XRP price retreats to $1.35 support – But ONE signal points to recovery

ambcryptoPublicado a 2026-03-27Actualizado a 2026-03-27

Resumen

XRP's risk-adjusted returns, as measured by the Sharpe Ratio, have shown signs of recovery, moving into positive territory at 0.0267 after a significant decline in February. This suggests the asset may be generating better returns relative to its volatility. However, the price has repeatedly retreated to the $1.35 support level. For a sustained bullish recovery, increased spot demand and aggressive buyer activity are crucial. Recent data shows a drop in the Taker Buy-Sell Ratio, indicating sellers have regained dominance. Additionally, a recent spike in Open Interest and the Estimated Leverage Ratio points to increased speculative trading, which raises the risk of liquidation events and higher price volatility.

The risk-adjusted returns could be improving for Ripple [XRP], data showed. The Sharpe Ratio is used to help investors understand if an asset generates high returns, once adjusted for volatility.

Source: CryptoQuant

A rising Sharpe Ratio would imply a better risk-adjusted performance, observed an analyst in a post on CryptoQuant Insights. The metric saw a deep decline in February as the early January rally faded into a deeper downtrend. At that time, a Bitcoin [BTC] and crypto market-wide sell-off forced XRP prices from $2.35 to $1.21, a 48% drop.

The XRP gains in mid-March saw the 30-day returns spike higher. Recently, the Sharpe Ratio has improved gradually and has been hovering around the positive territory with a reading of 0.0267.

A sustained increase in the metric would mean that XRP is generating more gains with less volatility and could set the stage for a gradual bullish recovery. Yet, over the past six weeks, the price has kept pulling back to the $1.35 support, the same level XRP retested once more on the 26th of March.

The positive reading on the Sharpe Ratio showed that the risk-adjusted returns have improved moderately. It remains to be seen if the situation improves for the investors.

A drop-off in demand reflected bearish XRP sentiment

To keep the risk-adjusted returns rising, XRP needs increased demand which drive a sustained uptrend. A market that is not overleveraged would also keep the deep liquidity hunts at bay, reducing the daily volatility.

Source: CryptoQuant

The Taker Buy-Sell Ratio was examined to understand the buyer aggression. In mid-March, when XRP rallied to $1.54 when Bitcoin reached $75k, the taker buy orders were prevalent. The 7-day moving average of the taker Buy/Sell Ratio climbed above 1 and stayed there for a few days, something that has only happened thrice in 2026.

This impetus didn’t last long. Over the past ten days, the crypto market correction saw sellers take the upper hand once again.

Source: CryptoQuant

Additionally, the estimated leverage ratio has seen an uptick lately. An AMBCrypto report had pointed out that the reduced Open Interest (OI) behind XRP, combined with increased spot demand, meant that volatility risk was falling.

However, in the past 24 hours, the XRP OI has increased by 5.4%, the Estimated Leverage Ratio also spiked from 0.134 to 0.155. It signaled increased risk appetite from speculative traders. At the same time, it also warned of an increased threat of a hunt for liquidations and the associated price volatility.


Final Summary

  • The Sharpe ratio climbed back into positive territory after the deep drop during the February price correction.
  • Sustained spot demand and aggressive buyer activity are needed for XRP to defend the $1.20-$1.35 support and climb higher. Current market conditions were not favorable.

Criptos en tendencia

Preguntas relacionadas

QWhat does the Sharpe Ratio indicate for Ripple (XRP) according to the article?

AThe Sharpe Ratio indicates that the risk-adjusted returns for XRP are improving, meaning it is generating more gains with less volatility, which could set the stage for a gradual bullish recovery.

QWhat was the price range of XRP during the February sell-off mentioned in the article?

ADuring the February sell-off, XRP prices dropped from $2.35 to $1.21, representing a 48% decline.

QWhat does the Taker Buy-Sell Ratio measure, and what did it show for XRP in mid-March?

AThe Taker Buy-Sell Ratio measures buyer aggression. In mid-March, it showed that taker buy orders were prevalent, and its 7-day moving average climbed above 1, indicating strong buying pressure.

QWhat recent change in the Estimated Leverage Ratio signals increased risk for XRP traders?

AThe Estimated Leverage Ratio spiked from 0.134 to 0.155, signaling an increased risk appetite from speculative traders and a heightened threat of liquidation hunts and price volatility.

QWhat are the two key factors needed for XRP to defend its support level and climb higher, as per the final summary?

ASustained spot demand and aggressive buyer activity are needed for XRP to defend the $1.20-$1.35 support level and climb higher.

Lecturas Relacionadas

Los retiros de Bitcoin continúan: 8 años de almacenamiento en una cartera fría Coldcard terminaron en cero

Retirada de bitcoin continúa: 8 años en cartera fría Coldcard terminan en cero La cartera hardware Coldcard ha sido vulnerada, provocando una nueva oleada de retiradas de fondos de dispositivos afectados. Galaxy Research informa que el volumen total robado asciende a 1.367,05 BTC (unos 88,6 millones de dólares) desde 4.585 direcciones, superando ampliamente los 594,5 BTC reportados inicialmente el 30 de julio de 2026. La mayor parte de lo robado permanece inactiva en las direcciones de los atacantes. El problema no reside en el firmware, que ya fue actualizado por Coinkite, sino en las frases semilla (seed phrases) generadas desde marzo de 2021 debido a un error de programación. Estas frases son fácilmente descifrables, y actualizar el firmware no las cambia. Solo transferir los fondos a una nueva dirección con una nueva frase semilla elimina la vulnerabilidad. El fallo se originó al integrar la biblioteca libNgU, lo que hizo que los dispositivos dejaran de usar el generador de números aleatorios por hardware STM32 y pasaran a usar el generador software Yasmarang, inicializado con datos públicamente accesibles como el número de serie del chip. Afecta a frases semilla creadas en dispositivos Mk2/Mk3 (firmware 4.0.1–4.1.9 y hasta 5.0.3), Mk4/Mk5 (hasta v5.6.0) y Q (hasta v1.5.0Q). Se excluyen aquellas creadas con al menos 50 lanzamientos de dados independientes o una passphrase BIP-39 fuerte y única. Los usuarios deben generar una nueva frase semilla en firmware corregido y transferir sus activos. Un caso ilustrativo es el de un inversor de 39 años que perdió 2 BTC (unos 130.000 dólares) en minutos, ahorrados durante ocho años mediante trabajo físico como protección contra la hiperinflación en su país, con el objetivo de una jubilación anticipada a los 50 años. Su estrategia conservadora de "comprar y mantener en frío" se vio truncada, dejándolo devastado y decidido a abandonar las criptomonedas. Este incidente recuerda vulnerabilidades históricas por generadores de números aleatorios débiles, como la de la biblioteca BitcoinJS (2011-2015), que causó grandes pérdidas. Subraya que el almacenamiento offline no garantiza automáticamente seguridad criptográfica, especialmente cuando la entropía se ve comprometida dentro del propio dispositivo "cerrado".

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