JPMorgan: Фонды на базе SOL и XRP могут обойти ETH-ETF в первые полгода после запуска

investing.ruPublished on 2025-01-14Last updated on 2025-01-14

GetBlock Magazine - Что произошло? По мнению аналитиков банка JPMorgan, новые биржевые продукты (ETP) на базе криптовалют, ожидающие одобрения Комиссии США по ценным бумагам и биржам (SEC), могут привлечь значительные инвестиции. Инвесторы ожидают появления на рынке первых спотовых биржевых фондов (ETF) на базе токена блокчейна Solana (SOL) и токена XRP от финтех-компании Ripple после инаугурации Дональда Трампа 20 января и начала работы новой дружественной к криптовалютам администрации.

Материал Cointelegraph

Что еще известно? В отчете от 13 января эксперты JPMorgan спрогнозировали, что фонды на базе SOL и XRP в первые полгода после одобрения могут превзойти по объему активов под управлением (AUM) аналогичные продукты на базе Ethereum.

Спотовые ETH-ETF были допущены на рынок в июле 2024 года, к настоящему моменту они накопили активы на 10,87 млрд долларов, что составляет 2,92% от рыночной капитализации второй по величине криптовалюты.

Эти результаты гораздо скромнее в сравнении со спотовыми биткоин-фондами, которые появились на ведущих американских фондовых биржах в начале 2024 года. Такие продукты собрали под управлением 105,05 млрд долларов или 5,67% капитализации первой криптовалюты.

Особенностью американских спотовых ETH-ETF является то, что SEC не разрешила эмитентам помещать купленные от имени инвесторов монеты в стейкинг, который принес бы дополнительную доходность.

Опираясь на индексы внедрения, в JPMorgan подсчитали, что SOL-фонды могут привлечь от 3 до 6 млрд долларов, тогда как приток XRP-фондов составит от 4 до 8 млрд.

Так, биткоин-ETF имеют 6%-й показатель принятия, поскольку они привлекли около 6% капитализации актива. Соответственно, для ETH-фондов показатель близок к 3%.

Вместе с тем аналитики отмечают, что спрос на альткоины среди инвесторов менее стабилен, что затрудняет прогнозирование эффективности новых фондов.

«За исключением нескольких основных токенов (BTC, ETH, SOL), эпизодический характер крипторынка обусловлен изменением настроений инвесторов и появлением новых трендовых монет, которые могут привлечь дополнительное внимание в течение ограниченного времени.Мы не считаем, что токены с такой ограниченной глубиной смогут стать основой для биржевых продуктов», — говорится в отчете.

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