盘点下半年值得关注的7大潜力叙事

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-07-25Last updated on 2024-07-25

Abstract

在接下来的半年里,宏观经济条件和机构的采用将是塑造加密货币未来发展的关键。

原文作者:Pink Brains

原文编译:深潮 TechFlow

2024 年上半年,比特币的主导地位、去中心化 AI、DePIN 的使用、Solana 的崛起和 ETH 质押成为了市场的主要亮点。

盘点下半年值得关注的7大潜力叙事

DeFi 的各个子领域也在新的收益来源、空投热潮和 meme 币的推动下蓬勃发展。

展望下半年,有 7 个潜在的趋势值得关注。在 2024 年初,我们预测了 12 个关键趋势和想法,以迎接新的牛市浪潮。其中大多数已经成为顶级加密货币的热点话题,价格走势、活跃用户、链上指标、开发者和融资活动都出现了大幅增长。

经过 6 个月,市场情绪和宏观环境都发生了变化。现在是时候关注今年剩余时间和 2025 年初的新催化剂了。

首先,你可能需要准备一杯咖啡,并将这篇文章收藏以备后用,这将是一段充满波动的旅程。

在接下来的半年里,宏观经济条件和机构的采用将是塑造加密货币未来发展的关键。

美国宏观经济条件

在经历了两年创纪录的高利率后,第一次降息可能会在 9 月进行。 11 月的美国总统大选,预测市场预计唐纳德·特朗普将再次当选。 这两者都可能成为年底加密货币市场的有利因素。

持续的机构采用

在批准美国现货 BTC ETF 后,SEC 又批准了几只现货 ETH ETF 的上市,这为全年的市场走势定下了基调。 我们预计机构将深入探索 DeFi、基础设施、AI 和消费应用。

考虑到这些因素,这里有 7 个我们认为在 2024 年剩余时间和 2025 年初值得关注的激动人心的领域。

1. 比特币的可扩展性和 DeFi

比特币市场正在通过 ETF 和 Ordinals、BRC-20 s 以及 Runes 等加密原生方式扩展。然而,可扩展性问题日益突出。 @Stacks @citrea_xyz @MerlinLayer 2  @BitlayerLabs @BSquaredNetwork 正在致力于 BTC 的二层解决方案。

早期的比特币 DeFi 玩家包括 @bounce_bit @babylon_chain @SolvProtocol @MezoNetwork

盘点下半年值得关注的7大潜力叙事

2. 所有权经济应用

区块链技术使用户能够重新掌控个人数据、创意内容和计算资源的主权。这些应用与 AI 和机器学习的兴起高度协同。两个值得关注的领域是:

DePin: @AethirCloud @ionet @rendernetwork @Hivemapper

DeSoc:@farcaster_xyz @LensProtocol

盘点下半年值得关注的7大潜力叙事

3. 现实世界资产

尽管降息在即,但我们预计 RWAs 将受益于相对较高的利率环境。专注于代币化国债的项目: @OndoFinance@MountainUSDM 、@tangibleDAO@MakerDAO

机构和普通借贷: @maplefinance

盘点下半年值得关注的7大潜力叙事

除了 RWAs,支持基础设施如预言机(@PythNetwork@chainlink)、去中心化身份、互操作性(@LayerZero_Labs@wormhole)和用于数据隐私的全同态加密(FHE)(@mindnetwork_xyz@zama_fhe)也有望获得发展动力。

4. Web3 游戏

Web3 游戏正在各个类型中崭露头角,从像 @thenotcoin 这样的点击赚钱超休闲游戏到设计精良的 @ParallelTCG@pixels_online@playSHRAPNEL@PirateNation

一个强大且可持续的游戏内经济体系和完全链上运行的游戏将是 Web3 游戏的下一个重大飞跃。

盘点下半年值得关注的7大潜力叙事

5. 抽象化用户体验

目前的加密用户体验分散且复杂,涉及超过 100 个多链环境。用户在管理钱包、与 dApp 互动以及跨区块链处理资产时面临诸多挑战。

账户抽象和 Paymaster 已成为新的用户入门标准。

但这只是开始。

在接下来的 6-9 个月内,预计在链抽象方面会有新的进展:包括密钥管理、Gas 抽象、交易抽象和跨链互操作性。

请关注以下关键项目:@ParticleNtwrk@NEARProtocol@EverclearOrg@burnt_xion@lifiprotocol

盘点下半年值得关注的7大潜力叙事

6. DeFi 子领域

广泛的市场反弹将为 DeFi 带来大量资金流入。虽然我们还没有看到类似“Uniswap 时刻”的重大事件,但一些 DeFi 子领域显现出强劲的增长势头。

盘点下半年值得关注的7大潜力叙事

7. 新基础设施

基础设施领域筹集了超过 25.8 亿美元的资本,成为风险投资中最大的类别,显示了风投对扩展解决方案、互操作性、模块化和新区块链基础设施的浓厚兴趣。

一些顶级融资项目包括:@monad_xyz@berachain

盘点下半年值得关注的7大潜力叙事盘点下半年值得关注的7大潜力叙事

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464 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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