Solana price prediction – Swing traders should wait for THIS opportunity!

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-01-01Last updated on 2026-01-01

Abstract

Solana emerged as the highest revenue-generating blockchain in 2025, with $1.3 billion in earnings, followed by Hyperliquid and TRON. Despite strong on-chain activity, a market crash in October triggered a bearish trend, pushing SOL below $200. The price has since struggled, with bulls facing resistance near $130 and finding support around $120. The daily chart shows a bearish structure, and the Chaikin Money Flow indicates sustained capital outflows. While the downtrend has slowed, a clear bullish reversal isn't yet evident. Traders are advised to watch for a breakout above $128 or a breakdown below $117 before taking swing positions. A sustained recovery would likely require a broader Bitcoin rally and improved market sentiment. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.

The Solana [SOL] blockchain emerged as the biggest revenue-generating chain of 2025, followed by Hyperliquid [HYPE]. Solana saw $1.3 billion in revenue, while Hyperliquid and third-placed TRON [TRX] revenues measured $816 million and $608 million, respectively.

The on-chain usage also remained consistently high. The positive outlook for Solana lasted for most of the year, but the 10/10 crash snuffed out bullish market sentiment. That sell-off sent SOL below the $200-mark, and it has been a bear-dominated market since.

Its strong blockchain performance was accompanied by a leverage-driven tug-of-war between SOL bulls and bears at the $120-support zone. At the time of writing, the $130-zone was a firm obstacle for the bulls, while the $120-area emerged as a support level.

Solana bulls challenge the local resistance once more

The 1-day price structure was bearish. To flip it bullishly, SOL would need to close a daily trading session above $127.87, the local swing high. The evidence at hand did not show that such a move was brewing.

The CMF on the daily chart has been well below -0.05 over the past two months to indicate sustained, heavy capital flows out of the market. This selling pressure was accompanied by a strong downtrend, which has only lost strength over the last ten days.

The DMI showed a lack of trend at the time of writing, and a move past $130 could change this. The lack of demand meant traders would need patience.

Should traders expect a bullish reversal?

The downtrend has slowed down over the past month though. The capital outflows were severe, but a market structure shift could inspire bullish confidence.

This outcome did not seem likely at press time, but traders need to be open to the possibility.

Traders’ call to action – Wait for a breakout, or a breakdown

The downtrend has slowed down, but an uptrend hasn’t been established yet. Instead, a short-term range between $117 and $128 was established, and lower timeframe traders can use this to their advantage.

Swing traders can wait for a move beyond the range to catch the next impulse move.


Final Thoughts

  • Solana’s network activity and revenue generated in 2025 are evidence of a popular, successful chain.
  • A bullish reversal for the altcoin would need Bitcoin to rally and market-wide sentiment to turn away from the depths of despair.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat was the revenue generated by Solana in 2025, and how did it compare to other blockchains mentioned?

ASolana generated $1.3 billion in revenue in 2025, making it the highest revenue-generating chain. It was followed by Hyperliquid with $816 million and TRON with $608 million in revenue.

QWhat key price levels were identified as support and resistance for Solana at the time of writing?

AAt the time of writing, the $120-area was identified as a key support level, while the $130-zone was a firm resistance obstacle for the bulls.

QAccording to the article, what does Solana need to do on the 1-day chart to flip its price structure to bullish?

ATo flip the 1-day price structure to bullish, Solana would need to close a daily trading session above the local swing high of $127.87.

QWhat does the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator on the daily chart suggest about the market?

AThe CMF on the daily chart has been well below -0.05 for the past two months, indicating sustained and heavy capital outflows from the market.

QWhat is the suggested strategy for swing traders based on the current market conditions for Solana?

AThe article suggests that swing traders should wait for a move beyond the established short-term range (between $117 and $128) to catch the next impulse move, rather than trading within the range.

Related Reads

Within Strategy's Framework, STRC's Dividend Yield Remains at 12% as Share Price Stays Below Par Value

Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy (MSTR), confirmed that the dividend rate for its STRC perpetual preferred shares will remain at 12.00% through August 2026. The rate has increased from 9% at its July 2025 launch to the current high via a "ratchet" mechanism, which permanently raises the rate by 0.5% whenever the share price falls below $95. This mechanism is intended to push the price back toward its $100 par value and support Strategy's "at-the-market" (ATM) program for issuing new shares to fund Bitcoin purchases. However, the mechanism has not worked as intended. STRC shares closed at $89.46 on July 31, remaining about 10-11% below par value despite the record-high dividend. Competition from rival Strive's higher-yielding SATA securities has pressured demand. The persistent discount has forced Strategy to suspend new STRC issuances via its ATM program, limiting this funding channel for Bitcoin acquisitions. STRC's struggles reflect Bitcoin's own volatility, as the preferred shares historically move in tandem. Analysts have warned the ratchet structure carries long-term, one-way risk. A law firm is investigating Strategy's ability to maintain dividend payments if Bitcoin's price stays low. Retail investors own roughly 83% of outstanding STRC shares, a group seen as prone to panic selling during downturns. In response, Strategy has established financial reserves, including a liquidity cushion covering about 26 months of dividend/interest obligations, and a $2 billion share buyback program alongside a Bitcoin monetization framework, though the company emphasized it is not obligated to sell any Bitcoin.

cryptonews.ru41m ago

Within Strategy's Framework, STRC's Dividend Yield Remains at 12% as Share Price Stays Below Par Value

cryptonews.ru41m ago

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

Financial analyst Andrey Poroshin has provided a new forecast for Bitcoin's price dynamics in August. Poroshin, an analyst at the Bitbanker exchange, expects the cryptocurrency market to experience a downturn this month, with prices retesting the $60,000 level due to a lack of supportive macroeconomic catalysts. He noted that the recent US Federal Reserve decision to hold interest rates did not significantly impact the market, while inflation remains above the 2% target. Poroshin stated that Bitcoin is ending July under pressure from moderate volatility and a lack of new macroeconomic stimuli, leading to continued market caution. According to his base scenario, Bitcoin will drop to a range of $60,000 to $62,000 before recovering to $70,000. He pointed out that even $70,000 remains below the cost of mining in the US, which has prompted some miners to shift towards AI data center operations. Poroshin cited the winding down of BitMEX's operations as a potential catalyst for a price rebound, suggesting the exit of weaker players often coincides with market reversals and reduced short-term selling pressure. He believes Bitcoin is currently less susceptible to geopolitical shocks, such as the Iran-US conflict, and does not expect significant market changes in August related to the pending CLARITY Act. Looking ahead, Poroshin forecasts that September will bring more active price fluctuations driven by potential Fed rate decisions and possible discussions or approval of the CLARITY Act.

cryptonews.ru41m ago

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

cryptonews.ru41m ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of SOL (SOL) are presented below.

活动图片