Three Indicators Point to the Same Signal Regarding Bitcoin: Bullish or Bearish Trend?

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-07Last updated on 2026-08-07

Abstract

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez suggests that Bitcoin's price may have formed a macro bottom, as three long-term technical indicators are signaling in the same direction. First, a monthly TD Sequential buy signal has appeared, similar to one that successfully pinpointed the market bottom in 2022. Second, Bitcoin is nearing its 50-month Simple Moving Average (SMA), a level that has historically acted as strong support during significant market lows since 2014. Third, the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) has dropped to -71. This level, last seen in June when Bitcoin fell to around $57,000, is associated with oversold conditions and has sometimes coincided with major Bitcoin lows. Martinez states that, collectively, these indicators strengthen the technical case for a potential macro base formation for Bitcoin. He cautions, however, that these are based on past price action and do not guarantee future performance.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez stated that a macro-level bottom may have formed in the Bitcoin price, noting that three long-term technical indicators are signaling in the same direction.

Martinez said that a buy signal from the TD Sequential has formed on Bitcoin's monthly chart. According to the analyst, this rare signal successfully indicated the market bottom in 2022. Martinez suggested that the current signal may similarly be pointing to a new cyclical bottoming zone.

The second factor highlighted by the analyst was Bitcoin's proximity to its 50-month Simple Moving Average (SMA). Martinez noted that this long-term support level has intersected with Bitcoin's price at numerous significant market lows since 2014. Therefore, he argued that the current level could be a historically strong support zone.

The third highlighted indicator was data from the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO). According to Martinez, the CMO indicator has fallen to -71. It was noted that the indicator last reached these levels in June, when the Bitcoin price dropped to around $57,000.

The Chande Momentum Oscillator measures the relative strength of upward and downward price momentum over a specified period. The indicator is used to assess whether the market is in an overbought or oversold zone, as well as to gauge the strength of the current trend. Historically, relatively low CMO levels have sometimes coincided with significant Bitcoin lows.

Martinez stated that when these three long-term indicators are considered together, the technical outlook for a possible macroeconomic base formation for Bitcoin is strengthened. However, these indicators are based on past price movements and do not, by themselves, guarantee future price performance.

*This is not investment advice.

end-content

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat did crypto analyst Ali Martinez suggest about the Bitcoin price based on three long-term technical indicators?

AAli Martinez suggested that a macro-level bottom may have formed in Bitcoin's price, as three long-term technical indicators are signaling in the same direction for a potential cyclical bottom zone.

QWhich specific technical indicator signaled a buy on Bitcoin's monthly chart according to the article?

AAccording to the article, the TD Sequential indicator signaled a buy on Bitcoin's monthly chart.

QWhat is the significance of Bitcoin's price nearing its 50-month Simple Moving Average (SMA), as mentioned by Martinez?

AMartinez noted that Bitcoin's 50-month SMA has acted as a long-term support level, intersecting with the price at numerous significant market lows since 2014, making the current level a historically strong support zone.

QWhat did the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) reading of -71 indicate, based on its historical performance?

AA Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) reading of -71 historically indicates that the market may be oversold, and such low levels have sometimes coincided with significant Bitcoin price bottoms, like the one near $57,000 in June.

QWhat disclaimer does the article include regarding the technical indicators mentioned?

AThe article includes a disclaimer stating that these indicators are based on past price movements and do not guarantee future price action, and that this is not investment advice.

Related Reads

The person closest to the Federal Reserve commented on US non-farm payroll data!

The U.S. non-farm sector lost 23,000 jobs in July, indicating the labor market has not yet stabilized following four months of positive growth, although the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1%. Following the weak jobs data, Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos, known for his close ties to Federal Reserve policy, stated that interpreting the July employment report will be a complex task for the Fed. According to Timiraos, the new data showing the labor market is no longer improving could reduce the need for the Fed to raise interest rates next month. However, the most critical factor determining the direction of the interest rate decision will be inflation data. He noted that market focus will remain on inflation, especially as unemployment continues to fall, with rising or falling price pressures likely to shape the Fed's approach to interest rate policy. Therefore, moderate inflation data could strengthen the argument for the Fed to leave rates unchanged. Specifically, two consecutive months of moderate inflation could be interpreted as a sign that slowing price pressures are becoming a more pronounced trend, not a temporary fluctuation. Conversely, positive inflation data could force the Fed to reconsider its current inflation forecasts and increase the likelihood of a rate hike. Timiraos added that if inflation proves to be high, forecasts of reaching inflation targets without changing interest rates could be questioned by more Fed officials. In such a scenario, support for a rate hike among policymakers could increase.

cryptonews.ru1h ago

The person closest to the Federal Reserve commented on US non-farm payroll data!

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

1.6k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片