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BTC Market Pulse: Week 10

BTC Market Pulse Week 10 indicates a market in early-stage recovery but still fragile. Momentum is improving with RSI lifting from recent lows, though it remains below neutral. Spot CVD has improved, suggesting reduced selling pressure, while futures CVD stays negative, reflecting caution. Open interest has slightly decreased, indicating modest de-risking. Options markets show mixed signals with negative volatility spread but elevated downside hedging demand. On-chain activity is improving with increased active addresses and transfer volume, yet realized cap change remains negative and NUPL is still loss-dominant. Overall, the market shows signs of stabilization but lacks strong bullish confirmation.

insights.glassnode8 saat önce

BTC Market Pulse: Week 10

insights.glassnode8 saat önce

This Analyst Predicted The Dogecoin Price Crash, But There’s More To The Forecast

An analyst who previously predicted Dogecoin's price crash warns that its recent recovery may be short-lived and could actually precede further declines. Despite being the leading meme coin, Dogecoin failed to reach new highs in the 2024-2025 rally and has shown significant structural weakness. It remains under a descending resistance trendline and is trapped within a supply zone, indicating continued selling pressure. The analyst notes a plateau in buying volume, suggesting large holders are distributing their coins during price spikes. Key support levels are identified at $0.09 and $0.08030 if the downtrend continues. A sustained bullish reversal would only occur if DOGE breaks above $0.10875 with strong momentum.

bitcoinist13 saat önce

This Analyst Predicted The Dogecoin Price Crash, But There’s More To The Forecast

bitcoinist13 saat önce

Bitcoin Price Rebounds From Monthly Channel Bottom, Could $475,000 Be Next?

Bitcoin's price rebounded from a critical support level near $60,000 over the weekend, recovering from a slump triggered by geopolitical tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran. Technical analyst Tony Severino highlighted that BTC had never closed below the lower trendline of its monthly ascending channel, not during COVID nor previous crises. A bounce from this support suggests a potential move toward the channel's midline, which could theoretically reach $475,000, though such a surge is considered unlikely. Currently, BTC trades around $67,919, up 3% in 24 hours, but broader market conditions remain bearish.

bitcoinist15 saat önce

Bitcoin Price Rebounds From Monthly Channel Bottom, Could $475,000 Be Next?

bitcoinist15 saat önce

How to Systematically Track High-Winning-Rate Addresses on Polymarket?

How to Systematically Track High-Win-Rate Wallets on Polymarket This article explores methods to identify and track high-performing wallets on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market where all transactions are publicly recorded on-chain. While the platform's data is transparent, the key challenge lies in interpreting this data to find wallets that consistently demonstrate an informational edge. The piece outlines common characteristics of potentially "insider" wallets, which are not necessarily illegal but show patterns of highly informed trading. These include: new addresses making large, concentrated bets; wallets specializing in a single niche topic; sudden, significant increases in position size; and extremely precise timing, repeatedly entering positions hours before major public news breaks. A three-step methodology for systematically identifying these wallets is provided: 1. Analyze Polymarket's leaderboard to filter for addresses with sustained profitability over 30 days, a high win rate (>55%), and significant profits in liquid markets. 2. Drill down into specific event markets to examine the top holders, looking for wallets that consistently hold large positions before the market has fully priced in an outcome. 3. Conduct a detailed analysis of the candidate wallets' on-chain history, focusing on their entry timing (pre-news vs. post-news), position-building strategy (rapid vs. gradual), holding period, and trading focus (specialized vs. generalized). The article concludes with advanced tracking strategies, emphasizing the importance of monitoring exit behavior (e.g., large sell-offs before bad news), performing cluster analysis to find linked addresses, watching for unusual volume in niche markets, and cross-referencing on-chain activity with real-world signals for stronger validation. The ultimate goal is to move beyond simple betting and use public on-chain data to find and learn from the most successful traders.

Odaily星球日报15 saat önce

How to Systematically Track High-Winning-Rate Addresses on Polymarket?

Odaily星球日报15 saat önce

Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis

Summary: In this market analysis, Cody, a特邀分析师 for Odaily, reviews the past week's performance and outlines strategies. Bitcoin (BTC) continued its weak consolidation, aligning with the anticipated C-2 wave rebound. A short-term bearish trade (1x leverage) was executed, yielding a 2.12% profit. The medium-term bearish position, initiated at $89,000 (1x leverage), remains open. With BTC closing around $65,770, this position shows an unrealized gain of approximately 26.10%, having reached a maximum floating profit of around 32.58%. The overall technical structure suggests the medium-term downtrend persists, with any rebounds viewed as technical corrections within a larger bearish framework. Key resistance levels are identified at $68,500-$70,000 and $72,300-$74,500, with supports at $65,000, $60,000-$62,500, and $57,400. The strategy advises maintaining a core bearish bias ("sell the rallies"). Conversely, HYPE presented a strong bullish opportunity. Analysis indicates a completed Wave-I rise (from $20.46 to $38.41) followed by a Wave-II correction (to $25.60). The current movement is interpreted as the start of a potent Wave-III drive. A successful short-term long trade (1x leverage) captured an 11.14% gain. Key technical evidence for HYPE's strength includes a break of a long-term descending trendline, robust momentum off the Wave-II low, and quant model signals (momentum and price spread) indicating bottoming and bullish convergence. The primary target for Wave-III is above the Wave-I peak of $38.41. The recommended strategy for the coming week is to hold the 60% medium-term BTC short position (reducing to 40% if price breaks above $74,500) and use 30% capital for short-term, stop-loss-protected "spread" trades based on support/resistance levels, favoring shorting BTC on rallies. Strict dynamic stop-loss management is emphasized for all positions.

marsbit16 saat önce

Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis

marsbit16 saat önce

Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis

Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Hold Maintained, HYPE Successfully Captures Profits | Guest Analysis In this market analysis, analyst Cody reviews the past week's cryptocurrency performance. For Bitcoin, the overall weak bearish trend continued. A previously established mid-term short position (1x leverage) opened at $89,000 remains held, currently showing an unrealized profit of approximately 26.10% as the price fell to around $65,770. A separate short-term short trade was executed, yielding a 2.12% gain. The primary view is that Bitcoin is undergoing a C-2 wave rebound within a larger corrective structure. The price is expected to continue oscillating within a range, with key resistance between $68,500-$72,300 and crucial support near $60,000-$62,500. The core trading strategy remains "selling on rallies." Significant focus is placed on HYPE, which is analyzed using Elliott Wave Theory. The analysis posits that HYPE completed its Wave I rise and Wave II correction and is now in the early stages of a potent Wave III advance. A recent short-term long trade (1x leverage) on HYPE capitalized on this move, generating an 11.14% profit. The wave count and breakout from key descending trendline are cited as evidence for this bullish outlook. The weekly strategy involves holding a 60% mid-term Bitcoin short position. For short-term trades, 30% of capital is allocated to scalp "price differences" based on support/resistance levels and proprietary quantitative models (Momentum and Price-Spread), following a strict principle of "going with the trend and selling high." Detailed A/B plans are provided for entering additional short positions on bounces toward $70,000-$72,300 (Plan A) or $74,500 (Plan B), complete with precise entry, stop-loss, and a dynamic trailing stop protocol to lock in profits. A strong disclaimer cautions that all analysis is for personal use and not investment advice.

Odaily星球日报16 saat önce

Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis

Odaily星球日报16 saat önce

Will AAVE Reset Monthly Momentum or Lose Steam and Remain in the Red?

The broader cryptocurrency market remains bearish with extreme fear prevailing at the start of the month. Despite this, AAVE has achieved a significant milestone by surpassing $1 trillion in cumulative loan volume, becoming the first DeFi protocol to do so. Currently trading around $115.17, AAVE's price has declined 0.79%, with its daily trading volume surging over 57%. Key technical indicators present a mixed outlook. The MACD and signal lines are below zero, indicating bearish pressure, while the Chaikin Money Flow suggests slight selling activity. However, the Bull Bear Power shows strong bullish dominance, and the RSI at 53.99 reflects mild bullish sentiment. If bullish momentum strengthens, AAVE could test resistance at $117.20, potentially rising above $119. Conversely, if bearish pressure intensifies, it may fall to support at $113.48, with risks of further decline below $111. The token's technical setup indicates a ongoing battle between bulls and bears.

TheNewsCrypto17 saat önce

Will AAVE Reset Monthly Momentum or Lose Steam and Remain in the Red?

TheNewsCrypto17 saat önce

USELESS jumps 17% as whales load up – Why THIS support is KEY!

USELESS Coin surged over 17% in 24 hours, significantly outperforming the broader crypto market. The rally was driven by substantial capital inflows from top traders, whales, and new wallets. Data showed a 3x spike in net flows from top traders and a 1.6x increase in whale activity, while fresh wallets added $351K—a 220% rise. The price moved from a key support level at $0.036 to above $0.045 but began pulling back. Technical indicators suggest the coin is trading in a sideways range, with a break above $0.045 potentially leading to $0.055, while a drop below $0.036 could trigger further declines. The memecoin remains in a critical decision zone.

ambcryptoDün 00:02

USELESS jumps 17% as whales load up – Why THIS support is KEY!

ambcryptoDün 00:02

Bitcoin Dumps On Geopolitical Shock Again: History Shows How This Might Play Out

Bitcoin has reacted negatively to recent US-Iran geopolitical tensions, continuing a historical pattern of initial sell-offs followed by recoveries. Analysts note that during past escalations, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 and Israel-Iran tensions in 2025, Bitcoin dropped before rallying 20-40% in subsequent months. Short-term reactions often show sharp weekend declines with recoveries within 24-48 hours. However, the current market context differs significantly: Bitcoin is already down 48% from its all-time high, with a historically low weekly RSI and prolonged extreme fear sentiment. Leverage and open interest are reduced, suggesting weak holders have exited. This may lead to a quicker stabilization rather than prolonged decline.

bitcoinistDün 18:02

Bitcoin Dumps On Geopolitical Shock Again: History Shows How This Might Play Out

bitcoinistDün 18:02

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