With Bitcoin Below $80K, ARK Reframes The Narrative Around Gold

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-02-02Last updated on 2026-02-02

Abstract

Bitcoin's recent decline below $80,000 has prompted ARK Invest, led by Cathie Wood, to reframe the narrative around Bitcoin and gold. Despite the pullback, ARK maintains a long-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin, emphasizing its role as an adoption-driven asset with significant growth potential by 2030. The firm highlights the historically low correlation (0.14 since 2020) between Bitcoin and gold, noting that while gold has sometimes led Bitcoin rallies, the two assets serve different purposes and operate on different timelines. ARK's research points to extreme valuations in gold relative to money supply, suggesting potential exhaustion in the metal's rally. Bitcoin, currently trading around $78,150, remains volatile but is viewed as a strategic long-term holding rather than a short-term trade.

Bitcoin slid again, and big-name bulls are talking. According to ARK Invest’s team, the pullback after a rapid run is part of a wider picture that mixes gold, money supply measures, and investor flow. Markets are messy now. That does not mean long-term stories are dead.

Cathie Wood’s Long View

Based on reports, Cathie Wood has kept a public, steady bet on crypto for years, buying assets and shares in firms tied to digital tokens when prices were far lower. Her company took early positions in exchange operators and fintech companies that provide crypto access.

Reports note ARK’s valuation work and scenarios that place Bitcoin far above current prices by 2030 under certain adoption assumptions. Those forecasts are not promises. They are models with many moving parts.

Gold And The Debasement Trade

Reports say ARK’s research director compared gold’s market value to the US M2 money supply and found readings at a level not seen since the 1930s and around the same era as 1980.

That kind of extreme has historically preceded a big reversal in gold’s price. Some traders remember a 60% drop after the 1980 peak. Those are facts that deserve a second look. They do not translate directly into a prediction for Bitcoin, though.

Bitcoin and gold do not always move together. Based on reports, the historic correlation has been low — about 0.14 since early 2020. That number means daily price moves rarely sync up.

BTCUSD currently trading at $77,898. Chart: TradingView

Yet, in past major rallies, gold’s gains were followed by a strong leg for Bitcoin. This time, the sequence stalled. Precious metals spiked and then pulled back sharply, but capital did not flow into crypto the way some expected. That raises questions about who is moving money and why.

Market Moves And What To Watch Next

Bitcoin fell to $78,150 at the time this report was made. The top crypto asset hit a level many traders watch closely after a flash crash last October. It is now more than 35% under the peak it reached on Oct. 6, 2025, and volatility is high.

Different Roles, Different Clocks: ARK’s View On Bitcoin And Gold

Overall, ARK’s stance remains consistent. Reports show the firm still views Bitcoin as a long-term asset tied to adoption and network growth, even during sharp drawdowns.

Gold, in contrast, is being watched for signs of exhaustion after an extreme run tied to money supply fears. In ARK’s view, the two assets play different roles, move on different clocks, and should not be judged by short-term price action alone.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat is ARK Invest's long-term view on Bitcoin according to the article?

AARK Invest views Bitcoin as a long-term asset tied to adoption and network growth, maintaining a consistent stance even during sharp price drawdowns.

QWhat historical correlation between Bitcoin and gold prices does Cathie Wood cite in her tweet?

ACathie Wood cites a correlation of 0.14 between Bitcoin and gold prices since early 2020, indicating their daily price moves rarely sync up.

QWhat did ARK's research director discover about gold's market value compared to the US M2 money supply?

AARK's research director found that the ratio of gold's market value to the US M2 money supply is at a level not seen since the 1930s and around the same era as 1980, an extreme that has historically preceded a big reversal.

QHow did the recent price action of precious metals and Bitcoin differ from previous major cycles?

AIn past major rallies, gold's gains were followed by strong gains for Bitcoin, but this time the sequence stalled as precious metals spiked and pulled back sharply without the expected capital flow into crypto.

QWhat is Bitcoin's current price and how does it compare to its recent peak according to the article?

ABitcoin fell to $78,150 at the time of the report, which is more than 35% under the peak it reached on October 6, 2025.

Related Reads

In Conversation with Ray Dalio: We Are Currently in an AI Bubble, with 1% of My Portfolio in Bitcoin

Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warns in an interview that the current AI boom shows classic bubble characteristics, which could lead to significant economic downturns as seen in past cycles like 1929 or 2000. He explains that speculative enthusiasm, fueled by debt and overvaluation, often precedes a crash when rising rates or taxation force asset sales, causing widespread losses and recession. Dalio also outlines his "Big Cycle" theory, describing an approximate 80-year pattern where widening wealth gaps, massive government deficits, and shifting geopolitical power (like China's rise) create internal conflict and global instability. He emphasizes that we are in a late-cycle, transitional phase where traditional powers like the US and UK face decline. For personal wealth protection, Dalio advises diversification beyond cash into assets like stocks, bonds, real estate, and particularly gold, which he prefers over Bitcoin. While he holds about 1% of his portfolio in Bitcoin as a non-printable hard asset, he views gold as more secure from technological or governmental threats. Regarding AI's impact, Dalio believes it will disproportionately benefit capital owners, worsening inequality by replacing both physical and cognitive labor. He suggests that human intuition and emotional intelligence, combined with AI, will be key for future workers. On taxation, Dalio argues that wealth taxes are impractical and risk triggering asset sell-offs, reducing productive investment. He points to the UK as a cautionary example of debt, low productivity, and political strife. Geopolitically, Dalio foresees a more regionalized world, with the US showing weakness in prolonged conflicts like with Iran, akin to past imperial declines. The ideal outcome, he suggests, is coexisting powerful blocs (e.g., Americas, China-Asia Pacific) without major war.

marsbit1h ago

In Conversation with Ray Dalio: We Are Currently in an AI Bubble, with 1% of My Portfolio in Bitcoin

marsbit1h ago

Daily 7.2 Trillion KRW: Foreign Capital's Record Net Buying on Friday! Wall Street Says Headwinds for Korean Stock Fund Flows Have Subsided

South Korean stock market sees a dramatic shift in fund flows. On July 31, foreign investors made a record net purchase of approximately KRW 7.2 trillion in KOSPI stocks, marking a fundamental reversal from the persistent large-scale net outflows seen in previous months. This contributed to a significant narrowing of foreign net selling in July to KRW 9.8 trillion, down sharply from KRW 48.4 trillion in June and KRW 44.5 trillion in May. Simultaneously, domestic institutional pressure eased. South Korean pension funds and asset managers turned to a net buying position in July, purchasing KRW 1.0 trillion worth of KOSPI shares, contrasting with net sales in May and June. Market volatility is expected to be dampened by new financial regulations. Effective July 31, the Financial Services Commission tightened access for retail investors to single-stock leveraged ETFs by raising the minimum cash deposit requirement. Trading volumes for these products subsequently dropped to about 50% of their monthly average. Citigroup Research maintains its year-end KOSPI target of 10,000 points. The firm cites several supportive factors: the substantial easing of headwinds from capital outflows, a robust fundamental outlook for the semiconductor sector, historically low market valuations, strong economic fundamentals, and the potential for policy support from financial authorities if needed.

marsbit1h ago

Daily 7.2 Trillion KRW: Foreign Capital's Record Net Buying on Friday! Wall Street Says Headwinds for Korean Stock Fund Flows Have Subsided

marsbit1h ago

Thanks to Dice Rolls, Bitcoin Keys Are Stored Offline, But Not Everyone Will Do It

The article discusses using dice rolls to generate secure Bitcoin wallet seeds, providing entropy independent of potentially flawed hardware random number generators. It explains that each fair dice roll offers about 2.585 bits of entropy, with around 50 rolls needed for a standard 12-word seed phrase and 99+ recommended for higher security. This method gained attention after a vulnerability was revealed in some Coldcard hardware wallets, where a faulty firmware RNG (dating back to 2021) compromised generated keys. The analysis notes that while a dice-generated main seed was safe from this specific flaw, other Coldcard functions (like creating paper wallets, backup keys, or passwords) could still be vulnerable if they used the defective RNG. The piece argues that while dice-based entropy is technically robust, the manual process is error-prone, tedious, and unrealistic for most new users, who might make mistakes in recording or inputting rolls. It concludes that while manual entropy generation should remain an option for advanced users, the long-term goal is to develop reliable, user-friendly hardware and software that securely generates randomness without requiring specialized knowledge. Coldcard users are advised to check their firmware version and replace any secondary secrets (like paper wallet keys) created with vulnerable devices, while also considering multi-signature setups with devices from different manufacturers for added security.

cryptonews.ru6h ago

Thanks to Dice Rolls, Bitcoin Keys Are Stored Offline, But Not Everyone Will Do It

cryptonews.ru6h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

1.4k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片