePin 迎来复苏

一个大型 DePin 项目如果实现自给自足,可能引发该领域的整体重新评估,并推动「基本面」反弹。

DePin 在无线服务(Helium)、网络基础设施(DoubleZero)、地图服务(Hivemapper)、医疗保健和电网运营等领域具有颠覆潜力。

8.zkVM 将迎来变革性发展

zkVM 技术将提升各 Rollup 之间的互操作性,实现跨链无缝交互。

zkVM 还将扩大开发者市场,使开发者能够使用 Rust 等其他语言构建 zk 应用。Delphi Digital 2025十大预测:DeFi向DeAI演进,NFT卷土重来

9.AI 为 GameFi 打开新机遇

AI 开发工具将提高游戏开发者的生产能力。

像 InWorldAI 这样的项目正在开发 AI 驱动的 NPC 服务。

开源项目如 Virtuals.io 游戏框架以及 Eliza 与虚幻引擎和 Unity 的集成,可能成为 AI 游戏领域的革命性突破。

10.消费级 DeFi 是下一片蓝海

2025 年,链上金融将全面服务加密原住民。

zkTLS 将允许将 Web2 敏感数据带上链,同时保持隐私,从而实现个性化代理、信用评分等应用。

收益共享型稳定币将继续扩展,激励机制更好地在发行方和分销方之间对齐。

Delphi Digital 2025十大预测:DeFi向DeAI演进,NFT卷土重来

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