Telegram Bot赛道为何能爆火?未来如何发展?

PanewsPublished on 2023-09-17Last updated on 2023-09-18

Abstract

Telegram Bot具备一定实用价值,其炒作预期也更为有前景。

作者:比推Asher Zhang
据Coingerk数据显示,Unibot代币 UNIBOT 从 5 月份的 3 美元一路冲至 7 月 24 日最高点 148 美元,涨幅约 50 倍。从最近数据看,Banana Gun 和 MaestroBot 当前用户量均已超过 Unibot,尤其是 Banana Gun因代币预售公告而热度大增。在加密市场整体低迷的背景下,Telegram bot赛道却持续火热,那么为什么Telegram bot会大热?Telegram bot赛道大热的背后原因是什么?Telegram bot赛道未来将如何发展?

Telegram Bot赛道为何能爆火?未来如何发展?


市场低迷,Unibot突起带火bot赛道
Telegram Bot 是在 Telegram 上提供各种 DeFi 交易工具的机器人,输入钱包助记词后可为用户执行某些指令,例如代币交换、跟单交易、分析、自动刷空投交易、资产跨链等自动操作。交易Bot赛道最开始的龙头是MaestroBot,在相当一段时间其表现其实一般,数据统计显示,在 2022 年 11 月至 12 月,MaestroBot 日均收入约为 4-5 ETH, 2023 年 1 月-2 月在 6-10 ETH 波动。
但是伴随Unibot入局,Unibot改变了MaestroBot经济模式,从而推动Bot赛道火热。最初Bot赛道龙头MaestroBot的经济机制是收取使用费,但是Unibot加入了新的代币经济模式,使得Telegram Bot赛道走向火热。Unibot获得收入主要有两种方式,分别是机器人交易手续费 (Bot Fee) 和原生代币 UNIBOT 的交易税。前者,Unibot 对每笔交易收取 1% 的手续费,其中 40% 分配给代币持有人;后者指所有 UNIBOT 代币交易需要缴纳 5% 的税收, 1% 的交易量分配给代币持有人,且代币持有余额需大于 50 UNIBOT 才有资格获取收入分成奖励。
Unibot的经济机制改造获得巨大成功,获得行业大V认可,Telegram Bot赛道造富效应持续扩大。据Coingerk数据显示,Unibot代币 UNIBOT 从 5 月份的 3 美元一路冲至 7 月 24 日最高点 148 美元,涨幅约 50 倍。随后,加密行业 Bot 交易项目炒作热潮掀起,短时间内出现大量 Telegram Bot、Discord Bot 等交易机器人项目,Bot项目短期暴富效应明显,如帮助用户刷空投的机器人 Loot Bot 代币 LOOT 曾出现单日涨幅高达 4 倍。
对于Unibot等的大热,Coingecko联合创始人Bobby ONG 曾评价说道:将零售业引入加密货币的最大痛点之一是使用钱包和与 DeFi 协议交互太困难。几周前在体验过 Unibot 后,我想我现在知道下一波数十亿新用户将如何与加密货币进行交互。Unibot 的想法很简单——在 Telegram 上构建一个快速而简单的钱包,并与 DEX 紧密集成,以减少购买垃圾币和跟单交易者的风险。对我来说,现在在手机上进行 DeFi 交易确实容易太多了。

Telegram Bot赛道为何能爆火?未来如何发展?


Telegram Bot赛道为何能爆火
今年以来,上涨的主要因素其实都是技术创新背后的炒作热潮。今年上半年最主要的炒作热点无疑是比特币铭文。Dune数据显示,BRC-20协议从4月21日(当日占比4.1%)持续增长,非Ordinals协议占比84.2%;随后BRC-20协议大幅增长,最高占比达到65.3%。随后,市场中BRC-20的竞争者开始纷纷出现,比如,BRC-21、以及ORC-20等。
不同于BRC-20代币的纯Meme属性,Telegram Bot具备一定实用价值,其炒作预期也更为有前景。 Telegram 作为加密圈内使用最广泛的社交软件之一,对于很多新进入的用户,交易机器人等辅助交易工具具备很大市场需求。但从数据上看,Unibot的大热在很大程度上还是炒作的结果,而非实际用例的大爆发,因为市场整体处于熊市,交易仍较为疲弱。根据 Dune@whale_hunter 数据显示,Unibot 自 5 月份推出以来捕获的收入共有 3280 ETH,价值 608 万美元,共计完成了 8576 万美元的交易量。数据显示,Unibot 捕获费用的 80% 以上其实都是来源于原生代币 UNIBOT 的交易税收(用户每完成一笔 UNIBOT 代币交易需要支付 5% 交易税),仅有不到 20% 的收入是来源于其宣称的交易手续费。而 Unibot 交易机器人完成的交易币种多为 memecoin。
从近日爆火的Banana Gun 和 MaestroBot看,仍然是炒作的结果。Banana Gun 作为交易类 Bot 之一,与其他交易 Bot 的通用功能基本相似,并没有非常大的创新,与Unibot相比,其主要还是代币机制上的变化,总体上看还是新币炒作。 UNIBOT 的代币持有人需大于 50 UNIBOT 才有资格获取收入分成奖励。在Banana Gun的代币机制下,代币持有者可以在官方 DApp 上获得收入分成,即机器人收入(推荐后的 40% )和税收收入的 50% ;另外,用户通过 Banana Gun 来购买或阻击新盘时,可以获得一定数量的代币奖励。 MaestroBot作为龙头Telegram Bot还没有发币,市场预计其最终发币,市场中撸空投预期强烈。
Telegram BoT的主流项目盘点
Telegram BoT赛道发展较快,具体来看可以分为DeFi 类、数据分析类、空投埋伏交易类以及其他。
DeFi 类
Unibot(交易)、Banana Gun、WagieBot(交易和追踪)、Boltbot(交易)、 0 x Sniper(交易)、NitroBot(交易)、Xbot(自定义交易)、ASAP(Discord 专用)、SwipeBot($ETH、$ARB、$BSC 人工智能交易)、Bridge Bot(跨链)、AI DEV(AI 交易、代币发行)、All In(AI 交易)
数据分析类
Cipher Protocol(分析)、NeoBot(分析和跟踪)、Meowl(分析和工具套件)、 TokenBot (社交交易)、Trace AI(AI 分析)、Scarab Tools(分析)、BlackSmith(AI 分析)、TrackerPepeBot(AI 分析和合约安全检测)、DAGMI(跟踪)、First Sirius(分析)、The DIG(代币和 NFT 分析)、WallyBot(钱包分析)、
空投埋伏交易
Farmer Friends、LootBot、alfa.society(带有空投提示)
其他
EnigmaAI(可自定义 AI 在 CEX 进行交易)、NexAI(一堆 AI 工具)、 0 x 1 (多功能)、MagiBot(隐私)
Telegram赛道项目众多,下面就一些有特色的项目进行简单介绍。UniBot 提供限价订单、镜像狙击等功能,SwipeBot 侧重易用,OxSniper 具备反 MEV 防护等; LootBot通过自动参与空投并收割,解决了手动收割空投低效的问题,具有一定的创新性;GenieBot 利用 AI 技术回答用户提出的各种加密知识问题。

Telegram Bot赛道为何能爆火?未来如何发展?


Telegram Bot赛道的发展趋势预测
对于Tlegram Bot未来的发展趋势,市场整体非常看好,下面整理一些大V的观点,供读者参考。
加密分析师Asher表示,Bot赛道未来潜在的几个获利方向有:1)MaestroBots 每周收入 110 万美元,未来推出代币的可能性很高,很有可能出现一波新的Bot类空投造富效应;2)Unibot 的新交易终端 Unibot X 与 GeckoTerminal 集成,正在打造一站式的交易bot,从其透露的路线来看,还将增加更多的横向功能扩展;3)随着Bot 代币受到市场欢迎,上线CEX 的热潮正在兴起。除此之外,Twitter Bot正在成为主流,新用户涌入有望进一步推动Bot赛道发展。
加密韦陀(@thcryptoskanda)发推表示,Telegram Bot是Crypto去中心化前端的第一个可行的大规模部署方案。它可能是DeFi之后的第二次Ponzi的伟大演进。
BTCdayu(@BTCdayu)发推表示,最近BOT赛道很火,大师BOT独领风骚,UNIBOT和香蕉争夺激烈,不用纠结龙头是谁,蛋糕都还没做起来呢,不到分蛋糕的时候。现在市场最冷的时候前排BOT的收入都很高,如果市场火热呢?同样用户量都能再大10倍,那时候飞轮才开始。交易量更大——更高收入——更高币价——更多交易——更多用户。
Telegram Bot未来的市场需求预计非常大,但目前交易Bot的业务持续性颇受质疑,以Unibot为例,目前Unibot的收入主要依靠代币炒作赚来的税收,Unibot交易最多的为 memecoin 代币;其次,交易Bot的去中心化程度不高,安全性受到质疑,使用交易Bot,需要将助记词导入到这些“中心化应用”,如果发生黑客攻击,用户面临的风险很高。另外,交易Bot面临法律风险,比如Telegram Bot 直接参与资金交易行为,存在被视同证券交易的风险,以及可能涉及洗钱等。

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