Ethereum Shows Significant Activity: Has the Anticipated Rally Begun or Is This a Temporary Surge? Two Expert Analysts Assess the Situation!

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-20Last updated on 2026-08-20

Abstract

Ethereum has surged significantly, gaining about 20% in 24 hours to break above $2,300. This move is attributed to a general increase in market risk appetite and substantial inflows into Ethereum-based ETFs. Analyst Jamie Coutts of Real Vision highlights that while this marks Ethereum's eighth-largest daily surge since 2018, it doesn't guarantee the rally's continuation at this pace in the short term. He likens the immediate price direction to a coin toss. However, he sees a strengthening long-term bullish case, with a higher probability of positive momentum over the next three to six months. In a notable market event, hourly Ethereum buying volume on derivatives exchanges spiked to $2.55 billion on August 19, reaching one of the highest levels in about six months. Analyst Morenodev notes this indicates buyers are suddenly willing to pay significantly more. Yet, it remains unclear if this volume stems from new long positions being opened or from short positions being liquidated. The analyst cautions that this indicator alone does not confirm a sustained bull trend, as the buying pressure could be temporary if absorbed by sellers.

Last evening, Bitcoin experienced a powerful surge in the cryptocurrency market, and Ethereum became one of the most notable assets in this rise.

Over the past 24 hours, $ETH has increased by approximately 20%, surpassing the $2,300 mark. This growth was driven both by an increase in overall market risk appetite and by significant inflows into Ethereum-based ETFs.

While $ETH captured attention with its significant growth, Real Vision analyst Jamie Coutts assessed Ethereum's strong upward trend.

Coutts noted that yesterday $ETH showed the eighth-largest daily jump since 2018, but this does not guarantee that the upward trend will continue at the same pace in the short term.

At this stage, the analyst states that, based on past trends, the short-term price direction is largely uncertain, and the probability of the uptrend continuing is roughly equivalent to a coin toss.

However, the analyst notes that the long-term bullish outlook for Ethereum is strengthening. In his view, the probability of positive momentum for Ethereum, especially over the next three to six months, may be higher than in the short term.

Massive Ethereum Buyout! Hourly Volume Reached $2.55 Billion!

Ethereum attracted attention with its 20 percent rise, and aggressive investor buying in the derivatives market also reached impressive levels.

According to an analysis by CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV, the Ethereum purchase volume across all exchanges in a single hour on August 19 rose to $2.55 billion.

The analyst stated that the hourly trading volume on the Ethereum derivatives market reached the third-highest level in about six months, fueled by intensified aggressive buying.

The analyst noted: "Buyers suddenly started showing a willingness to pay more again, and this willingness is at a level rarely seen in the last six months."

However, the analyst pointed out that it is not yet clear whether the increase in purchase volume is solely due to the opening of new long positions or the closing of short positions.

In the analyst's opinion, to understand this distinction, it is necessary to specifically track data on open interest (OI) and the movement of the Ethereum price. If open interest increases while strong buying pressure persists and the Ethereum price remains above the breakout zone, this can be interpreted as a signal for opening new long positions. Conversely, if open interest declines amid large-scale liquidations, this increase is more likely a temporary buying trend caused by short position liquidations, not an influx of new funds.

In conclusion, the analyst said: "This indicator is not a signal confirming a further bullish trend for Ethereum," adding that sustained aggressive buying could be an early signal of broader market participation, but there is also a risk that short-term buyer pressure could fade if the rise is absorbed by sellers.

*This is not investment advice.

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Related Questions

QWhat were the main reasons cited for Ethereum's (ETH) 20% price surge mentioned in the article?

AThe article cites two main reasons: an increase in overall market risk appetite and a significant influx of funds into Ethereum-based ETFs.

QAccording to analyst Jamie Coutts, what was significant about Ethereum's price movement recently, and what is his outlook for the short-term?

AJamie Coutts noted that Ethereum recently had its eighth-largest daily jump since 2018. However, he states that this does not guarantee the uptrend will continue at the same pace in the short-term, and the direction is highly uncertain, roughly equivalent to a coin flip.

QWhat did analyst Morenodev observe about the hourly trading volume for Ethereum on August 19th, and what caution did they provide?

AAnalyst Morenodev observed that the hourly purchase volume for Ethereum across all exchanges reached $2.55 billion on August 19th, the third-highest level in about six months. However, they cautioned that this indicator is not a signal confirming a continued bull trend, as it could be driven by short covering rather than new capital inflows.

QAccording to the analysts in the article, what is the key factor to distinguish between new long positions opening and short positions being liquidated?

AThe key factor is tracking the Open Interest (OI) data alongside price movement. If OI increases while buying pressure remains strong and price stays above a breakout zone, it suggests new long positions are opening. If OI decreases alongside large liquidations, the buying is likely a temporary trend caused by short covering.

QWhat is the long-term outlook for Ethereum according to analyst Jamie Coutts, as mentioned in the article?

AWhile short-term direction is uncertain, Jamie Coutts states that the long-term bullish forecast for Ethereum is strengthening. He believes the probability of positive momentum, especially over the next three to six months, may be higher than in the short-term.

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