Why Bitcoin Price Failed To Breach $80K: An On-Chain Deep Dive

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-04-25Last updated on 2026-04-25

Abstract

Bitcoin's price recently surged to a three-month high above $79,000 but struggled to break the $80,000 resistance. According to on-chain analysis, a key reason is the "True Market Mean Price," a metric representing the average cost basis of active market participants, which acted as a strong resistance level. Additionally, a shift in market sentiment toward FOMO (fear of missing out) and euphoria signaled caution among traders. Analysts suggest that a confirmed breakout would require holding above this level for about three days. As of the latest data, BTC is trading around $77,588.

After the early-week jitters, the Bitcoin price eventually mustered the bullish momentum that has become a mainstay of its weekly performance. Rising from its sub-$74,000 ashes, the premier cryptocurrency soared to an almost three-month high above $79,000 on Wednesday, April 22.

However, there has been a minor concern about Bitcoin’s price failing to breach $80,000 in its latest rally. Below is an on-chain perspective on why the market leader’s price action has slowed over the past few days.

Bitcoin Price Faces Significant Resistance At $80K

In a new post on the social media platform X, Alphractal CEO and founder Joao Wedson has offered one reason why the Bitcoin price struggled to break $80,000 in recent days. According to the pundit, BTC’s price faced resistance at a relevant on-chain level known as the True Market Mean Price.

For context, the True Market Mean Price is a metric that estimates the average cost basis of active market participants. This on-chain indicator excludes dormant (or lost) coins and miner revenue, focusing on the real, circulating portion of the supply.

The True Market Mean Price distinguishes between traders and long-term dormant holders, providing a more precise average cost basis for active participants (who tend to have a greater impact on the price). Hence, it functions as a dynamic support and resistance level, due to its psychological relevance to traders.

Source: @joao_wedson on X

As Wedson noted in his post, the True Market Mean Price is one of the reasons the Bitcoin price failed to maintain its rally above $79,000. As shown in the chart above, the on-chain metric also provided significant support for the premier cryptocurrency in late 2025.

Wedson added that even if the price of BTC breaks the True Market Mean, it would be best for investors to wait about 3 days for confirmation of a breakout. “Otherwise, the higher probability is that bears may gain some control over price in the coming days/week,” the Alphractal founder warned.

Crowd FOMO Crashes $80K Party For BTC

Another reason the Bitcoin price momentum slowed was a shift in investor sentiment, with the crypto crowd moving into FOMO (fear of missing out) mode on Thursday, April 23rd. According to Santiment, the market was euphoric — a clear caution signal — as premier cryptocurrency approached $80,000.

The analytics firm wrote on X:

Prices can continue to rally, and a breach above this resistance level would be massive in bringing in new and returning traders. However, it will ideally happen when optimism calms down just slightly.

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $77,588, reflecting a mere 0.3% dip in the past 24 hours. 

The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Trending Cryptos

ctr
CitreaCTR
wstusdt
wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT
apr
aPrioriAPR
ctx
Cryptex FinanceCTX
audio
AudiusAUDIO
comp
CompoundCOMP
mantra
MantraMANTRA
waxl
AxelarWAXL
bill
Billions NetworkBILL
pyth
PYTH (Pyth)PYTH
rune
THORChainRUNE
brev
BrevisBREV
cake
PancakeSwapCAKE
jst
JUSTJST
sun
SUNSUN

Related Questions

QWhat is the True Market Mean Price and why did it act as a resistance for Bitcoin's price?

AThe True Market Mean Price is an on-chain metric that estimates the average cost basis of active market participants, excluding dormant coins and miner revenue. It acts as a dynamic support and resistance level due to its psychological relevance to traders, which is why Bitcoin's price struggled to break above $80,000.

QAccording to the article, what did Joao Wedson suggest investors should do if the price breaks the True Market Mean level?

AJoao Wedson suggested that even if the price breaks the True Market Mean, investors should wait about 3 days for confirmation of a breakout. Otherwise, there is a higher probability that bears may gain control over the price in the coming days or week.

QWhat other reason, besides on-chain resistance, caused Bitcoin's price momentum to slow down near $80,000?

AA shift in investor sentiment, with the crypto crowd moving into FOMO (fear of missing out) mode, caused the price momentum to slow. The market was described as euphoric, which is a caution signal.

QWhat was the price of Bitcoin at the time of writing, and what was its 24-hour performance?

AAt the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin stood at around $77,588, reflecting a mere 0.3% dip in the past 24 hours.

QOn what date did Bitcoin's price soar to an almost three-month high above $79,000?

ABitcoin's price soared to an almost three-month high above $79,000 on Wednesday, April 22.

Related Reads

Inside the Fed, Hawkish Sentiments Strengthen: Three Members Explain Why They Want an Interest Rate Hike!

Although the U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates steady as expected in July, several officials dissented, advocating for an increase. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack argued that high inflation is likely persistent and won't spontaneously fall to the 2% target, warning that delays could necessitate more aggressive future hikes. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari emphasized the risk of inflation becoming entrenched, favoring a gradual tightening approach. He suggested small, preemptive steps would allow the Fed to better manage the economic impact compared to waiting and potentially needing harsher measures later. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan also supported a rate hike, stressing the need for immediate action to address high inflation. All three officials had similarly opposed the decision to pause rate hikes at the Fed's April meeting.

cryptonews.ru28m ago

Inside the Fed, Hawkish Sentiments Strengthen: Three Members Explain Why They Want an Interest Rate Hike!

cryptonews.ru28m ago

Has Bitcoin Bottomed, or Is a 'Shakeout' Approaching? What's the Situation with XRP?

Cryptocurrency analytics platform Santiment shared key insights on Bitcoin and altcoin markets, highlighting significant signals from on-chain data. Analysis shows Bitcoin's 365-day MVRV ratio has fallen to -26%, indicating substantial losses for long-term holders, a level historically associated with market bottom formations and long-term buying opportunities. While short-term MVRV is near breakeven, suggesting no clear directional signal, the annual perspective points to a bottom before bullish cycles. On-chain data reveals divergent behavior: large wallets (10-10,000 BTC) have been accumulating, adding ~18,500 BTC in 10 days, while smaller retail investors continue buying dips. Analysts caution that high retail demand can sometimes create a risk of a final market shakeout or correction. The altcoin market shows a mixed picture. Ethereum's 365-day MVRV is around -33%, but recent monthly gains combined with overly optimistic social sentiment pose a short-term correction risk. XRP is in oversold territory with 30-day and 365-day MVRVs at -57.5% and -45.5% respectively, signaling potential for a strong mid-to-long term rebound. Social activity and optimism are rising for Solana, while investor sentiment remains calmer towards Cardano. Future direction for Bitcoin and altcoins depends not only on on-chain metrics but also on macroeconomic and regulatory developments. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and upcoming policy rulings are increasing market volatility expectations, while uncertainty around the U.S. Congressional clarity process continues to pressure pricing. *This is not investment advice.

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Has Bitcoin Bottomed, or Is a 'Shakeout' Approaching? What's the Situation with XRP?

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Rumors Spread About Altcoin: Former Employees Speak Out

Rumors are circulating about the Solana-based meme launchpad Pump.fun allegedly conducting employee layoffs just before significant token unlocks. According to reports, the company began terminating employees around two months before their $PUMP tokens were scheduled to vest. At least one former employee reportedly lost tokens now valued at over $1 million. Internal documents suggest Pump.fun cited overly rapid growth as a reason for layoffs starting in early April. Terminated employees were offered severance, but the major loss stemmed from forfeiting their allocated $PUMP tokens per their agreements, which stipulated a four-year vesting schedule. A second wave of layoffs reportedly occurred in mid-July, with claims that some employees were dismissed just one day before their tokens unlocked. The total number of employees let go over two months is said to exceed 40. Pump.fun co-founders have not commented. Despite an approximate 79% drop from its 2025 peak, $PUMP retains substantial value. The platform itself has been highly profitable since late 2024, generating around $1.3 billion in total revenue and facilitating the creation of over 20.8 million tokens, with daily revenue reportedly still near $1 million.

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Rumors Spread About Altcoin: Former Employees Speak Out

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Ethereum Experiences a 43-Day Queue for Staking: But According to One Expert, This Is Not a True Bull Signal

A 43-day queue has formed for staking on Ethereum, with about 2.5 million ETH awaiting activation due to a surge in new validators. However, Thomas Brunner of Sygnum Bank cautions that this backlog should not be seen as a direct bullish signal. He explains it reflects institutional demand but is heavily influenced by Ethereum's protocol mechanics, like the post-Dencun daily validator activation limit of ~57,600 ETH, unchanged with the Pectra upgrade. Pectra allows topping up existing validators, but even small additions join the same activation queue as new stakers. Therefore, the queue comprises not just new investor demand but also restaking and reward compounding from existing participants. Brunner suggests a stronger positive signal is the nearly empty withdrawal queue, indicating current stakers are holding. He notes institutional interest persists despite ETH price weakness, viewing staking yield as a core feature, though privacy concerns over on-chain traceability remain a key barrier to faster institutional adoption.

cryptonews.ru2h ago

Ethereum Experiences a 43-Day Queue for Staking: But According to One Expert, This Is Not a True Bull Signal

cryptonews.ru2h ago

Bank of Korea Reveals Results of Tokenized Deposit Testing

The Bank of Korea has announced the results of its pilot test for tokenized deposits. Involving 28 central banks and international financial organizations, the project saw participation from major South Korean banks including KB Kookmin Bank, NH NongHyup Bank, Shinhan Bank, Woori Bank, and Hana Bank. Transactions, from payment orders to final settlement, were completed in real time, averaging just 80 seconds. The test involved 30 transactions across 17 different scenarios—such as corporate and interbank transfers—and was conducted in six currencies, including the Korean won, US dollar, and euro, with a total transaction value reaching approximately $995,000. The central bank reported that the platform operated stably throughout, despite being only partially connected to the existing banking infrastructure. Settlements using tokenized deposits were executed seamlessly, quickly, and transparently. An internal transfer of 20 million won (about $13,890) between NH NongHyup Bank and Shinhan Bank was also successfully processed via the Project Agora platform, which involved connecting to the Bank of Korea's CBDC test platform, Project Hangang. Additionally, KB Kookmin Bank and Japan's MUFG Bank tested cross-border payments using these deposit tokens—digital certificates issued by commercial banks within the pilot, not directly by the central bank. The Bank of Korea plans to continue testing payments with tokenized deposits. This follows last year's pledge by South Korean authorities to tighten regulations for won-based stablecoins, which will require approval from both the central bank and the Financial Services Commission.

cryptonews.ru3h ago

Bank of Korea Reveals Results of Tokenized Deposit Testing

cryptonews.ru3h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

1.3k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions