比特币强势突破6.1万 FOMC会议纪要释放鸽派信号 9月降息在即?

币界网Published on 2024-08-22Last updated on 2024-08-22

币界网报道:

比特币再度以雷霆万钧之势强势上涨,如同一颗璀璨的超级巨星,一举冲破了 61000 美元的雄伟大关!这令人目瞪口呆的惊人涨势,极有极大可能与昨天美国劳动力市场数据的修正以及晚间美联储的会议纪要有着千丝万缕的紧密联系。

就在昨天,那可是一个充满震撼的时刻!就在美联储会议纪要即将公布的前夕,美国劳工统计局竟然发布了一项堪称石破天惊的数据修正!

在 2023 年 4 月至 2024 年 3 月这段时间里,新增就业人数如同遭遇了一场超级风暴般,大幅下调了令人难以置信的 81.8 万人!这一惊人的变化使得过去一年的就业增长率如同自由落体般骤降至仅仅 1.3%。

这就意味着,在这个时段内,美国的就业增长远远没有之前人们估算的那样强劲,简直弱爆了!

实际上,劳动力市场的降温仿佛一场突如其来的超级寒潮,或许比人们的预期来得更早,而且更加持久得让人胆战心惊!

这一情况让市场开始担忧其对于经济增长和通胀预期将会带来影响。

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美联储 FOMC 会议纪要尽显鸽派姿态:9 月极有可能降息!

彭博社重磅出击,带来惊人报道:在美联储政策委员会一致决定维持利率稳定之前,竟然有数名美联储官员在 7 月 30 日至 31 日的会议上公然承认,降息存在着极为合理的理由!

周三,在华盛顿发布的会议纪要如同神秘的预言书一般写道:“几位委员坚定地认为,近期通胀和失业率的飙升,为本次会议上将目标区间下调 25 个基点提供了无懈可击的合理依据,甚至他们本就完全可以支持这一重大决定。”

会议纪要中还惊爆提及:“绝大多数委员一致认定,如果数据继续如同魔法般与预期一致,那么在下次会议上放松政策那绝对是再合适不过的了。”

此次会议的记录就像一道耀眼的光芒,鲜明地凸显出政策制定者们仿佛突然顿悟,即便借贷成本仍处于令人咋舌的 20 年来高位,实现通胀和就业目标的风险如今竟然也大致相同,这简直不可思议!

美联储主席鲍威尔在 7 月 31 日的新闻发布会上郑重宣称,委员会热切希望在开始降息之前,人们能够 “超级有信心” 地相信通胀将奇迹般地达到 2% 的目标。

会议纪要宣称:“大多数与会者高呼,就业目标面临的风险如同凶猛的怪兽般急剧增加,而许多与会者则尖锐地指出,通胀目标面临的风险如同魔法消失般有所下降。

一些与会者更是惊恐地指出,劳动力市场状况进一步逐步放松极有可能会演变为极其严重的恶化,如同世界末日降临。” 此次讨论明确表明,委员会已然开始转向如同神秘魔法般的劳动力市场风险管理方法。

尽管 9 月份降息 25 个基点仅仅如同微小的涟漪标志着向正常化方向的小幅调整,但一些分析师疯狂表示,美联储必须以风驰电掣的速度加快降息步伐,否则美国经济就无法实现软着陆,那将是一场巨大的灾难!

摩根大通资产管理公司董事总经理兼投资组合经理 Priya Misra 激情澎湃地表示:“归根结底,美联储是否需要提前降息呢?

如果风险真的在于劳动力市场的可怕恶化,我坚定地认为应该以闪电般的速度加快降息速度,每次降息 50 个基点,直到如同回归圣地般回到中立区,然后才能更加谨慎地如同走钢丝般调整降息速度。”

期货市场仿佛有未卜先知的能力,预计今年剩余时间内利率将放松约 100 个基点,这简直让人难以置信!

美联储 9 月鸽派降息的这一展望信号,就如同宇宙中最强大的引擎,为加密货币市场提供了坚如磐石的买盘支撑。

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