# Token Valuation Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Token Valuation", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Reflections and Confusions of a Crypto VC

An encrypted VC's reflection on the current crypto investment landscape, which is undergoing a significant reset. Token exits, once the primary driver of outsized returns, are being redefined in real-time, with no established valuation framework yet emerging. Key market shifts include: the rise of tokens like HYPE, which demonstrated that token prices can be backed by real, on-chain revenue, forcing a reassessment of governance tokens with weak fundamentals; a massive supply shock from meme coins (e.g., PUMP) fragmenting liquidity; and the diversion of retail speculative capital into prediction markets, stock perps, and leveraged ETFs. Major questions VCs are now grappling with: whether they are underwriting equity, tokens, or a hybrid; what constitutes best practices for on-chain value accrual beyond potentially toxic token buybacks; and whether the "crypto premium" will vanish entirely, compressing token valuations to traditional equity multiples and potentially crashing Layer 1 valuations by over 95%. The author argues the pendulum has swung too far towards quantitative DeFi metrics and that qualitative factors like culture, innovation, and security remain crucial for non-DeFi projects. The conclusion is that token return expectations have compressed significantly, pushing later-stage investors towards "Web2.5" companies with tangible revenue. Crypto VCs must now prove their value beyond capital by offering strong branding and value-add to founders to survive.

marsbit04/13 01:33

Reflections and Confusions of a Crypto VC

marsbit04/13 01:33

How Are L1 Blockchain's Fee Revenues Gradually 'Eaten Away' by L2s, Proprietary AMMs, and Hyperliquid?

This analysis examines how Layer-1 (L1) blockchain transaction fee revenues are systematically eroded by innovations like Layer-2 solutions (L2), private AMMs, and platforms like Hyperliquid. Bitcoin’s fee revenue, driven by network congestion, has diminished over cycles due to optimizations like SegWit, batching, and Lightning Network, with recent activity like Ordinals providing only short-lived spikes. Ethereum’s DeFi and NFT booms once generated massive fees, but L2 rollups and the Dencun upgrade (EIP-4844) drastically reduced data costs, causing a 95% drop in L1 fee revenue as activity migrated off-chain. Solana’s revenue relies heavily on MEV and priority fees from memecoin trading. However, private AMMs and Hyperliquid’s off-chain order routing are capturing the most profitable transactions, compressing Solana’s MEV earnings by over 90% from their peak. Hyperliquid platform, while currently profitable from perpetual trading, faces future fee compression as it competes with traditional finance venues like CME, where fee structures are vastly more efficient. The report concludes that L1s struggle to sustainably capture value from fees due to structural dynamics in permissionless networks. Token valuations are increasingly decoupled from fee-based earnings, relying instead on staking yields, ETFs, narratives, and macro liquidity—making them vulnerable to sentiment shifts and speculative flows.

比推02/26 14:58

How Are L1 Blockchain's Fee Revenues Gradually 'Eaten Away' by L2s, Proprietary AMMs, and Hyperliquid?

比推02/26 14:58

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