创新技术无用、无脑梭哈Meme:本轮加密牛市的价值体系崩塌?

币界网Published on 2024-07-30Last updated on 2024-07-30

币界网报道:

尽管当前的加密货币市场正经历着一轮牛市,但一级市场的创新无用论和二级市场的“MEME一切”现象,令人对价值观产生了深深的质疑。为何在这个行业内,本应推动技术创新和价值创造的力量,似乎被无脑炒作和短期投机所取代?

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1. 创新乏力与市场麻木

创新失去吸引力

曾几何时,Crypto行业中的技术创新和新叙事是投资者和开发者追逐的热点。然而,近几个月来,市场情绪的变化让这些创新点变得黯然失色。可能是真创新乏力,也可能是重复的叙事让人麻木,或是一二级市场的联动脱节让人无感。无论原因如何,身处这个行业的人们,谈技术、叙事和商业等有价值的事物时,显得越来越无力。

强提精神,保持关注

尽管如此,为了避免被二级市场的情绪左右,仍需保持对技术和热点的关注。与一线开发者进行技术交流,与项目方深入沟通,能清晰感受到行业内流淌的创新活力。虽然这种努力在一些人看来可能只是为了“发币割韭菜”,但没有梦想的咸鱼生活更加令人难以忍受。

2. 价值观的扭曲

MEME文化与VC币的对立

当前市场的主旋律似乎是“高FDV”、“VC攒局”、“互不接盘”和“MEME一切”。从纯炒币的视角来看,所有虚拟货币都是MEME,只不过VC币通过叙事包装更容易找到长期价值,而纯MEME币则完全依赖短期市场情绪的博弈。长周期投资VC币需要承受涨得慢的煎熬,短周期投MEME币则要面对梭哈归零的风险。

不同路线的选择

每个投资者都有自己的选择,不必互相指责。选择VC币意味着承受长周期的煎熬,选择MEME币则要接受高风险的波动。庆幸的是,许多开发者依然坚守自己的信仰,选择了ETH、TON或Solana等生态。虽然这个过程充满了不确定性和挑战,但相比于MEME币的赌博,他们的选择更具有长期价值。

3. 行业的繁荣与挑战

行业的空前繁荣

BTC和ETH现货ETF双双通过,甚至曾经对Crypto不屑一顾的老政客川普都发出了让美国成为BTC超级大国的呐喊。行业内的资金、人才和项目达到了空前的繁荣阶段。只要不过于沉溺于交易本身,不被市场涨跌情绪裹挟,就很难对当前行业持消极态度。Crypto行业正逐渐打破过去几轮周期的小众感,与Web2快速融合,成为一个大行业。

内卷与成熟

随着开发者涌入、叙事变多、项目Token增多,玩法和选择也增多,价值项目和骗局也同时增加。这导致持币者财富增长变慢,频繁换仓交易的风险增多,炒币致富的难度也在增加。过去几轮炒币经验在当前环境下变得不再适用。虽然早期红利正在消失,但Web3行业的内卷和成熟是必经的过程。

结论

面对行业的快速变化和内卷,开发者和投资者都需要不断学习和适应。不能因为短期内的市场现象而错乱价值观,回归到所谓的“赌场本色”。Crypto行业的初衷不仅是为了赚钱,更是为了推动技术创新和价值创造。这个行业的未来依然充满希望,只要我们坚持信念,积极面对挑战,就能在大浪淘沙的过程中找到真正的价值。

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Warsh Hearing Concludes: What Are the Notable Signals for the Crypto Industry?

The Senate Banking Committee held a confirmation hearing for Judy Shelton, a Federal Reserve nominee, who faced intense questioning regarding her ability to maintain the central bank's independence amid pressure from President Trump to lower interest rates. Shelton denied any pre-arranged commitments on rate cuts and emphasized her independence, though Democrats remained skeptical, citing contradictions with Trump's public statements. Shelton characterized post-pandemic inflation as a major policy failure and called for a "regime change" in the Fed’s approach, including reforms to inflation measurement and communication strategies. She criticized the current practice of Fed officials frequently signaling future rate moves and did not commit to maintaining post-meeting press conferences, suggesting potential reductions in transparency. Regarding crypto markets, Shelton’s extensive investments in digital asset companies—including Solana, DeFi, and blockchain infrastructure—were noted, though she has pledged to divest these holdings due to ethics rules. Her familiarity with the crypto industry and deregulatory leanings may signal a more open, though cautious, stance toward digital assets. However, concerns were raised about potential conflicts of interest, especially given Trump family involvement in crypto-financial ventures. The timing of her confirmation remains uncertain, pending a Justice Department investigation into current Chair Powell. Shelton’s potential leadership could lead to a more hawkish, productivity-focused Fed with tighter policy communication—factors that may significantly influence liquidity conditions and macro narratives for crypto markets.

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Warsh Hearing Concludes: What Are the Notable Signals for the Crypto Industry?

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