Chainlink: Is LINK drawing investors as KEY metric hits cycle lows?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-01-16Last updated on 2026-01-16

Abstract

Chainlink (LINK) is a leading development project on Solana, primarily due to its oracle infrastructure and Cross Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP). Key on-chain indicators suggest a potential bullish turn. The HODLer net position change has reset to neutral levels, indicating that long-term holders have stopped selling and may begin accumulating. Additionally, the supply in profit metric is at a relatively low 27.58%, a level that preceded price rallies in the past. The launch of CME Group’s LINK futures and whale accumulation further strengthen the investment case, signaling a "buy" opportunity for investors.

Chainlink [LINK] was the leading ecosystem development project on Solana [SOL].

This could be confusing at first glance, but since Chainlink is an oracle infrastructure, it will require more ongoing developmental activity.

The Santiment ecosystem filter includes the Chainlink platform due to the focus on the Cross Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP). It also provides price and other data feeds to DeFi projects on Solana, helping explain the healthy developmental activity lead it has over even SOL-native protocols.

Apart from developmental activity, other on-chain metrics showed Chainlink could be turning bullish once more.

Reasons investors should be interested in Chainlink

There is a huge market for Chainlink now that the global financial system is increasingly moving on-chain.

It can help draw long-term investors’ attention. Metrics, such as the HODLer net position change, showed that accumulation from holders could begin soon.

The metric had been deeply negative in November but has reset to neutral levels recently. It indicated that holders had stopped cashing out and were preparing to accumulate new positions.

The shift away from aggressive distribution came alongside another potentially bullish signal.

The Chainlink supply in profit metric tracks the percentage of circulating supply in profit. In November and December, the metric reached lows not seen since September 2023.

It was at 27.58% at the time of writing, which was still relatively low. From August to October 2024 and March to July 2025, the metric had oscillated between 30%-40%.

Both times, LINK prices saw a multi-month consolidation near the market lows before rallying higher. It was likely that a similar scenario would play out once again.

In other news, CME Group, the world’s largest derivatives market, has announced LINK and Micro LINK Futures contracts.

The Bitwise spot ETF attracted $2.59 million in inflows on the day of the launch. Whale accumulation helped make the case that LINK buyers were gaining strength.

These factors together gave investors a “buy” signal. Bitcoin [BTC] was another factor buyers should keep an eye on, as it could heavily sway market sentiment.


Final Thoughts

  • The on-chain metrics showed long-term holders were done aggressively distributing LINK since the end of November.
  • The low supply in profit showed a pattern since August 2024, which could be a bullish signal for Chainlink in the coming months.

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Related Questions

QWhy is Chainlink considered the leading ecosystem development project on Solana despite not being a native protocol?

AChainlink is an oracle infrastructure that requires ongoing developmental activity, and its Santiment ecosystem filter inclusion is due to the Cross Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP). It also provides price and data feeds to DeFi projects on Solana, explaining its developmental activity lead.

QWhat does the HODLer net position change metric indicate about Chainlink investors' behavior?

AThe metric, which was deeply negative in November, has reset to neutral levels, indicating that holders have stopped cashing out and are preparing to accumulate new positions.

QWhat is the significance of Chainlink's supply in profit metric hitting lows not seen since September 2023?

AAt 27.58%, the low supply in profit has historically preceded multi-month consolidation near market lows followed by a rally, as seen in August-October 2024 and March-July 2025, suggesting a potentially bullish scenario.

QWhat recent institutional developments could attract investors to Chainlink?

ACME Group announced LINK and Micro LINK Futures contracts, and the Bitwise spot ETF attracted $2.59 million in inflows on launch day, alongside whale accumulation, indicating growing institutional interest.

QWhat are the key on-chain signals suggesting a bullish turn for Chainlink?

AThe cessation of aggressive distribution by long-term holders, the low supply in profit mirroring past bullish patterns, and institutional developments like CME futures and ETF inflows collectively give a 'buy' signal.

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