Почему ралли ETH к $4 000 сталкивается с сопротивлением

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2023-06-07Last updated on 2025-01-07

Цена Ethereum (ETH) на прошлой неделе значительно выросла почти на двузначную величину и нацелилась на уровень $4 000

Надежды на устойчивый рост Ethereum (ETH) до $4 000 могут столкнуться с трудностями, так как на фьючерсном рынке наблюдается рост числа ордеров на продажу.

Продавцы Ethereum диктуют ценовые тренды

Данные CryptoQuant показывают рост числа ордеров на продажу на фьючерсном рынке ETH. Индикатор Taker Buy Sell Ratio с 4 января остается ниже единицы и сейчас составляет 0,84. Метрика показывает соотношение объема покупок и продаж актива, совершаемых участниками рынка, которые открывают рыночные ордера («тейкеры»).

Индикатор помогает определить текущее настроение на рынке и выяснить, кто доминирует: покупатели или продавцы. Значение больше 1 предполагает, что давление на покупку превышает объем продаж. Это может указывать на бычий рынок и вероятность роста цены. Если же значение меньше 1, на рынке преобладают продажи.

Растущее давление продаж может повлиять на цену ETH, возможно, стерев часть его недавних достижений.

Читайте также: Прогноз Ethereum на 2025 год

Метрика Taker Buy Sell Ratio. Источник: CryptoQuant

Кроме того, отрицательное взвешенное настроение подтверждает вероятность коррекции цены. Для Ethereum эта метрика с 17 декабря в основном остается отрицательной. На момент написания ее значение составляет -0,67.

Этот индикатор показывает общее настроение в отношении какого-либо актива, учитывая его полярность (положительное или отрицательное) и количество упоминаний в соцсетях. В случае с ETH, отрицательное взвешенное настроение может означать медвежьи условия на рынке.

Что говорят карты о перспективах биткоина (BTC) и Ethereum (ETH) в 2025 году: прогноз таролога

Взвешенное настроение по Ethereum. Источник: Santiment

Прогноз ETH: цель $4 000 кажется далекой

ETH сейчас торгуется чуть выше поддержки на $3 332. Если распродажи на фьючерсном рынке усилятся, этот уровень поддержки будет проверен на прочность. Пробой этой зоны может снизить цену до $2 509, что еще больше отдалит ее от цели на $4 000.

Анализ цены ETH. Источник: TradingView

С другой стороны, если продажи замедлятся и покупатели активизируются, это может подтолкнуть цену ETH выше $4 000, в направлении 4-летнего максимума $4 783.

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