# Macro Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Macro", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Don't Be Fooled by the Rebound! Bitcoin Could Retest Lows at Any Moment | Exclusive Analysis

**Bitcoin Weekly Analysis: Beware of a Potential Secondary Pullback** Last week, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility, forming a weekly doji candle with a slight gain of 0.03% and a wide 12.36% range. The price action perfectly validated the pre-defined key level of $89,000. Our analyst successfully executed two short-term trades based on this framework, resulting in a total gain of 6.93%. **Technical Outlook:** The weekly chart indicates Bitcoin is on the verge of entering a bear market, with momentum indicators pointing south. The daily chart shows a weakening bullish rebound within a broader bearish structure. **Price Projections for the Week (Dec 8-14):** The market is expected to remain range-bound. Key resistance levels are identified at $91,000, $94,000-$96,500, and $98,500-$100,000. Crucial support zones lie at $85,500-$87,500, $83,500, and around $80,000. **Trading Strategy:** A core medium-term short position (65% allocation) is maintained. For short-term swings (30% allocation), two scenarios are outlined: * **Scenario A (Rebound & Short):** Sell into strength if the price rallies to the $91,000-$94,200 or $98,500 resistance zones, with a stop-loss above $100,000. * **Scenario B (Dip & Buy):** Buy a potential bounce if the price drops to the $83,500-$80,000 support area, with a stop-loss below $80,000. **Macro Focus: The Fed's "Super Week":** This week's price action is heavily dependent on the Federal Reserve's policy decision. While a December rate cut is widely expected, the crucial factor for Bitcoin and risk assets will be the Fed's "dot plot" guidance for 2025 rate cuts. A hawkish dot plot (signaling fewer cuts) could trigger a pullback toward $85,000. A dovish signal (more cuts anticipated) could fuel a rebound above $90,000. Chairman Powell's commentary will be key to short-term volatility.

marsbit12/08 19:49

Don't Be Fooled by the Rebound! Bitcoin Could Retest Lows at Any Moment | Exclusive Analysis

marsbit12/08 19:49

"Pause, Not a Reversal": When Bitcoin Will Break the Lull

The article "Pause, Not a Reversal": When Bitcoin Will Break the Lull" discusses the current state of the cryptocurrency market, which is in a holding pattern ahead of key macroeconomic decisions. According to analysts from Wintermute, the market's attention is focused on upcoming interest rate decisions from the US Federal Reserve (December 10) and the Bank of Japan (December 19). The recent price action is seen as a pause rather than a trend reversal, with liquidity concentrating in Bitcoin and Ethereum. The potential for the Fed to cut rates could improve the investment climate, while concerns exist that the Bank of Japan may raise its rate again, which could cause market stress given Japan's status as a major holder of US debt. Trading volumes have fallen by up to 30% since October, attributed to a shift away from speculative altcoins towards fixed-income instruments. Market expectations for Bitcoin's price by year-end are split between $85,000 and $100,000. The report concludes that in the absence of macroeconomic surprises, cryptocurrency volatility will be driven more by liquidity flows than by fundamental factors.

RBK-crypto12/09 16:14

When Tether No Longer Clings to the Dollar...

Tether, the issuer of the world's largest stablecoin USDT, is shifting its reserve strategy in anticipation of lower interest rates. While its business model thrived during high-rate periods—earning billions from U.S. Treasury holdings—future Fed rate cuts could reduce its interest income significantly. To adapt, Tether has diversified into gold (over 100 tons) and Bitcoin (over 90,000 BTC), which together make up 12-13% of its reserves. These assets historically perform well in low-rate, high-liquidity environments, potentially offsetting lost Treasury yield. However, rating agencies like S&P have expressed concern, downgrading Tether’s stability rating due to increased exposure to volatile assets like Bitcoin and reduced transparency. The key challenge remains maintaining USDT’s dollar peg while navigating this new macroeconomic phase.

比推12/09 19:55

When Tether No Longer Clings to the Dollar...

比推12/09 19:55

Hawkish Rate Cut Triggers Rally Then Plunge: The Truth Behind Bitcoin's 'Painting the Door' Pattern

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 11, 2025, triggering a brief Bitcoin surge to $94,476, followed by a sharp reversal to $91,384. The initial rally was driven by algorithmic misinterpretation of a headline announcing the Fed’s $40 billion monthly Treasury purchases, mistakenly seen as quantitative easing (QE). In reality, these were short-term Reserve Management Purchases (RMP) aimed at maintaining banking system liquidity, not stimulating risk assets. The market downturn accelerated as traders digested the Fed’s hawkish undertones: upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth (from 1.8% to 2.3%) and lower unemployment projections signaled economic strength, reducing the urgency for further rate cuts. This "no-landing" scenario weakened Bitcoin’s appeal as an inflation hedge or safe-haven asset. Additionally, the Fed’s internal division—with three dissenting votes reflecting stark policy disagreements—highlighted unprecedented uncertainty about future monetary policy. Despite the rate cut, real interest rates remained restrictive due to persistent inflation. The episode underscored that Bitcoin can no longer rely solely on Fed-driven liquidity narratives and may face continued pressure as markets repricing risk amid economic resilience and policy ambiguity.

marsbit2 days ago 01:25

Hawkish Rate Cut Triggers Rally Then Plunge: The Truth Behind Bitcoin's 'Painting the Door' Pattern