‘Silver and gold have topped’ – Is capital rotating into crypto next?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-01-03Last updated on 2026-01-03

Abstract

Bitcoin has recently underperformed traditional safe-havens like gold and silver, which recently reached all-time highs. Analysts suggested that a metals correction could benefit crypto. Garret Bullish, a prominent trader known as the "White House whale," claimed capital is rotating from metals into cryptocurrencies, citing market movements and his own substantial long positions in BTC, ETH, and SOL. While data shows a short-term shift with rising BTC ETF inflows and declining gold ETF flows, the trend's sustainability remains uncertain. Key events like the Fed rate decision and potential MSCI delisting of BTC treasuries may determine Bitcoin's next price direction.

Bitcoin [BTC] has lagged behind metals or perceived traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver. The recent explosive silver rally to a new all-time high (ATH) of $83 was marked by an extended price range for BTC below $90K.

Analysts had previously stated that the metals surge was capping BTC’s rebound, and a correction could offer relief for the cryptocurrency.

The White House whale, also known as Garret Bullish, has been the most bullish analyst on crypto, citing potential correction on silver and gold.

Now that metals have given back their recent gains, Garret projected that silver and gold had topped out, and capital was moving to crypto.

“At today’s market open, capital has already started rotating into crypto. Even with equities selling off after the open, crypto kept pushing higher.”

He added that a Bitcoin short-squeeze could drive crypto prices without a pullback.

Whale bets big on crypto rebound

For the unfamiliar, Garret Bullish is the White House whale who made a $160 million profit by shorting BTC before Donald Trump’s China tariff in October.

Some claimed he was an insider who traded on policy moves before they were made public.

In fact, in his latest projection, he was putting the money on the line too. Arkham data showed that he controls $10 billion and is up $70 million on the long positions opened across BTC, Ethereum [ETH], and Solana [SOL].

His largest position was ETH with a whopping $634 million and was almost at break-even at the current ETH level of $3K.

In fact, in a similar silver and gold correction in October, BTC rallied 7%. Given Garrett’s access to information on the policy front, his analyses are always hard to ignore.

Will capital rotation extend?

That said, correlation doesn’t necessarily mean causation. Yes, it was true that there was a slight uptick in BTC ETF inflows ($458 million demand in the week of Dec. 28-Jan. 2).

Over the same period, gold ETF inflows continued to ease further. So, there was indeed a slight capital rotation from gold to BTC, as Garrett stated.

However, both assets have experienced a consistent decline in inflows since November.

Additionally, a week was a limited period to conclusively determine whether the trend would persist and lift BTC and the rest of the crypto market. At press time, BTC traded at $89.9K, up 2% in 2026.

Perhaps the potential MSCI delisting of BTC treasuries and the Fed rate decision, scheduled for 15th and 28th of January, respectively, will trigger the next direction of BTC.


Final Thoughts

  • White House insider projected that the crypto market could rally as silver and gold retreated
  • Despite the bullish outlook, the upcoming MSCI index decision and the Fed could affect the market

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QAccording to the article, what did analysts suggest was capping Bitcoin's rebound before the recent metals correction?

AAnalysts suggested that the surge in metals like gold and silver was capping Bitcoin's rebound.

QWho is Garret Bullish, and why is his analysis considered significant in the crypto market?

AGarret Bullish, also known as the White House whale, is a prominent analyst who made a $160 million profit by shorting BTC before a major policy move. His analysis is considered significant due to his alleged insider access to policy information and his large capital influence.

QWhat evidence does the article provide to support the claim that capital is rotating from gold to Bitcoin?

AThe article cites a slight uptick in Bitcoin ETF inflows ($458 million demand in the week of Dec. 28-Jan. 2) while gold ETF inflows continued to ease further during the same period.

QWhat are the two major events in January that the article mentions could trigger the next direction for Bitcoin's price?

AThe potential MSCI delisting of BTC treasuries (scheduled for January 15th) and the Fed rate decision (scheduled for January 28th).

QWhat was Garret Bullish's largest cryptocurrency position, and what was its approximate value?

AGarret Bullish's largest position was in Ethereum (ETH), with a value of approximately $634 million.

Related Reads

STRC Major De-pegging's First Financial Report, How Will Strategy Repair Its Capital Flywheel?

Bitcoin treasury company Strategy released its Q2 2026 earnings report on July 31. Despite a 6.9% year-over-year revenue increase to $122 million, the company recorded a net loss of $8.22 billion, largely due to $8.32 billion in unrealized losses from Bitcoin price fluctuations. As of quarter-end, Strategy holds 843,775 BTC with an average cost of $75,000 per coin, and Bitcoin per share increased. The report highlights a critical shift in Strategy's capital model following the de-pegging of its key financing tool, STRC (Strategic Coin), which fell below its $100 target. Management's top priority is restoring STRC to its target value, aiming for a recovery by September 8. They rule out discounted STRC issuances and plan to maintain its dividend yield at 12%, instead focusing on bolstering its $3.75 billion cash reserve. Strategy has moved from a one-way "buy-and-hold" Bitcoin strategy to active capital management. This new approach, part of its "Digital Credit Capital Framework," involves flexibly managing its balance sheet across four elements: BTC, USD cash, common stock (MSTR), and digital credit securities like STRC. This allows for BTC monetization (having sold $218.4 million in BTC so far), strategic repurchases of discounted securities, and debt optimization, as seen with a $1.5 billion convertible bond buyback. The company's future hinges on two key tests: successfully re-pegging STRC to restore market confidence in its digital credit system, and a long-term recovery in Bitcoin's price to ultimately support its growth thesis.

marsbit33m ago

STRC Major De-pegging's First Financial Report, How Will Strategy Repair Its Capital Flywheel?

marsbit33m ago

STRC's First Financial Report Post-Depegging, How is Strategy Restoring the Capital Flywheel?

On July 31, 2026, Bitcoin treasury company Strategy released its Q2 financial report. Despite a 6.9% year-over-year increase in revenue to $122 million, the company recorded a substantial net loss of $8.22 billion, primarily due to $8.32 billion in unrealized losses from Bitcoin holdings. While Strategy's core Bitcoin strategy remains intact—its holdings grew 11% to 843,775 BTC—the company is undergoing a fundamental shift in its capital model. Following the de-pegging of its key financing tool, the STRCoin (STRC), from its $100 target in May, Strategy has pivoted from a one-directional "raise funds, buy Bitcoin" cycle to a more dynamic, multi-asset capital management approach. A key part of this new framework is the "Monetization Program," through which Strategy has sold approximately $218.4 million worth of BTC to bolster liquidity. The company's top priority is repairing STRC's peg, committing not to issue discounted shares until it returns to its target range. It has initiated a $1 billion buyback program for discounted digital credit securities, having repurchased $28.9 million face value of STRC so far. Management aims to restore the peg around September 8, 2026. Strategy now actively manages a matrix of assets: Bitcoin (for accumulation or strategic sales), USD cash reserves (now at $3.75 billion), common stock (MSTR), and digital credit securities like STRC. This allows for tactical moves like repurchasing discounted debt or equity to capture value. The future success of Strategy's "capital flywheel" hinges on two factors: the short-term ability to successfully re-peg STRC to restore market confidence in its digital credit system, and the long-term price trajectory of Bitcoin, upon which its entire investment thesis ultimately depends.

Odaily星球日报39m ago

STRC's First Financial Report Post-Depegging, How is Strategy Restoring the Capital Flywheel?

Odaily星球日报39m ago

With Two Consecutive Quarters of Losses, Coinbase Must Rely on Paths Beyond Trading

Coinbase posted its second consecutive quarterly net loss of $359 million on $1.22 billion in revenue for Q2, highlighting its vulnerability to crypto market cycles where weaker prices and lower volatility reduce user trading. However, the report also reveals a strategic shift in its business model. Despite a 25% quarter-over-quarter decline in global spot trading volume, Coinbase increased its market share to a company-record 10.3%. This suggests its position as a compliant U.S. on-ramp is strengthening even in a cooler market. A key development is the diversification of revenue streams. Transaction revenue fell to $599 million, nearly equaling subscription and services revenue of $555 million. Stablecoin services, generating $292 million, are becoming a crucial revenue "floor." This income, derived from interest on the $20 billion average USDC balance held on its platform, is less tied to daily trading activity. Furthermore, while spot trading volume dropped significantly, derivatives volume held steady at $1.03 trillion. Coinbase is pushing to integrate spot, stablecoin, and derivatives liquidity to create a more interconnected and sticky ecosystem for users. The GAAP net loss includes non-cash expenses like stock-based compensation and crypto asset valuation changes. Its adjusted EBITDA remained positive at $208 million for the 14th straight quarter, indicating core operations can cover ongoing costs. The company is also reducing expenses to manage the downturn. The central question moving forward is whether Coinbase's growing market share, stablecoin revenues, and expanding product integration can sufficiently offset the inherent cyclicality of its core trading business during future market contractions.

marsbit54m ago

With Two Consecutive Quarters of Losses, Coinbase Must Rely on Paths Beyond Trading

marsbit54m ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

1.1k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片