# Optical Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Optical", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

SemiAnalysis Report Claims Delay in Two Key Technologies, Triggers Sharp Decline in 'Optoelectronics', Sparking Online Debate Over CPO

A report from analysis firm SemiAnalysis, claiming significant delays in two key AI data center technologies, triggered a sharp sell-off in the photonics sector and sparked intense online debate. The report, dated June 10, states that NVIDIA's 800VDC power architecture rollout is pushed to 2028 and CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) mass production is likely delayed until 2028 or even 2029. Following the news, U.S. optical communication stocks fell sharply, with AAOI dropping 17% and Lumentum down about 8%. The delays were attributed to engineering challenges like photonic engine yield and cost-effectiveness, not a disappearance of demand. Simultaneously, an interview with NVIDIA's networking SVP Gilad Shainer presented an opposing, optimistic view, stating CPO is "the most exciting thing" and shipments would begin scaling in the second half of the year. This contradiction fueled debate on social media. Bears pointed to unresolved reliability and maintenance hurdles for CPO. Bulls argued the delay simply redirects capital to interim solutions like traditional pluggable optical modules and NPO (Near-Packaged Optics), extending their revenue runway. Some users questioned the report's internal logic and timing, noting similar views had circulated earlier. Analysts highlighted potential beneficiaries, including companies in the 1.6T pluggable modules, NPO, and 400VDC power transition supply chains. The consensus suggests the market reaction reflects a recalibration of the technology adoption timeline rather than a fundamental weakening of AI infrastructure demand, with key bottlenecks like power, storage, and GPUs remaining unchanged.

marsbit06/10 02:08

SemiAnalysis Report Claims Delay in Two Key Technologies, Triggers Sharp Decline in 'Optoelectronics', Sparking Online Debate Over CPO

marsbit06/10 02:08

Optical Modules Soar, Why Is NOK the Second Leader After MRVL?

Nokia's stock has surged nearly 170% to around $16.8 since Nvidia's $1 billion investment and AI-RAN partnership in October 2025, reflecting a market re-rating from a cyclical telecom equipment provider to an AI infrastructure player. This rise, adding roughly $60 billion in market cap, is driven by AI capex expansion into telecom edge, RAN, and optical networks. The company's Q1 2026 results showed strong momentum, with AI & Cloud net sales up 49% and 10 billion euros in new orders, prompting Nokia to raise its AI & Cloud market growth forecast to a 27% CAGR (2025-2028). Optical network growth of 20% further strengthens its position in connecting AI data centers. Recent tests with operators like T-Mobile and the opening of an AI Networking Innovation Lab demonstrate progress from concept to early commercial deployment. Nokia's strategy integrates Nvidia GPUs into its network hardware, enabling concurrent AI processing and RAN tasks for real-time optimization and new edge services. However, with a trailing P/E nearing 100x and consensus price targets lagging the current stock price, significant future growth is already priced in. The key constraint now is the pace and scale of large-scale operator deployments. While execution signals remain positive and the company's position in AI edge infrastructure is established, high valuation leaves limited room for error, making tangible commercial contracts the critical factor for further stock performance.

marsbit06/03 04:39

Optical Modules Soar, Why Is NOK the Second Leader After MRVL?

marsbit06/03 04:39

3 Years, 5 Times: The Rebirth of a Century-Old Glass Factory

Corning, a 175-year-old glass company, is experiencing a dramatic revival as a key player in AI infrastructure, driven by surging demand for high-performance optical fiber in data centers. AI data centers require vastly more fiber than traditional ones—5 to 10 times as much per rack—to handle high-speed data transmission between GPUs. This structural demand shift, coupled with supply constraints from the lengthy expansion cycle for fiber preforms, has created a significant supply-demand gap. Nvidia has invested in Corning, along with Lumentum and Coherent, in a $4.5 billion total commitment to secure the optical supply chain for AI. Corning's competitive edge lies in its expertise in producing ultra-low-loss, high-density, and bend-resistant specialty fiber, which is critical for 800G+ and future 1.6T data rates. Its deep involvement in co-packaged optics (CPO) with partners like Nvidia further solidifies its position. While not the largest fiber manufacturer globally, Corning's revenue from enterprise/data center clients now exceeds 40% of its optical communications sales, and it has secured multi-year supply agreements with major hyperscalers including Meta and Nvidia. Financially, Corning's optical communications revenue has surged, doubling from $1.3 billion in 2023 to over $3 billion in 2025. Its stock price has risen nearly 6-fold since late 2023. Key future catalysts include the rollout of Nvidia's CPO products and the scale of undisclosed customer agreements. However, risks include high current valuations and potential disruption from next-generation technologies like hollow-core fiber. The company's long-term bet on light over electricity, maintained even through the telecom bubble crash, is now being validated by the AI boom.

marsbit05/10 07:37

3 Years, 5 Times: The Rebirth of a Century-Old Glass Factory

marsbit05/10 07:37

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