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How $15B Fed injection could trigger crypto’s next macro rally

The Federal Reserve's $15 billion Treasury buyback, its largest in history, has sparked speculation about its potential to trigger a crypto macro rally. While quantitative easing typically drives capital into risk assets like cryptocurrency over the long term, its effects are not immediate, as evidenced by a 13.14% drop in the total crypto market cap in February. However, key signals suggest improving liquidity conditions: oil prices have declined by 16%, indicating fading geopolitical risk premiums, and tokenized U.S. Treasuries on-chain have reached $10 billion, showing capital is already moving into crypto-adjacent risk assets. This injection is part of a broader trend of the Fed expanding its balance sheet, suggesting it is not a one-off event but rather an early sign of easing macro stress that could support long-term capital inflows into cryptocurrency.

ambcrypto03/11 08:02

How $15B Fed injection could trigger crypto’s next macro rally

ambcrypto03/11 08:02

Lyn Alden Says Fed Entering ‘Gradual Print’ Era of Monetary Policy

Economist Lyn Alden states the U.S. Federal Reserve is entering a "gradual print" monetary policy phase, characterized by steady liquidity increases tied to bank asset growth or nominal GDP. This measured approach, differing from traditional quantitative easing, aims to support asset prices mildly without broad stimulus. Alden suggests high-quality and scarce assets may benefit, while cautioning against overheated market sectors. The policy occurs amid mixed signals from the Fed, reduced rate cut expectations, and upcoming leadership uncertainty. This liquidity infusion may stabilize credit and indirectly benefit assets like Bitcoin, though effects are expected to be moderate rather than dramatic.

TheNewsCrypto02/09 08:17

Lyn Alden Says Fed Entering ‘Gradual Print’ Era of Monetary Policy

TheNewsCrypto02/09 08:17

Kevin Warsh Emerges as a Surprise Contender: How Did an Inflation Hawk Become a Top Candidate for Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor known for his hawkish stance on inflation, has unexpectedly re-emerged as a top contender for the next Fed chair, competing against Trump’s longtime economic advisor Kevin Hassett. President Trump has indicated his next Fed pick will aggressively cut interest rates, a priority for his administration. Warsh brings a blend of Wall Street experience, academic credentials, and prior Fed service during the 2008 financial crisis. Despite his historical skepticism toward quantitative easing and concerns over inflation, Warsh has recently signaled openness to rate cuts, aligning with Trump’s demands. He has proposed a “rate cuts plus balance sheet reduction” strategy to reconcile stimulus with inflation control. Hassett, by contrast, is seen as a loyalist who would more directly implement Trump’s preference for looser monetary policy. However, some within Trump’s circle question his technical competence compared to Warsh’s deeper central banking experience. The competition reflects a broader tension between professional independence and political alignment. Warsh is viewed as more institutionally cautious, while demonstrating recent flexibility, whereas Hassett advocates for a Fed more directly responsive to the White House. The outcome will significantly influence the Fed’s future direction and perceived independence.

marsbit12/18 08:43

Kevin Warsh Emerges as a Surprise Contender: How Did an Inflation Hawk Become a Top Candidate for Fed Chair?

marsbit12/18 08:43

The Fed's $40 Billion Treasury Purchases Are Not the Same as Quantitative Easing

The Federal Reserve's announcement of $40 billion monthly Treasury purchases has sparked market speculation about quantitative easing (QE). However, this program, termed Reserve Management Purchases (RMP), is functionally distinct from QE. While it meets the mechanical criteria of QE—large-scale asset purchases with newly created reserves—its purpose is stability, not stimulus. RMP aims to counteract liquidity drainage caused by tax season withdrawals into the Treasury General Account (TGA), preventing repo market stress like the 2019 crisis. It is liquidity-neutral, merely replacing lost reserves rather than expanding net liquidity. True QE would require either longer-duration asset purchases (e.g., bonds or MBS) or excess liquidity injection beyond system needs. The RMP signals Fed readiness to backstop liquidity, reducing tail risks and providing mild support for risk assets, but it is not a systematic easing tool.

深潮12/13 02:48

The Fed's $40 Billion Treasury Purchases Are Not the Same as Quantitative Easing