Futu's Fine Turns into a Boon for Hyperliquid?

marsbitPublished on 2026-05-25Last updated on 2026-05-25

Abstract

The article explores the interconnected narratives of a regulatory crackdown on Chinese fintech brokers and the rise of the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid. It begins with China's May 2026 proposal for severe penalties against brokers like Futu and Tiger for illegal cross-border operations, suggesting this may redirect capital toward platforms like Hyperliquid. This is evidenced by HYPE token's price surge coinciding with the news. The core of the article analyzes Hyperliquid's disruptive potential and the regulatory pressure it faces. Traditional giants like CME and ICE are lobbying the CFTC to crack down on Hyperliquid, citing its lack of KYC, position limits, and market surveillance—particularly for its weekend crude oil contracts, which challenge traditional market hours. Despite this, Hyperliquid demonstrates remarkable efficiency, with a small team generating high revenue, largely funneled into HYPE buybacks. Its innovation lies in synthetic perpetual contracts for pre-IPO companies (e.g., Cerebras, SpaceX), enabling price discovery outside traditional channels. Unlike tokenized equity platforms (PreStocks, Ondo) tied to physical assets or entities, Hyperliquid's "asset-less" synthetic contracts are argued to be more resilient to legal targeting, as they are simply code on a decentralized network. However, the article notes this is not absolute, citing the network's limited validators and past interventions. The piece concludes that Hyperliquid's fundamental advan...

Author: Thejaswini M A

Compiled and Edited: BitpushNews

Bitpush Note:

On May 22, 2026, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) dropped a bombshell: it plans to impose severe penalties on the illegal cross-border business activities of institutions such as Tiger Brokers, Futu Securities, and Longbridge Securities. Not only are they facing huge fines, but all illegal gains of related entities both inside and outside China will be confiscated according to law. Furthermore, during a two-year centralized rectification period, all related domestic business will be completely banned, with existing mainland clients only allowed to sell unidirectionally. Upon the news, related US-listed broker stocks plummeted over 40% in pre-market trading.

When compliant cross-border channels are being blocked one by one, where will the capital that still craves global asset allocation, participation in pre-IPO pricing for companies like SpaceX, and the ability to trade any asset anytime, anywhere, flow to?

The answer seems to be faintly emerging: flowing into RWA, flowing into Hyperliquid.

This is not a prophecy. This is happening right now.

On the very same day the news of the fines broke, HYPE hit a new high.

Coincidence? Perhaps. But capital doesn't believe in coincidences. It only believes in exits.

The following is the main text:

CME Group (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) is the world's largest derivatives exchange. It's where professional traders buy and sell futures on crude oil, gold, interest rates, stock indices, and Bitcoin. It handles trillions of dollars in daily trading volume and has existed since 1898.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) owns the New York Stock Exchange and operates multiple derivatives exchanges globally. It's another industry giant.

They are among the most powerful financial market infrastructure companies on Earth. When they point at something and call it "extremely dangerous," regulators find it hard not to listen.

Currently, CME and ICE are pressuring the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Capitol Hill to crack down hard on Hyperliquid, warning that this "KYC-free" platform is a breeding ground for market manipulation and sanctions evasion.

  • There is indeed zero KYC. While Hyperliquid uses filters on its main site front-end to block addresses sanctioned by the U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), its underlying protocol is completely permissionless. If someone bypasses the website and interacts directly with the smart contracts, there is no identity check waiting for them.
  • Additionally, there are no position limits on Hyperliquid. At CME, no single trader can hold a position larger than a specific size in any contract, to guard against manipulation and systemic risk. Hyperliquid has no such restrictions.
  • CME closely monitors manipulative trading behaviors like spoofing, wash trading, and coordinated attacks. Hyperliquid has no surveillance system watching for these.

These are indeed objective facts.

Influenced by this news, the HYPE token dropped 9% on May 15. Subsequently, two market makers withdrew $100 million in liquidity on May 18 in response.

coingecko.com

But, note which specific product they are targeting. It's not the cryptocurrency perpetual contracts that Hyperliquid has been running for years, which regulators never batted an eye at. Their focus is entirely on the crude oil contracts. These are the contracts that generated $720 million in trading volume over weekends when CME's own crude market is closed.

Regarding this regulatory growing pain, CME and ICE's concerns are not entirely without merit, but we also know in our hearts they are anything but neutral observers. Their business models are entirely reliant on a legally protected "trading hours monopoly." They don't mind competing on technology, but when someone competes with them on time, they go absolutely crazy.

By bringing real volume into the crude oil market over weekends, Hyperliquid has essentially broken the space-time continuum of TradFi. And the incumbents are asking the government to force everyone else to also close their eyes while they sleep. If it were me, I'd prefer to apply for a permit to operate on weekends; but clearly, that's just my thinking.

Hyperliquid's office in Singapore has only 11 people. In the 30 days ending May 21, 2026, the protocol generated $51 million in revenue. In March, it processed a staggering $2.6 trillion in nominal derivatives trading volume.

tokenterminal.com

Hyperliquid routes 97% of trading fees through an on-chain fund to buy back HYPE tokens. Generating $51 million in monthly revenue with just 11 people finds no real comparison, whether inside or outside the cryptocurrency industry, in terms of per capita economic efficiency. As of late May, HYPE is up 101% year-to-date.

All of this isn't necessarily because Hyperliquid built a technically superior derivative, strictly speaking. It's simply because it remains open when CME is closed, and therein lies immense value. Recently, some new developments have pushed this logic to an even deeper level.

On May 1, Trade.xyz, a platform built on Hyperliquid, launched a Pre-IPO perpetual futures contract for AI chipmaker Cerebras. The contract ran for two weeks before the IPO. Early in that window, traders had smoothed out a roughly 50% premium relative to the $185 IPO price, implying an opening price around $277. Then market information updated. One hour before Cerebras opened on NASDAQ, the perpetual contract on Trade.xyz was pricing the stock at $340, within less than 3% of the actual opening price. In the end, Cerebras opened at $350 on May 14, a stunning 89% surge from its $185 IPO price. Traditional pre-IPO market platforms like Forge and EquityZen had prediction errors of 35%, while Hyperliquid's error was just 3%.

When genuine uncertainty still existed, $277 was the price the market implied. As information kept flowing in and being priced in, the wisdom of the crowd smoothed out that gap. This is how price discovery is supposed to work.

Then on May 17, a Sunday morning, Trade.xyz launched a SpaceX perpetual futures contract. It opened at a reference price of $150, soared to $216 within hours, and eventually stabilized around $203, implying the crowd valued the company at $2.4 trillion.

Yet at that time, SpaceX had not publicly filed an S-1 registration statement, no Wall Street analyst had given a price target, and an official roadshow was nowhere in sight.

Traders had no idea that SpaceX had actually confidentially submitted a draft filing to the SEC as early as April 1, with a target valuation set between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion.

Traders settled the contract at $203, implying a $2.4 trillion valuation. Before bankers held their first meeting, without access to the filing documents, the crowd landed smartly at the top end of the company's own target range. Just days later, on May 20, a Wednesday, SpaceX formally filed its actual 277-page S-1 prospectus with the public.

Currently, three products are trying to provide investors with exposure to SpaceX. Each legally bets on a different solution.

PreStocks tried to be clever. They set up special purpose vehicle (SPV) funds to buy real SpaceX shares, then split and mapped those fund shares into blockchain tokens so retail investors could get a slice. It looked like a clean backdoor into private tech companies.

However, shortly before Hyperliquid launched its SPCX contract, Anthropic and OpenAI publicly distanced themselves from third-party SPV products claiming to track their valuations. Platforms in Hong Kong and the UAE had been selling tokenized exposure to these two companies without board approval. Both companies issued warnings that the equity transfers behind these products were invalid. PreStocks' token promptly plunged 50%. When you try to operate by anchoring to real shares, the company you hold shares in always reserves the right to intervene.

Ondo Global Markets tokenizes shares through a U.S.-registered broker-dealer, with each token backed by underlying securities. Its compliance is very clean; even the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) is building settlement infrastructure around it.

But Ondo's greatest strength is also its biggest vulnerability. It has a specific physical address. If the SEC decides to shut it down, they know exactly whose door to knock on. If Elon Musk objects, SpaceX's lawyers know exactly which custodian to sue. By choosing to play the game by the rules, Ondo has made itself a perfect target for pinpoint strikes.

Then look at Hyperliquid's SPCX contract — this thing is built entirely on air.

No shares, no registered broker-dealer, no claim on any physical asset. It's a synthetic perpetual contract, a ghost through and through. A pure bet on a price feed, settled entirely in USDC on a decentralized network.

Even if SpaceX wanted to stop people from trading derivatives based on its valuation, it couldn't. There's no corporate entity to serve legal papers to, no central issuer to pressure.

This is really clever. Hyperliquid basically figured out: if you have no face, no one can punch you in the face. By anchoring the product to nothing physical, they've become impossible to target.

I'm not sure this is purely a good thing.

A zero-KYC venue rerouting trillions of dollars around the global banking system — the national security nightmare this poses is hard to argue against. The fact that Hyperliquid co-founder Jeff Yan flew to Washington on May 17 to meet policymakers is proof enough of how real this pressure is.

Speaking of Jeff Yan. He is a real person, shows his face, and went to Harvard. If SpaceX wanted to sue him for trademark infringement or IP violation because his platform lists a contract called "SPCX," they could absolutely serve him the lawsuit.

But suing Jeff wouldn't make the contract disappear.

With PreStocks, if the company deletes the underlying shares, the product ceases to exist. With Ondo, if a judge freezes the bank or custodian, the product stalls. But Hyperliquid's SPCX is an autonomously deployed piece of code. Even if Jeff Yan gets sued into oblivion, those smart contracts are live, the code is immutable, and the global order book would keep running on-chain.

This is the "flawless theory" of decentralization. Reality is more fragile. Hyperliquid only runs on 20 validators, not 900,000. These validators can be identified. And the JELLY incident has already shown: they will intervene if they want to. Validators are not immutable.

Again, time is the only product they can't replicate.

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Related Questions

QWhat is Hyperliquid, and how does it differ from traditional derivatives exchanges like CME?

AHyperliquid is a decentralized derivatives exchange that operates 24/7 and without KYC on its underlying protocol, unlike traditional centralized exchanges like CME which have restricted trading hours and strict compliance requirements. It allows users to trade perpetual futures contracts on various assets, including cryptocurrencies and real-world assets (RWAs).

QWhy did the potential fines on Chinese brokerages like Futu and Tiger Securities appear to be a positive catalyst for Hyperliquid's HYPE token?

AThe announcement of severe penalties for illegal cross-border operations by Chinese brokerages signaled a potential crackdown on traditional, compliant channels for accessing global assets. This may have driven capital seeking global asset exposure and 24/7 trading into alternative platforms like Hyperliquid, which offers such access in a decentralized manner, likely contributing to a surge in its HYPE token.

QWhat are the main regulatory concerns raised by traditional exchanges (CME, ICE) against Hyperliquid?

AThe main regulatory concerns raised are: 1) Lack of KYC, which could facilitate market manipulation and sanctions evasion. 2) Absence of position limits to prevent market dominance and systemic risk. 3) No surveillance systems to monitor manipulative trading practices like spoofing or wash trading.

QHow did Hyperliquid's SpaceX (SPCX) perpetual futures contract demonstrate its price discovery capabilities?

AThe SPCX contract started trading before SpaceX's official S-1 filing and without access to confidential documents. It settled at a price implying a $2.4 trillion valuation. Days later, SpaceX's public filing revealed a target valuation range of $1.75-$2 trillion, showing that the Hyperliquid market's 'crowd wisdom' accurately discovered the price at the high end of the company's internal target range.

QWhat is the core strategic advantage of Hyperliquid's synthetic perpetual contracts (like for SpaceX) compared to other tokenized equity platforms?

AThe core advantage is that these contracts are synthetic, not backed by any real underlying asset or equity claim. This makes them legally difficult to target. Unlike platforms that tokenize actual shares (which the issuing company can challenge), Hyperliquid's contracts are pure price bets on decentralized code, offering a form of regulatory and legal resistance by having 'no face to punch.'

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This dual approach empowers it to build a rich repository of domain-specific knowledge, enhancing its performance in task execution. Planning Over Long Task Horizons: Agent S employs experience-augmented hierarchical planning, a strategic approach that facilitates efficient breakdown and execution of intricate tasks. This feature significantly enhances its ability to manage multiple subtasks efficiently and effectively. Handling Dynamic, Non-Uniform Interfaces: The project introduces the Agent-Computer Interface (ACI), an innovative solution that enhances the interaction between agents and users. Utilizing Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs), Agent S can navigate and manipulate diverse graphical user interfaces seamlessly. Through these pioneering features, Agent S provides a robust framework that addresses the complexities involved in automating human interaction with machines, setting the stage for myriad applications in AI and beyond. Who is the Creator of Agent S? While the concept of Agent S is fundamentally innovative, specific information about its creator remains elusive. The creator is currently unknown, which highlights either the nascent stage of the project or the strategic choice to keep founding members under wraps. Regardless of anonymity, the focus remains on the framework's capabilities and potential. Who are the Investors of Agent S? As Agent S is relatively new in the cryptographic ecosystem, detailed information regarding its investors and financial backers is not explicitly documented. The lack of publicly available insights into the investment foundations or organisations supporting the project raises questions about its funding structure and development roadmap. Understanding the backing is crucial for gauging the project's sustainability and potential market impact. How Does Agent S Work? At the core of Agent S lies cutting-edge technology that enables it to function effectively in diverse settings. Its operational model is built around several key features: Human-like Computer Interaction: The framework offers advanced AI planning, striving to make interactions with computers more intuitive. By mimicking human behaviour in tasks execution, it promises to elevate user experiences. Narrative Memory: Employed to leverage high-level experiences, Agent S utilises narrative memory to keep track of task histories, thereby enhancing its decision-making processes. Episodic Memory: This feature provides users with step-by-step guidance, allowing the framework to offer contextual support as tasks unfold. Support for OpenACI: With the ability to run locally, Agent S allows users to maintain control over their interactions and workflows, aligning with the decentralised ethos of Web3. Easy Integration with External APIs: Its versatility and compatibility with various AI platforms ensure that Agent S can fit seamlessly into existing technological ecosystems, making it an appealing choice for developers and organisations. These functionalities collectively contribute to Agent S's unique position within the crypto space, as it automates complex, multi-step tasks with minimal human intervention. As the project evolves, its potential applications in Web3 could redefine how digital interactions unfold. Timeline of Agent S The development and milestones of Agent S can be encapsulated in a timeline that highlights its significant events: September 27, 2024: The concept of Agent S was launched in a comprehensive research paper titled “An Open Agentic Framework that Uses Computers Like a Human,” showcasing the groundwork for the project. October 10, 2024: The research paper was made publicly available on arXiv, offering an in-depth exploration of the framework and its performance evaluation based on the OSWorld benchmark. October 12, 2024: A video presentation was released, providing a visual insight into the capabilities and features of Agent S, further engaging potential users and investors. These markers in the timeline not only illustrate the progress of Agent S but also indicate its commitment to transparency and community engagement. Key Points About Agent S As the Agent S framework continues to evolve, several key attributes stand out, underscoring its innovative nature and potential: Innovative Framework: Designed to provide an intuitive use of computers akin to human interaction, Agent S brings a novel approach to task automation. Autonomous Interaction: The ability to interact autonomously with computers through GUI signifies a leap towards more intelligent and efficient computing solutions. Complex Task Automation: With its robust methodology, it can automate complex, multi-step tasks, making processes faster and less error-prone. Continuous Improvement: The learning mechanisms enable Agent S to improve from past experiences, continually enhancing its performance and efficacy. Versatility: Its adaptability across different operating environments like OSWorld and WindowsAgentArena ensures that it can serve a broad range of applications. As Agent S positions itself in the Web3 and crypto landscape, its potential to enhance interaction capabilities and automate processes signifies a significant advancement in AI technologies. Through its innovative framework, Agent S exemplifies the future of digital interactions, promising a more seamless and efficient experience for users across various industries. Conclusion Agent S represents a bold leap forward in the marriage of AI and Web3, with the capacity to redefine how we interact with technology. While still in its early stages, the possibilities for its application are vast and compelling. Through its comprehensive framework addressing critical challenges, Agent S aims to bring autonomous interactions to the forefront of the digital experience. As we move deeper into the realms of cryptocurrency and decentralisation, projects like Agent S will undoubtedly play a crucial role in shaping the future of technology and human-computer collaboration.

821 Total ViewsPublished 2025.01.14Updated 2025.01.14

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