Merge Momentum: Ethereum Sets New 2022 High Against Bitcoin

newsbtcDipublikasikan tanggal 2022-09-08Terakhir diperbarui pada 2022-09-08

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The Ethereum Merge is fast approaching, and the anticipation around the upgrade has led to some interesting happenings in the crypto sector. It has propelled the price of the digital...

The Ethereum Merge is fast approaching, and the anticipation around the upgrade has led to some interesting happenings in the crypto sector. It has propelled the price of the digital assets to new highs, even with the downtrend, holding its value better than most of the market. Ethereum has now marked another new high ahead of its long-awaited Merge. This time around, it is a win against the largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin.
ETHBTC Touch New Highs
Ethereum versus Bitcoin is a never-ending contest that has put the two communities at odds. Bitcoin still maintains its dominance over Ethereum and the other cryptocurrencies, but the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has been steadily closing the gap over the year.
ETHBTC had traded at its highest level towards the end of 2021 before a decline sent it falling to yearly lows. However, with the Merge on the horizon, Ethereum has managed to close the gap significantly once more and rally to yearly highs.
ETHBTC is currently trading around 0.0847 BTC on Tuesday, the highest it has been in seven years. This comes despite the suppressed levels on the futures basis that were brought on by hedging activity triggered by the Merge.

ETHBTC

ETHBTC touches yearly highs | Source: Arcane Research
The digital asset continues to show strength against bitcoin even through the downtrend. It has since lost its footing at 0.0847 BTC but continues to hold steady above 0.08 BTC.
Ethereum Merge Casts Long Shadow
Recently, Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin took to Twitter to explain that the Merge was going to happen sometime between September 13th-15th. This was welcome information as it confirmed for the community that there would be no more postponements, but the move to proof of stake has not sat well with everyone in the community.

Ethereum price chart from TradingView.com

ETHBTC reaches yearly highs | Source: ETHBTC on TradingView.com
The most prominent of the disagreements have come in the form of ETH forked tokens in a bid to keep the network on the proof of work mechanism. However, not all crypto platforms have announced support for these forked tokens, and some, such as OpenSea, have said that they would only be supporting tokens on Ethereum POS and would not accept any forked tokens.
Nevertheless, these tokens are still going to come into circulation. It raises the question of which of the two tokens would be the best to invest in ahead of the Merge. There are speculations that both ETHPOS and ETHPOW will both pump as they try to ascertain dominance over one another.

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Pembongkaran Strategi Trading Bitcoin: Prediksi Selebritas dan Model Klasik Semua Tidak Akurat, Hanya Empat Indikator Ini yang Tersisa

Penulis, yang bukan trader profesional, mengembangkan strategi trading Bitcoin dengan mengevaluasi berbagai metode prediksi dari 2017 hingga 2025. Ia menyimpulkan bahwa prediksi dari selebritas dan model klasik seperti Stock-to-Flow tidak akurat, sementara indikator on-chain dan data institusional lebih andal. Empat indikator inti yang dipilih: 1. **MVRV Z-Score**: Mengukur deviasi harga dari biaya rata-rata pemegang, efektif untuk identifikasi bottom (daerah hijau), tetapi tidak akurat untuk puncak sejak 2024. 2. **SOPR 28-hari**: Menunjukkan penjualan rugi saat di bawah 1.0, sinyal bottom yang historis stabil. 3. **Aliran Dana ETF**: Indikator institusional kunci sejak 2024, dengan aliran masuk/keluar yang signifikan menunjukkan akumulasi/penjualan. 4. **Likuiditas Makro (Fed dan M2)**: Menentukan arah umum pasar, bukan timing. Fear & Greed Index digunakan hanya sebagai konfirmasi tambahan. Strategi ini mengandalkan resonansi tiga atau lebih sinyal untuk mengambil keputusan. Sistem otomatis memantau data, mengirim notifikasi hanya saat sinyal kuat terdeteksi. Pada 15 April 2026, sistem menunjukkan tiga sinyal bottom: Fear & Greed = 12 (panik ekstrem), MVRV di zona hijau, dan SOPR < 1.0, mirip dengan kondisi bottom historis seperti 2018, 2020, dan 2022. Namun, aliran ETF masih lemah, menunggu konfirmasi institusional. Penekanan pada kerangka kerja yang dapat diuji, bukan prediksi subjektif.

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Pembongkaran Strategi Trading Bitcoin: Prediksi Selebritas dan Model Klasik Semua Tidak Akurat, Hanya Empat Indikator Ini yang Tersisa

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