分析师Benjamin Cowen发出警告称,是时候让Altcoins对比特币崩溃了

币界网Published on 2024-08-05Last updated on 2024-08-05

币界网报道:

一位备受关注的加密货币策略师认为,山寨币即将见证对比特币(BTC)的市场崩溃。

分析师Benjamin Cowen告诉他在社交媒体平台X上的839200名粉丝,altcoin持有者即将经历痛苦,因为他相信加密货币市场正在紧随2019年周期的脚步。

今年4月,Cowen对比了山寨币(TOTAL3)对比比特币的总市值,并表示该图表是2019年周期的复制品。

来源:本杰明·考恩/X

当时,Cowen预测,一旦ALT/BTC对崩溃,比特币将出现更大的回调,从而造成山寨币对美元投降的情况。

随着ALT/BTC图表突破支撑,分析师表示,市场“是时候”看到2019年周期的再次出现了。

“我们终于应该看到ALT/BTC货币对很快就会崩溃。上一个周期,它们在第一次降息前一个月就崩溃了,类似的事情也可能在这里发生。”

来源:本杰明·考恩/X

芝加哥商品交易所的FedWatch工具显示,100%的交易员和投资者预计美联储下个月将降息。

Cowen还预测,追踪BTC在加密货币总市值中所占比例的Bitcoin Dominance(BTC.D)将在山寨币得到一些缓解之前飙升至60%。

“随着一些指标闪烁衰退信号,这意味着美联储将很快开始降息,以尽量减少损失,并希望软着陆。

这意味着BTC的主导地位将很快达到顶峰(可能在2024年9月至12月之间的某个时候)。

但首先,60%的主导地位。”

在撰写本文时,BTC。D徘徊在56.73%,表明如果Cowen 2019年的比较保持不变,山寨币将不得不对比特币失去更多的价值。

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