ICP rallies 22%, then slips 8% – What comes next after this volatility?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-12-22Last updated on 2025-12-22

Abstract

Internet Computer (ICP) experienced significant volatility, rallying 22.6% from a recent low before retracting 8.46% within hours. This movement occurred amid statements from Dfinity Foundation regarding AI-powered no-code tools enhancing secure application infrastructure. Technically, ICP fully retraced its November rally and must reclaim $3.78 to shift to a bullish structure. Lower-timeframe traders might consider buying with a stop-loss under $2.9, but the overall trend remains bearish until key resistance is broken. Market-wide sentiment, including Bitcoin's bearishness, suggests continued sell pressure on altcoins from profit-taking.

The Vice President of Dfinity Foundation, Lomesh Dutta, said that the rise of AI-powered no-code tools for the generation and evolution of applications will enable secure, stable, tamper-resistant infrastructure.

This could help prevent the kind of outage that many crypto companies and Web3 applications faced in the aftermath of the AWS outage in October.

Dfinity Foundation is a non-profit organization that guides the Internet Computer [ICP] blockchain development.

These statements could have brought ICP back to the public eye, helping explain the recent rally. ICP gained 22.6% from Friday’s low, but has faced a minor pullback in recent hours of trading.

Profit-taking activity wipes out ICP’s November rally

The 3-day chart showed a bearish internal structure and a complete retracement of the November rally from $2.79 to $9.85. It was expected that the $5 and the $4.3 supports would be defended, but these expectations were proven wrong.

The DMI did not show a strong trend in progress, but its confusing signals served to capture the speed of the recent impulse move and the subsequent retracement. The OBV was slowly bleeding lower, and the MACD also displayed bearish momentum.

To flip the structure bullishly, ICP has to move back above $3.78.

The 4-hour chart showcased an imbalance at the $3.2 area, highlighted in white. This imbalance came after a bullish structure break on this timeframe. At the time of writing, ICP was facing a minor price dip, having shed 8.46% in under 12 hours.

The technical indicators were in favor of the bulls, but traders must remember that the higher timeframe structure is still bearish. Until a move beyond $3.78 comes about, traders need to be careful about taking bullish positions.

Assessing the next ICP move

The market-wide sentiment, especially for Bitcoin [BTC], remained mostly bearish. Until this changes bullishly, it remains likely that altcoins that make strong gains will run into heavy sell pressure from profit-taking activity.

Lower timeframe traders can look to buy ICP now, with a stop-loss below the local support at $2.9.

Traders’ call to action- remain bearish

Until the $3.78 level is breached by a 3-day timeframe candle close, swing traders can remain bearish. The 1-day timeframe also highlights the same local resistance as a key swing point.


Final Thoughts

  • The rise of AI-powered no-code tools that were brought to public attention recently could have helped Internet Computer post some of its recent gains.
  • The price action remained in favor of the bears over the past month, and traders should be wary of going long until the structure shifts bullishly.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat was the main reason mentioned for the recent rally in ICP's price?

AThe rise of AI-powered no-code tools for application generation and evolution, which brought ICP back to public attention.

QWhat key price level must ICP surpass to flip its structure bullishly according to the article?

AICP must move back above $3.78 to flip the structure bullishly.

QWhat was the percentage decline ICP faced in under 12 hours at the time of writing?

AICP shed 8.46% in under 12 hours at the time of writing.

QWhat is the suggested stop-loss level for lower timeframe traders considering buying ICP?

AThe suggested stop-loss is below the local support at $2.9.

QWhy should traders remain bearish on ICP until the $3.78 level is breached?

ABecause the higher timeframe structure remains bearish, and a close above $3.78 is needed to shift the structure bullishly.

Related Reads

Grayscale: Zcash, Financial Privacy in the Age of AI

Grayscale Research suggests a third wave of public focus on financial privacy is approaching, driven by stablecoin/blockchain adoption and new AI-powered surveillance tools. In this context, Zcash emerges as a decentralized digital currency, similar to Bitcoin but with built-in, robust privacy mechanisms via its "shielded" transactions that conceal sender, receiver, and amount using zero-knowledge proofs. While privacy is often seen as a niche feature, it is argued to be a core requirement for functional money, needed by individuals and businesses alike. Zcash's optional privacy is distinct from mixers or default-private chains like Monero. After years of development (Sapling, Orchard/NU5, Ironwood upgrades) to improve usability, key metrics show growing adoption: shielded transactions comprise ~90% of network activity, and ~25% of circulating ZEC is in shielded pools—a historical high. Despite this, ZEC's market valuation remains low (~0.6% of the "digital currency" sector), implying the market prices privacy as a marginal concern. The investment thesis hinges on a potential re-rating if the value of financial privacy is recognized more broadly. Risks include regulatory challenges around shielded transactions, legacy trusted setup pools, quantum computing threats, and execution risks for upcoming upgrades like Tachyon for scaling. In summary, Zcash represents a significant, technologically mature option in the privacy currency space, with current valuation offering potential upside if privacy demand grows.

marsbit14m ago

Grayscale: Zcash, Financial Privacy in the Age of AI

marsbit14m ago

The Bear Market Has Ended, A New Bull Cycle Has Begun

**Title: Bear Market Over, New Bull Cycle Begins** Bitcoin surged over 20% in just three days, from a low of $64,100 on August 19th to a high of $79,500 by August 21st, marking a dramatic shift in market sentiment. This rapid rise triggered massive liquidations exceeding $4 billion, with short positions accounting for $3.7 billion—the largest short squeeze since 2021. The rally was fueled by several key factors. Macroeconomic conditions improved as the US Treasury doubled its long-term bond buyback size, easing pressure. Significant regulatory developments included a White House meeting where former President Trump urged Senate action on the CLARITY Act and hinted at potential US Bitcoin reserves, followed by the CFTC Chairman stating the agency would establish crypto market rules if the bill stalls. On-chain data revealed a fierce battle: large whales faced substantial liquidations on short positions, while others took profits or doubled down on longs. Major altcoins like ETH and XRP also saw impressive gains. Analysts are divided but increasingly bullish. Many, including CryptoQuant's founder, declare the bear market over and a new bull cycle begun. Price targets range from $100k by year-end to ambitious long-term projections of $200k. However, some caution against immediate chasing, noting overbought conditions and viewing the move as a potential "trap" ahead of the crucial September 15th Senate vote on the CLARITY Act. The market's next test is sustaining the momentum with real buying pressure, holding above key resistance near $78k-$80k, and watching ETF inflows and the upcoming regulatory vote.

marsbit18m ago

The Bear Market Has Ended, A New Bull Cycle Has Begun

marsbit18m ago

Xiaomi Defended Its Smartphone Gross Margin, Yet to Find a Profit Successor

Xiaomi's Q2 2026 financial report reveals a company navigating a complex transition. While smartphone gross margin held steady at 8.5% through strategic product mix and a record-high average selling price (ASP), this came at the cost of a 26.5% year-over-year decline in global shipments, pressuring its core user acquisition engine. This illustrates Xiaomi's central challenge: managing the "timing gap" between its established and emerging growth engines. Its smartphone business is pivoting from scale to premiumization, but it's unclear if high-end models can fully offset the volume loss from more price-sensitive segments, especially in markets like India and Africa. Meanwhile, the electric vehicle segment has become a significant revenue contributor, delivering 104,200 units and generating ¥23.9 billion. However, its profit contribution remains unclear as it, along with AI investments, is still in a scaling and investment phase. The AI and humanoid robot initiatives, though strategically prioritized and tested in Xiaomi's own factories, are in early-stage validation with no near-term commercialization timeline. Financially, the company remains stable, supported by a robust cash position and its high-margin internet services business, which hit a new high in monthly active users. Management emphasized continued heavy investment in AI, chips, and robotics to fuel the next growth cycle. The key question is whether these new engines—cars, AI, robotics—can achieve commercial scale and profitability before the smartphone engine's growth slows further.

marsbit19m ago

Xiaomi Defended Its Smartphone Gross Margin, Yet to Find a Profit Successor

marsbit19m ago

Is RWA Still Meaningful Without DeFi?

The article "Would RWA Still Matter Without DeFi?" argues that tokenizing real-world assets (RWA) alone, like putting a barcode on a container, is not transformative. True value emerges when these tokenized assets are integrated into decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems, enabling valuation, financing, hedging, trading, and loss management in a programmable, automated manner. Tokenization provides digital representation, but DeFi provides utility through leverage, liquidity, and composability. The core challenge lies in aligning the different "time clocks" of blockchain (fast, 24/7), traditional markets (limited hours), and asset redemption (slow processes), which creates liquidation risks and gaps. Effective RWA integration requires more than a token; it needs a full stack: legally enforceable rights, reliable data oracles, clear transfer rules, executable secondary liquidity, appropriate collateral parameters, and credible loss resolution paths. Liquidity is defined not by total value locked (TVL) but by the ability to exit a position under stress within a required timeframe. Risk management for RWAs must be modeled as a dependency graph, monitoring interconnected nodes like issuers, custodians, oracles, and liquidity pools for early warning signs beyond just price data. While tokenized government bonds serve as an initial "ping test," the future lies in more complex assets like computing power and energy, which require bespoke risk models. Tokenized stocks paired with perpetual futures present a major test, combining global equity ownership with crypto-native leverage, necessitating robust architectural safeguards like isolation and dynamic collateral rules. The conclusion is that without DeFi, RWA tokenization offers limited value—improving distribution and transparency. The significant opportunity arises when tokenized assets become functional components within open, programmable capital markets, where they can be used as collateral and facilitate complex financial strategies. The token is merely the barcode; the market operating system is the real machine.

marsbit40m ago

Is RWA Still Meaningful Without DeFi?

marsbit40m ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

How to Buy ICP

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing Internet Computer (ICP) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy Internet Computer (ICP) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your Internet Computer (ICP)After purchasing your Internet Computer (ICP), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade Internet Computer (ICP)Easily trade Internet Computer (ICP) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

4.0k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2026.06.02

How to Buy ICP

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of ICP (ICP) are presented below.

活动图片