# Recovery Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Recovery", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Annual Loss Rate Only 0.03%: Data Disassembles the Real Risk of DeFi Lending

DeFi lending's real-world annual loss rate from hacks and exploits is approximately 0.03% of the Total Value Locked (TVL), excluding cross-chain bridge incidents. This analysis, based on data from DeFi Llama, shows that while lending protocols are frequent targets due to their concentrated assets, the actual financial impact relative to the sector's massive scale is minimal. The overall DeFi hack total of $77.51B is heavily skewed by cross-chain bridge breaches. Removing those, losses drop to $45.18B, with lending and AMM protocols being the most affected non-bridge categories. Risk has significantly improved as the ecosystem has matured. For the year leading to May 2026, net losses in EVM and Solana lending protocols were $30.1 million against an average daily TVL of $99.6 billion, resulting in the 0.03% loss rate. Notably, the industry's asset recovery capability, exemplified by the full recovery and surplus from the Euler Finance hack, mitigates net losses, with a ~20% recovery rate for non-bridge lending incidents. Attack scale follows a log-normal distribution, meaning most incidents are small, and catastrophic losses are rare. This demonstrates that diversification across protocols is an effective risk mitigation strategy. The data indicates that DeFi lending has evolved into a measurable, compartmentalized, and relatively low-risk sector within the broader digital asset landscape.

marsbitYesterday 07:46

Annual Loss Rate Only 0.03%: Data Disassembles the Real Risk of DeFi Lending

marsbitYesterday 07:46

Bitcoin at $80,000: Recovery Clear, But Bullish Conviction Lacking

Bitcoin has reclaimed $80K, supported by renewed US ETF inflows, spot buying activity, and a constructive shift in trader positioning. The relative unrealized loss metric has compressed sharply from its February peak, suggesting the sell-off was a shallow correction rather than a deep bear market. However, the recovery lacks the conviction of prior bull cycles, as evidenced by net capital inflows ($2.8B/month) remaining well below the $10B+ monthly thresholds seen in previous major uptrends. Key technical levels show support near $76.9K and resistance around $86.9K. Derivatives markets signal calmer conditions, with implied volatility compressing and skew normalizing, indicating reduced demand for downside protection. While market structure is improving, sustained movement above the current supply zone will likely require stronger spot demand and deeper capital rotation.

marsbit05/14 07:52

Bitcoin at $80,000: Recovery Clear, But Bullish Conviction Lacking

marsbit05/14 07:52

Bitcoin Retail Demand Turns Positive Again: Is The Crowd Coming Back?

Bitcoin retail demand has turned positive again, with its 30-day change surging to +4.38% after plunging into negative territory in March. This metric tracks transaction activity for transfers under $10,000, indicating renewed interest from small-scale investors. While this marks a significant improvement from last month's low of -8.2%, overall retail transaction volume remains below February levels. Concurrently, the recent price recovery has improved the situation for short-term holders (STHs), with the percentage of their supply in loss dropping to 38%. Bitcoin is currently trading around $80,700. The key question is whether this positive shift in retail sentiment will continue and lead to a full-scale return of small investors.

bitcoinist05/13 19:36

Bitcoin Retail Demand Turns Positive Again: Is The Crowd Coming Back?

bitcoinist05/13 19:36

Historical Data Shows Bitcoin Price Has Never Breached This Level – Will It Start Now?

Historical data reveals a consistent pattern in Bitcoin's price action: after recovering 30% from a cycle low, it has never retested that bottom. This has held true across six major cycles since 2011. The current cycle, which saw a low near $61,300 in February, is approaching this critical threshold at approximately $79,694. Bitcoin has already up about 28% and needs just a 2.7% increase to breach this historically significant level. Supporting this bullish signal, exchange reserves have hit new lows, and large investors have accumulated the most BTC in a month since 2013.

bitcoinist04/26 14:23

Historical Data Shows Bitcoin Price Has Never Breached This Level – Will It Start Now?

bitcoinist04/26 14:23

Kelp DAO Hack: Aave DAO Proposes To Contribute 25,000 ETH To Recovery Efforts

Aave DAO has proposed contributing 25,000 ETH from its treasury to a coordinated recovery effort following a major exploit on Kelp DAO. The attack, which occurred on April 18, targeted Kelp's rsETH Ethereum LayerZero adapter, resulting in a loss of approximately 163,183 ETH. Through frozen assets, recovered funds, and expected liquidations, over half the deficit has been covered, but a gap of roughly 75,081 ETH remains. A coalition named "DeFi United," including pledges from EtherFi, Lido, Ethena, and a credit line from Mantle, is mobilizing to restore the system. Aave's anchored contribution is a key part of this effort to reintroduce liquidity and fully back the affected tokens.

bitcoinist04/25 15:02

Kelp DAO Hack: Aave DAO Proposes To Contribute 25,000 ETH To Recovery Efforts

bitcoinist04/25 15:02

Bitcoin Has Entered A Bull Market And Will Continue To Rise; Analyst Shares Why

Bitcoin has entered a new bull market phase, according to analysts, following its rebound from around $60,000 to over $78,000. Analysts from Bitwise and Grayscale point to improved market structure, a potential bottom formation near $60,000–$63,000, and growing buyer confidence as key indicators. Easing geopolitical tensions, such as the Iran ceasefire extension, and a shift in market sentiment from extreme fear to greed have also supported the rally. The recovery has allowed recent buyers to break even, with Bitcoin's strength amid bearish events signaling sustained upward momentum.

bitcoinist04/24 22:32

Bitcoin Has Entered A Bull Market And Will Continue To Rise; Analyst Shares Why

bitcoinist04/24 22:32

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Back In Profit As Price Recovers Upward Momentum

With Bitcoin's price recovering above $77,000 and analysts predicting a surge toward $80,000, short-term holders have returned to profitability. The Short-Term Holder SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) has risen to around 1.01, indicating these investors are now selling at a profit rather than a loss. This shift suggests improved market sentiment, though sustained levels above 1 are crucial to avoid renewed selling pressure. Meanwhile, large investors (whales) are accumulating Bitcoin aggressively, with addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC adding 270,000 BTC in 30 days—the largest monthly absorption since 2013. Exchange reserves have hit a 7-year low, signaling strong holding behavior and bullish momentum.

bitcoinist04/24 22:02

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Back In Profit As Price Recovers Upward Momentum

bitcoinist04/24 22:02

Bitcoin Has Likely Found Bottom—3 Indicators Make $100,000 Seem Much Nearer

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of having bottomed out and may be poised for a rally toward $100,000, according to analyst Ali Martinez. He cites three key indicators supporting this outlook. First, the Sharpe Ratio rebounded from -43 to around 20.35, indicating reduced market volatility and improved risk-adjusted conditions. Second, the Percentage Realized Cap fell below 7%, suggesting low retail activity and a market dominated by long-term holders—a historical bottom signal. Third, the Inter-exchange Flow Pulse shows BTC moving toward derivatives exchanges, indicating growing trader confidence and leveraged long interest. Martinez identifies $73,700 as a critical support level. Holding above it could push BTC toward $96,000, while a break below may lead to a decline toward $55,000.

bitcoinist04/23 22:01

Bitcoin Has Likely Found Bottom—3 Indicators Make $100,000 Seem Much Nearer

bitcoinist04/23 22:01

Arbitrum Pretends to Be the Hacker, 'Steals' Back the Money Lost by KelpDAO

Title: Arbitrum Poses as Hacker to Recover Stolen Funds from KelpDAO Last week, KelpDAO suffered a hack resulting in nearly $300 million in losses, marking the largest DeFi security incident this year. Approximately 30,765 ETH (worth over $70 million) remained on an Arbitrum address controlled by the attacker. In an unprecedented move, Arbitrum’s Security Council utilized its emergency authority to upgrade the Inbox bridge contract, adding a function that allowed them to impersonate the hacker’s address and initiate a transfer without access to its private key. The council’s action, approved by 9 of its 12 members, moved the stolen ETH to a frozen address in a single transaction before reverting the contract to its original state. The operation was coordinated with law enforcement, which attributed the attack to North Korea’s Lazarus Group. Community reactions are divided: some praise the recovery of funds, while others question the centralization of power, as the council can upgrade core contracts without governance votes. However, such emergency mechanisms are common among major L2s. Despite the partial recovery, over $292 million was stolen in total, with more than $100 million in bad debt on Aave and remaining funds scattered across other chains. The incident highlights escalating security challenges in DeFi, with state-sponsored hackers employing advanced tactics and L2s responding with elevated countermeasures.

marsbit04/21 07:59

Arbitrum Pretends to Be the Hacker, 'Steals' Back the Money Lost by KelpDAO

marsbit04/21 07:59

Bitcoin Recovery Fails To Lift Market Sentiment From Extreme Fear

Despite Bitcoin's recent recovery to around $74,800, the overall market sentiment remains in "extreme fear," according to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. The index, which measures investor sentiment based on factors like volatility, social media, and trading volume, is at a value of 23, just inside the extreme fear zone. This marks a continued period of bearish sentiment since late 2025. Although Bitcoin's rally provided a brief uplift in mid-March, the current price movement has not been enough to shift market psychology into a more positive or greedy territory. For sentiment to improve, a sustained bullish momentum may be required.

bitcoinist04/17 11:02

Bitcoin Recovery Fails To Lift Market Sentiment From Extreme Fear

bitcoinist04/17 11:02

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