Post-Mortem of the Venus THE Attack: How to Profit in a Fleeting Window?

marsbitPublished on 2026-03-16Last updated on 2026-03-16

Abstract

Approximately two hours ago, Venus Protocol's THE token was exploited using a classic Mango Markets-style price manipulation attack. The attacker targeted THE, a low-liquidity collateral asset, by depositing it, borrowing other assets, and using those to buy more THE, artificially inflating its price. Once the time-weighted average oracle updated, the inflated price allowed further leveraged borrowing. To bypass THE's borrowing cap, the attacker performed a "donation attack" by transferring THE directly to the vTHE contract, increasing the recognized collateral value. After the first manipulation phase, THE's price stabilized around $0.50. The attacker attempted to further amplify gains by continuing to buy THE, but mounting sell pressure limited price increases and pushed their health factor near 1.0, risking liquidation. The collateral, nominally valued around $30M, had extremely low liquidity, making large-scale liquidation at inflated prices impossible. Recognizing the situation, the writer opened a short position on THE with high leverage, anticipating a price collapse due to overvaluation, illiquidity, and forced selling. After liquidation, THE price plummeted to ~$0.24, below its pre-attack level, resulting in a ~$15K profit for the writer. Venus Protocol was left with ~$2M in bad debt. The attacker likely gained little or lost funds, though may have profited from off-chain positions. The event highlights that nominal collateral value in DeFi does not equal realizabl...

Two hours ago, VenuV's THE token was hit with a classic Mango Markets-style price manipulation attack.

The attacker targeted the low-liquidity collateral THE:

· First, collateralized THE

· Borrowed other assets

· Used the borrowed assets to buy more THE

· Pushed THE price higher

· Waited for the time-weighted average oracle price to update, then obtained higher collateral value and continued the cycle of borrowing.

Due to THE's extremely poor on-chain liquidity, its price was driven from $0.27 to nearly $5. The oracle price subsequently updated to around $0.5 (time-weighted average), giving the attacker room to further amplify leverage.

More critically, THE itself has a supply cap.


Normally, this would limit the attacker's ability to expand their position. But they used a classic old trick to bypass it: the Compound fork donation attack. After depositing a large amount of THE, they directly transferred THE to the vTHE contract, "donating" to further inflate the collateral value recognized by the system and break through the cap.

Attack transaction: 0x4f477e941c12bbf32a58dc12db7bb0cb4d31d41ff25b2457e6af3c15d7f5663f

After the first wave of the attack, THE's price stabilized around $0.5.

At this point, the attacker could have walked away with the borrowed assets. But they clearly wanted to maximize profits, so they continued to use the borrowed assets to buy THE, attempting another pump.

The problem arose: Although the price was abnormally high, selling pressure from the market became extremely intense. The attacker kept buying but could barely push the price higher. Eventually, they almost exhausted their borrowing capacity, and their position's health factor dropped close to 1, nearing liquidation.

By then, the situation was very clear: The attacker's collateral, including their pre-prepared assets and THE bought during the attack, had a nominal value of about 30M. But the core issue with this collateral was—there was simply not enough liquidity to absorb it. Once liquidation began, this THE would be dumped onto the market. And no one in the market could possibly absorb such a large volume at these inflated prices.

So what did I do?

When liquidation started, I directly opened a short position on THE. And this was a position where relatively higher leverage could be applied.

The reason was simple: High valuation, low liquidity, massive passive selling pressure, no buyers.

The outcome was unsurprising: After the liquidation ended, THE's price fell all the way back to around $0.24, even lower than the pre-attack price, because original holders also sold during the process.

I closed my short position here, profiting about 15K.

In the end, Venus was left with about 2M in bad debt.

As for how much the attacker actually profited, I haven't done a complete analysis; but judging from the operations of some addresses, they likely made little to no profit, or even blew themselves up. However, the attacker might still have profited from off-chain perp positions (just like our operation).

Venus's ~2M bad debt address: https://debank.com/profile/0x1a35bd28efd46cfc46c2136f878777d69ae16231

This incident once again demonstrates:


In DeFi, "nominal collateral value" does not equal "liquidation value". When the collateral itself lacks liquidity, the system sees 30M, but the market might only be able to realize a fraction of that.

In 2023, I published a paper titled 'Unmasking Role-Play Attack Strategies in Exploiting Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Systems' which provides a detailed mathematical model of this type of attack. Interested readers can refer to: https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3605768.3623545

Related Questions

QWhat was the core strategy used by the attacker in the Venus THE exploit?

AThe attacker used a price manipulation strategy similar to the Mango Markets attack. They deposited the low-liquidity collateral THE, borrowed other assets, used those assets to buy more THE to drive its price up, waited for the time-weighted average oracle price to update to reflect the inflated value, and then repeated the cycle to gain higher borrowing power.

QHow did the attacker bypass the supply cap limitation on THE?

AThe attacker used a 'donation attack' by directly transferring THE tokens to the vTHE contract after a large deposit. This 'donation' artificially increased the total supply recognized by the system, allowing them to further inflate the collateral value and bypass the supply cap.

QWhy did the author of the article decide to open a short position on THE?

AThe author opened a short position because the attacker's collateral (THE tokens) had an extremely high nominal value but very low liquidity. They anticipated that once liquidation began, the massive sell pressure from the forced selling of these tokens would cause the price to crash dramatically, as there would be no market to absorb such a large volume at the inflated price.

QWhat was the final outcome for the attacker and the Venus protocol?

AThe attacker likely made little to no profit and may have even lost money from their on-chain maneuvers, though they might have profited from off-chain perpetual positions. The Venus protocol was left with approximately $2 million in bad debt.

QWhat key DeFi concept does this event highlight according to the article?

AThe event highlights that 'nominal collateral value' is not the same as 'liquidation value.' When collateral itself lacks sufficient liquidity, the value the system calculates can be vastly higher than the amount the market can actually realize during a liquidation event.

Related Reads

On L1 Value Capture from Two Solana Proposals

The article, "Discussing L1 Value Capture Through Two Solana Proposals," by Max Resnick, explores how Layer 1 (L1) blockchain tokens derive their fundamental value, drawing parallels to traditional asset pricing theory. Resnick argues that L1 token value, like stock value, stems from claims on future income streams for holders, not merely from network activity or technological promise. This value is captured when fees are either burned (economically akin to a buyback) or distributed to stakers (akin to dividends). Inflationary staking rewards, by contrast, redistribute value among holders rather than creating it. The core challenge is the quality and defensibility of fee-based revenue. High-quality fees come from sustainable, recurring demand for the network's economic utility (e.g., long-term financial activity), not from transient speculation (e.g., meme coins, airdrops). The strength of a blockchain's network effects—liquidity, applications, users—can make its revenue more defensible and grant it greater pricing power than often assumed. The article proposes a foundational valuation framework for L1s, separating revenue (fees captured for token holders), costs, and total token supply. A key accounting principle is that inflationary rewards should not be counted as a cost unless the newly minted tokens are symmetrically counted as a value input; otherwise, it misrepresents profitability. Finally, Resnick discusses the economics of increasing protocol fees to boost revenue. Since revenue equals price times quantity, the net effect depends on demand elasticity. Research on Ethereum suggests transaction demand is somewhat elastic; a fee increase reduces volume. A uniform fee is a blunt instrument, as different transactions (e.g., small transfers vs. large settlements) have vastly different abilities to pay. The article suggests that transaction-value-based fees, potentially implemented via token programs, could be a more efficient way to capture value from high-willingness-to-pay activities. The discussion is framed around ongoing Solana proposals (SIMD-550, SIMD-553) but focuses on the universal principles of L1 value accrual.

marsbit1h ago

On L1 Value Capture from Two Solana Proposals

marsbit1h ago

Meme Coin with $60 Million Market Cap Plunges 65% in One Minute, FOMO Faces Renewed Scrutiny

A Solana-based meme token, $CATE, which had surged from a $20M+ to over $80M market cap in about a week, experienced a dramatic 65% crash within one minute. This flash crash has intensified scrutiny on the trading app 'fomo' and highlighted the speculative nature of the current meme coin market. The crash coincided with two events: the token's X account being suspended and the fomo app experiencing downtime, preventing users from trading. While the X suspension was straightforward, the fomo outage raised significant questions. $CATE's primary narrative driver was the open endorsement by Poorgoat, a top-ranked trader on fomo with over 200,000 followers, who had turned a ~$45,000 investment into over $2M at the peak. The token itself had no novel fundamentals, being a "cat sister" to Doge, a concept already existing on Ethereum without success. The crash, triggered by less than $1.5M in selling volume despite over 60,000 holder addresses, exposed a harsh reality: purely "organic" community-driven meme tokens (excluding past successes like $SPX) may now have a market cap ceiling around $17M, as exemplified by the long-term chart of $neet. This incident has fueled existing controversies surrounding fomo. Critics have grown skeptical of the app, alleging that rankings dominated by KOLs who receive lucrative token airdrops could be manipulated to create "pump-and-dump" schemes, luring in retail users before a rug pull. The timing of the crash during fomo's outage—preventing many of its users (who represent over 60% of $CATE holders) from reacting—was viewed as highly suspicious. Further controversy arose when another popular fomo trader publicly sold near the peak, and concerns were raised about the security of accessing private keys during the app's downtime. Fomo's official explanation of server overload due to surging user traffic was met with skepticism, given its substantial funding. The event serves as a stark reminder of the risks in meme coin speculation and the potential vulnerabilities of relying on a single trading platform during market volatility.

marsbit1h ago

Meme Coin with $60 Million Market Cap Plunges 65% in One Minute, FOMO Faces Renewed Scrutiny

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot
活动图片