# Fed Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Fed", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Fed Rate Cut Tonight Almost Certain, This Meeting More Like a 'Political Pressure Test'!

This week's Federal Reserve policy meeting is set to be one of the most contentious in recent years. With key economic data missing due to a 43-day U.S. government shutdown, the meeting has evolved into a stress test of the Fed’s independence and decision-making process. Market expectations for a rate cut have surged from 30% to 97%, reflecting both data uncertainty and growing political influence. Internally, the Fed is deeply divided, with a 4-4 split among key officials between holding rates and cutting. The dot plot shows a rare "bimodal distribution," with 7 officials favoring no change and 8 supporting a 50-basis-point cut. Doves point to a weakening labor market—unemployment rose to 4.3% in August, a four-year high—while hawks emphasize persistent inflation, with core PCE at 2.7%, above the 2% target. Political pressure has intensified, notably through appointments like Stephen Milan, who voted for a deeper cut just one day into his role, aligning with former President Trump’s public demands. The upcoming Fed leadership transition adds further uncertainty, as officials may be positioning for future roles. Amid data gaps and political interference, the Fed faces a complex risk-management dilemma: balancing concerns over slowing employment against inflation risks and soaring government debt interest costs. Communication challenges are heightened by internal divisions, forcing the Fed to rely more on high-frequency and alternative data. This meeting may mark a shift toward a new monetary policy framework where data scarcity and political pressure become persistent challenges to the Fed’s independence.

marsbit12/10 02:29

Fed Rate Cut Tonight Almost Certain, This Meeting More Like a 'Political Pressure Test'!

marsbit12/10 02:29

Crypto Morning Brief: Hassett Hints at Rate Cuts, Stripe to Launch Stablecoin Payment Feature

Crypto Morning Brief: Kevin Hassett, a top contender for the next Fed chair, signaled openness to significant interest rate cuts if economic data permits. In regulatory news, SEC Chair Paul Atkins stated that most ICOs should not be classified as securities, limiting the SEC’s role to tokenized securities. Hong Kong plans to begin automatic tax data exchange for crypto transactions with partner jurisdictions starting in 2028. Stripe will launch stablecoin payments on December 12, supporting USDC on Ethereum, Base, and Polygon, with a 1.5% transaction fee. It also opened public testing for its blockchain project Tempo with new partners Kalshi and UBS. Circle introduced a privacy-focused stablecoin, USDCx, in partnership with Aleo, and received a financial services license in Abu Dhabi. In other developments, Coinbase partnered with PNC Bank to offer Bitcoin trading to private clients. A TRUMP meme token announced an upcoming mobile game. Meta is reportedly developing a new AI model named Avocado, and SpaceX is planning a potential record-breaking IPO in 2026.

深潮12/10 01:21

Crypto Morning Brief: Hassett Hints at Rate Cuts, Stripe to Launch Stablecoin Payment Feature

深潮12/10 01:21

Retail Investors Are Leaving, What Will Drive the Next Bull Market?

A significant market correction has seen Bitcoin drop 28.57% from $126,000 to $90,000, causing panic, liquidity drying up, and widespread deleveraging. However, structural positives are emerging: the U.S. SEC plans an "Innovation Exemption" in January 2026 to ease compliance, and the Federal Reserve is expected to end quantitative tightening and begin rate cuts, potentially boosting risk assets. The previous retail and leverage-driven bull cycle is unlikely to repeat. While over 200 companies hold $115 billion in crypto via Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) strategies, this represents less than 5% of the crypto market and is insufficient to fuel the next bull run. Instead, three key institutional pipelines are being established: 1. **Institutional Entry via ETFs and Infrastructure**: Global Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs provide a standardized investment channel. Improved custody and settlement solutions (e.g., from BNY Mellon, Anchorage Digital) enable efficient capital deployment. Pension funds and sovereign wealth funds may soon allocate 1-3% to crypto, potentially moving trillions of dollars. 2. **Real World Assets (RWA) Tokenization**: Tokenizing traditional assets (bonds, real estate) onto blockchains could grow the RWA market from $309 billion today to $4-30 trillion by 2030. Protocols like MakerDAO using U.S. Treasuries as collateral bridge DeFi with traditional finance, offering stable yields and reducing volatility. 3. **Infrastructure Upgrades**: Layer 2 solutions reduce transaction costs and times, crucial for institutional scale. Stablecoins, with a $1.66 trillion market cap and $4 trillion in on-chain volume, have become pillars for cross-border payments and liquidity, especially as regulators mandate full reserve backing. Short-term, Fed policy and SEC rules may drive a speculative rebound in early 2026. Medium-term, gradual institutional capital will provide stability. Long-term, RWA integration could structurally anchor crypto to global finance, enabling sustainable, trillion-dollar growth. The market's evolution from speculation to infrastructure marks its path to maturity.

marsbit12/09 19:39

Retail Investors Are Leaving, What Will Drive the Next Bull Market?

marsbit12/09 19:39

BTC Pauses at $90,000 as Fed Sends Dovish Signals

Bitcoin has stabilized around the $90,000 mark, supported by a softer tone from the Federal Reserve, creating a favorable macro environment for risk assets. While BTC solidifies its role as 'digital gold,' its limitations for payments and decentralized applications due to high fees and low throughput remain. This has increased interest in Layer 2 infrastructure solutions that leverage Bitcoin's security while overcoming its technical constraints. Amid this shift, Bitcoin Hyper emerges, aiming to be the first Bitcoin L2 integrating the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM). It focuses on practical applications like fast, low-fee BTC payments, DeFi protocols, staking services, and NFT platforms, targeting Solana-level speeds. The project's presale has raised over $29 million, indicating significant demand. Its native token, $HYPER, currently priced at $0.0134, has speculative potential for substantial growth if the protocol captures a share of the Bitcoin L2 market. Large investors are already accumulating the token, and a staking program with high APY is planned to incentivize holders post-launch. The combination of Bitcoin's price surge, a supportive macro backdrop, and the growing need for scalable Bitcoin infrastructure positions projects like Bitcoin Hyper to potentially bridge the gap between Bitcoin's security and modern decentralized application usability.

bitcoinist12/09 18:45

BTC Pauses at $90,000 as Fed Sends Dovish Signals

bitcoinist12/09 18:45

"Pause, Not a Reversal": When Bitcoin Will Break the Lull

The article "Pause, Not a Reversal": When Bitcoin Will Break the Lull" discusses the current state of the cryptocurrency market, which is in a holding pattern ahead of key macroeconomic decisions. According to analysts from Wintermute, the market's attention is focused on upcoming interest rate decisions from the US Federal Reserve (December 10) and the Bank of Japan (December 19). The recent price action is seen as a pause rather than a trend reversal, with liquidity concentrating in Bitcoin and Ethereum. The potential for the Fed to cut rates could improve the investment climate, while concerns exist that the Bank of Japan may raise its rate again, which could cause market stress given Japan's status as a major holder of US debt. Trading volumes have fallen by up to 30% since October, attributed to a shift away from speculative altcoins towards fixed-income instruments. Market expectations for Bitcoin's price by year-end are split between $85,000 and $100,000. The report concludes that in the absence of macroeconomic surprises, cryptocurrency volatility will be driven more by liquidity flows than by fundamental factors.

RBK-crypto12/09 16:14

Where Will the Money for the Next Bull Market Come From?

Where Will the Money for the Next Crypto Bull Run Come From? Bitcoin's sharp decline from $126,000 to $90,000 has caused panic and a liquidity crunch. However, structural tailwinds are emerging: the SEC plans an "Innovation Exemption" rule, the Fed is expected to begin a rate-cutting cycle, and global institutional pathways are maturing. The myth of Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) is fading. Their buying power is insufficient (under 5% of the crypto market) and they can become net sellers during downturns. The real catalysts are institutional. The end of Fed quantitative tightening and potential rate cuts could inject liquidity. A crypto-friendly Fed leadership could further open the banking system to crypto. The SEC's shifting stance, moving crypto from a "threat" to a regulated asset class, reduces compliance barriers. Three key pipelines could deliver the next wave of capital: 1. **Institutional Entry:** Global Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs provide a standardized entry point. Mature custody and settlement infrastructure (e.g., from BNY Mellon) enables efficient capital deployment. Even a 1-3% allocation from pensions and sovereign wealth funds would represent trillions. 2. **Real-World Assets (RWA):** Tokenizing traditional assets (bonds, real estate) creates a bridge to TradFi. The RWA market, projected to grow 50x to multi-trillions by 2030, offers massive, stable, yield-bearing assets for DeFi (e.g., MakerDAO's use of U.S. Treasuries). 3. **Infrastructure Upgrades:** Layer 2 solutions reduce costs and speed up transactions for institutional use. Stablecoins, with a $166B market cap and $4T in on-chain volume, have become a pillar for compliant, efficient settlements. The money is expected to arrive in phases: a short-term policy-driven rebound (2025-2026), followed by gradual institutional allocation (2026-2027), and finally long-term structural growth powered by RWA integration (2027-2030). The next bull run will be built not on retail speculation, but on institutional trust and infrastructure.

深潮12/09 09:36

Where Will the Money for the Next Bull Market Come From?

深潮12/09 09:36

12.9 Today's Market: Why the Drop? BTC\SOL\ETH\BNB\RDNT\STABLE\TRUMP\Horse to Success\bibi Trading Advice

The cryptocurrency market experienced significant volatility, with $212 million in liquidations over 24 hours, including a single $2.14 million Bitcoin liquidation on Hyperliquid. Market sentiment remains nervous, with high turnover reflecting short-term bearishness, though long-term holders remain steady. The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting is a key focus, as interest rate decisions may influence market direction. Bitcoin’s support is near $88,100, with a potential dip to $85,200–85,900 offering a buying opportunity. Resistance is at $93,400. SOL may see support at $125.8 and $124, with potential accumulation near $120. ETH has supports at $2,955, $2,865, and $2,805, with resistance at $3,282. BNB’s key level is $898; holding above may lead to a bounce toward $939. Meme coins are highly risky, with many projects on BSC and SOL facing extreme volatility and potential scams. High-cap tokens like BIBI are relatively safer. Patience and strict stop-losses are advised. Specific tokens: - 马到成功 (Horse to Success): Accumulating near $2M market cap with strong community support. - ZEC: Showing strength, possibly entering a major upward trend if it holds key levels. - RDNT: Avoid chasing pumps—likely a temporary bounce. - TRUMP: Unlikely to rally this cycle due to locked supply; may perform in the next bull market if Trump remains politically relevant. - STABLE: Bearish due to high fully diluted valuation and lack of catalysts; consider shorting. Overall, December is to accumulate during consolidation while preserving capital for larger opportunities in Q1 2026.

金色财经12/09 08:43

$12.9 Today's Market: Why the Drop? BTC\SOL\ETH\BNB\RDNT\STABLE\TRUMP\Horse to Success\bibi Trading Advice$

金色财经12/09 08:43

Bitcoin (BTC) Gains Buying Support, But Data Shows Professional Traders Are Skeptical of a Rally Above $92,000

Based on the provided article, here is a concise English summary: Bitcoin (BTC) is facing resistance after failing to break above $92,250, leading to a pullback. The article attributes this to macroeconomic uncertainty, including a delayed U.S. jobs report, a softening housing market, and a pause in spot Bitcoin ETF inflows. Data shows professional traders remain skeptical of a sustained rally above $92,000. The monthly futures premium (basis rate) has remained low, and the demand for protective put options is high, with market makers demanding a 13% premium to sell downside protection on Deribit. This indicates traders are willing to pay a significant cost to hedge against potential price declines. Furthermore, a bearish signal is emerging from China, where Tether (USDT) is trading at a discount to the official USD/CNY rate. This suggests strong selling pressure and capital flight from the crypto market, a pattern often seen during bearish phases. The article concludes that while the $90,000 level is providing support, a rapid return to $100,000 is unlikely. It hinges on improved visibility regarding the U.S. job market and real estate sector, which may take longer to materialize than the upcoming Fed policy decision.

cointelegraph_中文12/09 06:20

Bitcoin (BTC) Gains Buying Support, But Data Shows Professional Traders Are Skeptical of a Rally Above $92,000

cointelegraph_中文12/09 06:20

Fed's $400 Billion Liquidity Signal: Bitcoin Under Pressure Awaits a Breakthrough

Bitcoin's price appears stable but is under significant structural pressure, with investors facing nearly $500 million in daily losses and over 6.5 million BTC held at unrealized losses. This coincides with a potential shift in U.S. monetary policy, as the Federal Reserve ends its quantitative tightening program—which reduced its balance sheet by $2.4 trillion—and signals a move toward "Reserve Management Purchases." This could inject over $400 billion annually in liquidity by reinvesting in short-term Treasuries. Market attention is focused on Fed Chair Powell’s upcoming remarks regarding labor market softening and the timing of liquidity expansion. A clear signal toward reserve rebuilding could push Bitcoin above the $92k–$93.5k resistance, while a cautious tone may keep it range-bound between $75k–$82k. Despite miner capitulation and weak short-term holder sentiment, large wallets are accumulating Bitcoin, exchange reserves are declining, and stablecoin inflows suggest latent demand. This combination of pressure and accumulation often precedes a market bottom. Bitcoin’s next major move hinges on the Fed’s liquidity signals and broader macroeconomic conditions.

深潮12/09 05:22

Fed's $400 Billion Liquidity Signal: Bitcoin Under Pressure Awaits a Breakthrough

深潮12/09 05:22

Alert! Dogecoin (DOGE) Shows Signs of Another Surge? Current Situation Highly Similar to September Highs

Dogecoin (DOGE) is showing signs of a potential price surge, with key on-chain activity mirroring patterns seen before its September rally. On December 3, daily active addresses (DAA) surged to 67,511, the second-highest level in three months. A similar spike in DAA preceded DOGE’s climb to $0.30 in mid-September, followed by a 50% correction. Currently trading around $0.14—a strong support level tested multiple times—DOGE has risen 3.5% in 24 hours, accompanied by a doubling in trading volume. This suggests renewed buying interest. If DOGE holds above $0.14 and breaks the $0.16 resistance, it could signal a short-term trend reversal, with a potential move toward the 200-day EMA and possibly September highs. Macro factors, including the upcoming Fed meeting, may also influence momentum. A dovish shift could boost liquidity and crypto sentiment. While rising network activity reflects growing engagement, investors should consider technicals, macro conditions, and risk management.

金色财经12/09 02:32

Alert! Dogecoin (DOGE) Shows Signs of Another Surge? Current Situation Highly Similar to September Highs