Greatest Wealth Transfer Is about To Happen For Altcoins, Analyst Warns

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-03-28Last updated on 2026-03-28

Abstract

An analyst warns that a major wealth transfer to altcoins may be imminent, despite their underperformance in the last bull run. Altcoins have been consolidating within a large wedge pattern since 2018, including during the 2021-2022 rally. The analyst, Cryptollica, suggests the altcoin market bottomed in 2025 and is poised for a breakout, predicting a potential 500% surge that could propel assets like Ethereum and Solana to new all-time highs. However, the Altcoin Season Index remains neutral at 50, well below the 75 threshold indicating a true altcoin season. With Bitcoin dominance still high at 58.8%, a full altcoin season typically requires a further drop in Bitcoin's market share.

One part of the last bull run that disappointed investors was the fact that altcoins seemed to completely fall behind against Bitcoin. Going by previous bull markets, the expectation was that altcoins would rally once the Bitcoin price topped, leading to the legendary ‘altcoin season.’ While there has been nothing like that since then, many in the space have still not given up hope of an altcoin season, predicting that it is only a matter of time before altcoins rally again.

Altcoins Are Getting Ready To Take Off

Crypto analyst Cryptollica shared a chart showing that altcoins have actually been trading in an interesting trend for a while. According to the post, these cryptocurrencies have been compressing inside a massive wedge, and this did not begin recently.

Cryptollica pointed out that the total altcoin market cap has actually been compressed inside this massive wedge since 2018. This would mean that it has been this way for more than seven years, and that even the explosive altcoin season that was experienced in 2021-2022 also happened inside of this massive wedge.

Using the same trend over the years, the crypto analyst point out that the altcoin market has actually bottomed back in 2025. A similar trend was seen in early 2021, after which followed a legendary altcoin season that saw various altcoins hitting multiple new all-time highs at rapid speed.

If the crypto analyst is correct and the altcoin market is about to break out of this wedge, then it would be very bullish for price. The analyst predicts an over 500% increase, which would mean the likes of Ethereum, Solana, and other altcoins would be hitting new all-time highs.

Source: X

Altcoin Season Index Stays Neutral

The Altcoin Season Index measures how the top 100 altcoins are performing against Bitcoin. The more of the altcoins are performing better than Bitcoin, the higher the chances that the market is experiencing an altcoin season. This index charts the performance on a scale of 1-100, and in an altcoin season, the index sits above 75.

Presently, the index is sitting at 50, which means that altcoin season is still not here. The Bitcoin dominance has since dropped below 60%, but remains quite high at 58.8%. Hence, it is unlikely that the altcoin season is starting now. This is because an altcoin season usually happens when the Bitcoin dominance drops.

Altcoin market cap still below $3 billion | Source: Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC on TradingView.com

Related Questions

QAccording to the analyst Cryptollica, what pattern has the total altcoin market cap been trading in since 2018?

AThe total altcoin market cap has been compressing inside a massive wedge pattern since 2018.

QWhat does the current Altcoin Season Index reading of 50 indicate about the market?

AAn Altcoin Season Index reading of 50 indicates that an altcoin season is not currently happening, as the index needs to be above 75 to signal an altcoin season.

QWhat is the predicted percentage increase for the altcoin market if it breaks out of the wedge, according to the analyst?

AThe analyst predicts an over 500% increase for the altcoin market if it breaks out of the wedge.

QWhat is the relationship between Bitcoin dominance and the start of an altcoin season, as mentioned in the article?

AAn altcoin season usually happens when the Bitcoin dominance drops, as it indicates that altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin.

QWhat significant event does the analyst compare the current altcoin bottom to, suggesting a similar outcome could happen?

AThe analyst compares the current altcoin market bottom to the one seen in early 2021, which was followed by a legendary altcoin season where many altcoins rapidly hit new all-time highs.

Related Reads

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

**Summary: The Value Distribution of Stablecoins** The article argues that stablecoins are evolving from mere trading tools into broader channels for dollar access. It divides the stablecoin ecosystem into four layers to analyze how value is distributed: 1. **Issuance Layer:** Mints stablecoins, holds reserve assets, and captures the spread between reserve yield and user costs (e.g., Tether, Circle). This layer currently earns the largest profit margin. 2. **Infrastructure Layer:** Connects stablecoins to the traditional financial system, handling fiat on/off-ramps, banking integration, compliance (KYC/AML), and asset management (e.g., Bridge, BVNK). This is the "unglamorous" but critical work, building the essential bridges between crypto and real-world finance. 3. **Acquiring/Distribution Layer:** Integrates stablecoins into merchant systems, manages payment flows, and provides enterprise financial software (e.g., Stripe, Coinbase). They act as the access point for businesses. 4. **Application Layer:** The end-users and businesses that ultimately use stablecoins for payments, settlements, or as a store of value. They benefit from convenience but have little pricing power. The core thesis is that while the issuance layer currently dominates profits, the often-overlooked **infrastructure layer holds significant long-term potential**. The real challenge and barrier to mass adoption is not the on-chain transfer of stablecoins (which is simple), but the complex "last mile" integration into existing business workflows, banking systems, and regulatory frameworks across different countries. Companies in this layer are currently in a "land grab" phase, investing heavily to build networks, secure bank partnerships, and establish compliance pathways. While their position is currently pressured by the profitable issuers above and distribution platforms below, the article suggests that if stablecoins become a default financial rail for businesses, the infrastructure providers who have done the hard work of integration will ultimately gain strong pricing power and become entrenched, essential players.

marsbit1h ago

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

marsbit1h ago

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins The article argues that stablecoins are evolving from a mere trading tool into a broad "dollar channel." It analyzes the industry's value chain through four layers: 1. **Issuance Layer (e.g., Tether, Circle):** The top layer that mints stablecoins, holds reserve assets, and captures the thickest interest rate spread. 2. **Infrastructure Layer (e.g., Bridge, BVNK):** Connects stablecoins to the traditional financial system, handling critical but complex "dirty work" like fiat on/off-ramps, banking integration, compliance (KYC/AML), and cross-border settlement. 3. **Acquiring/Distribution Layer (e.g., Stripe, Coinbase):** Embeds stablecoins into merchant systems, manages payment flows, and integrates with enterprise software. 4. **Application Layer:** End-users and businesses that ultimately use stablecoins for payments, settlement, or storing value. The author posits that while the issuance layer currently captures the most profit, the most overlooked and potentially critical layer is infrastructure. The core challenge for stablecoin adoption isn't the on-chain transfer (which is simple), but bridging the gap between blockchain and the real-world financial system. This involves solving practical problems for businesses: fiat conversion, reconciliation, tax handling, and user onboarding. Infrastructure companies are currently in a difficult "land-grab" phase—building networks, securing banking relationships, and achieving compliance country-by-country. They face pressure from both the profitable issuance layer above and distribution platforms below. However, the author suggests this layer is building a crucial moat. Once stablecoins become a default business rail, the infrastructure players who have done the hard work of integration may gain significant, durable value and pricing power.

链捕手1h ago

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

链捕手1h ago

Why Is Nvidia Borrowing $20 Billion When It's Not Short of Cash?

Nvidia's recent announcement to issue at least $20 billion in senior notes, despite holding a strong cash position with over $48.6 billion in free cash flow last quarter, is not a sign of financial need. Instead, it represents a strategic move to leverage its high credit rating (recently upgraded to AA by S&P) to secure low-cost, long-term debt. This capital will support long-term AI infrastructure investments, data centers, R&D, supply chain prepayments, and strategic investments, while allowing the company to continue aggressive shareholder returns through stock buybacks and dividends. The decision reflects a mature capital management strategy: using debt to finance long-term growth assets is more efficient and less dilutive to shareholders than equity financing. It signals that Nvidia, like other tech giants (Alphabet, Meta, Amazon), is entering a new phase of heavy AI capital expenditure, shifting from a pure growth story to a story about capital allocation, credit strength, and long-term ecosystem positioning. The key question for investors is whether Nvidia can maintain its high cash flow generation and ensure that returns from these AI investments justify the cost of capital over the long term. The bond issuance amplifies its expansion capabilities but also ties its valuation more closely to the broader AI investment cycle's sustainability and profitability.

marsbit2h ago

Why Is Nvidia Borrowing $20 Billion When It's Not Short of Cash?

marsbit2h ago

Liberland Fires Tech Secretary After Alleged Blockchain And Website Takeover Attempt

Liberland's congress has voted to remove Technology Secretary Dorian Stern Vukotić, following a resolution accusing him of attempting to hijack the Liberland.org domain, removing administrative multisig protections, blocking the president from voting, and launching unauthorized tokens. The incident serves as a case study in blockchain governance, highlighting risks that go beyond smart contracts to include control over domains, admin keys, and off-chain authority. For the crypto industry, it underscores the need to scrutinize decentralization claims against operational realities, where a small group can still compromise governance. The story reflects a broader market shift where infrastructure security and governance are becoming as critical as price action. Editorial framing should treat the development as a verified information signal about governance risks, avoiding overstatement of Liberland's legal status and leaving room for follow-up evidence.

bitcoinist2h ago

Liberland Fires Tech Secretary After Alleged Blockchain And Website Takeover Attempt

bitcoinist2h ago

How to Do Research Well: Deliberately Practice the Real Skills That Matter

No one truly teaches you how to do research. You're often given a desk, a pre-selected problem, and vague instructions to "create something new." Consequently, many people reverse-engineer the job based on visible outputs—papers, posts, announcements—learning only how to *appear* like a researcher rather than how to *become* one. True research capability is built from stacking small, trainable skills, nearly all of which can be developed through deliberate practice. **Pick Your Own Problem:** Most researchers absorb problems from advisors or trends, lacking the underlying reasoning. Choosing a problem you genuinely care about, as John Schulman advises, leads to original work. Develop "taste" like a muscle: predict experiment outcomes, guess paper results from methods, and track which findings remain important over time. **Upgrade Your Inputs:** Relying on shared reading lists (arXiv hot lists, filtered group chats) leads to unoriginal conclusions. Undervalued old literature often holds crucial insights (e.g., MoE, LSTM, backpropagation). Richard Sutton's "The Bitter Lesson" or Claude Shannon's 1952 talk on creative thinking are more predictive than lengthy modern surveys. Breadth matters as much as depth: draw from neuroscience, mechanism design, hardware knowledge, and honest statistics. Read papers directly, especially appendices and limitations sections. **Write Everything Down:** As Paul Graham noted, writing exposes flaws in seemingly mature ideas. Writing is the cheapest defense against self-deception. Following Feynman's principle, Darwin programmatically wrote down facts contradicting his theory to combat memory bias. Maintain a detailed log of hypotheses, setups, predictions, results, and updated understandings. Reviewing past logs fosters essential humility.

marsbit4h ago

How to Do Research Well: Deliberately Practice the Real Skills That Matter

marsbit4h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

How to Buy ONE

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing Harmony (ONE) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy Harmony (ONE) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your Harmony (ONE)After purchasing your Harmony (ONE), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade Harmony (ONE)Easily trade Harmony (ONE) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

3.9k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2026.06.02

How to Buy ONE

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of ONE (ONE) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions