Bitcoin Holds Firm at $64K, Polymarket Lowers CLARITY Act Launch Odds to 15%

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-05Last updated on 2026-08-05

Abstract

Bitcoin held above the $64,000 mark on Wednesday, though bullish momentum remained subdued amid heightened political tensions surrounding the upcoming vote on the CLARITY Act. The cryptocurrency managed a slight upward trajectory from its August 4th consolidation range of $63,000-$63,600, repeatedly finding support at $64,000. However, rallies were consistently capped around $64,400. After a brief dip to $63,900, Bitcoin rebounded to a peak of $64,706 and was trading near $64,600 by late morning EST, up 1.1% for the day. This modest rise again forced liquidations, with $45 million of nearly $52 million in Bitcoin leveraged liquidations coming from short positions. Analysts view the CLARITY Act as a key catalyst for Bitcoin's 2024 gains, but its passage appears increasingly unlikely with less than 48 hours before the congressional recess. The Senate's August 5th agenda omitted the bill entirely, highlighting a lack of bipartisan consensus. While proponents like Coinbase's Ryan VanGrak and Senator Cynthia Lummis remain optimistic about a potential September vote, prediction markets have turned pessimistic. Polymarket users now price the odds of the CLARITY Act becoming law this year at just 15%, down from 27% earlier in the week.

On Wednesday, Bitcoin stubbornly held above the $64,000 mark, although the overall bullish momentum remained subdued against the backdrop of escalating political disputes surrounding the upcoming vote on the CLARITY Act. Despite a sharp spike in daily volatility, market data indicates that the leading cryptocurrency still managed to carve out a slight upward trajectory compared to the August 4 consolidation range of $63,000 to $63,600.

Market data shows that although the price dipped below the $64,000 level several times during the session, it quickly bounced back, indicating strong buying pressure. However, the familiar resistance ceiling reappeared: every rally was halted as soon as Bitcoin surpassed the $64,400 mark.

This pattern persisted until 8:30 AM Eastern Standard Time (EST), when the price fell from $64,466 to a daily low of $63,900 in just over an hour. A sharp rebound offset the drop and lifted Bitcoin to a peak of $64,706. As of 12:53 PM EST, Bitcoin was trading slightly below $64,600—a 1.1% daily increase that raised its market capitalization to nearly $1.3 trillion.

For the second consecutive day, even modest gains proved devastating for short sellers. Coinglass data shows that out of nearly $52 million in leveraged Bitcoin positions liquidated, short positions accounted for $45 million. Across the broader cryptocurrency market, total liquidations amounted to approximately $216 million, with short positions making up $148 million of that total.

Analysts view the CLARITY Act as a key catalyst for Bitcoin's rise this year. However, with less than 48 hours remaining before the start of the parliamentary recess, the likelihood of its passage by the fragmented U.S. Senate appears increasingly slim. Reports emerging late Tuesday indicated that Senate Majority Leader John Thune planned to file a cloture motion, although later reports noted that Democratic senators intended to block this move. Ultimately, the CLARITY Act was completely omitted from the Senate's agenda for August 5, highlighting the lack of bipartisan consensus.

CLARITY Act Passage Odds: Polymarket

Nevertheless, staunch supporters refuse to consider the initiative a failure. Coinbase Vice President Ryan VanGrack emphasized that failing during the current legislative session does not mean the end of the bill, pointing to September as a realistic second chance for its passage. Supporting this stance, Senator Cynthia Lummis, one of the bill's main legislative sponsors, maintained an optimistic outlook regarding its ultimate fate—although she acknowledged that the high-stakes negotiations were likely to extend through the weekend.

Prediction markets are far less optimistic. Polymarket users are currently pricing the odds of the CLARITY Act coming into force this year at just 15%, down 12 percentage points from Monday's 27%.

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Related Questions

QWhat was the price behavior of Bitcoin described in the article on Wednesday?

AOn Wednesday, Bitcoin stubbornly held above the $64,000 mark. Although its overall bullish momentum remained subdued, it managed to establish a slight upward trajectory compared to its consolidation range of $63,000-$63,600 from August 4th. The price dipped below $64,000 several times but quickly recovered, indicating strong buying pressure. It later dropped to a daily low of $63,900 before rebounding to a peak of $64,706.

QAccording to Coinglass data mentioned in the article, how much of the nearly $52 million in Bitcoin leveraged positions liquidated were short positions?

AAccording to Coinglass data, out of nearly $52 million in Bitcoin leveraged positions liquidated, short positions accounted for $45 million.

QWhy has the likelihood of the CLARITY Act passing before the parliamentary recess diminished, according to the article?

AThe likelihood has diminished because, with less than 48 hours before the start of the parliamentary recess, passing the bill in the fractured U.S. Senate seems increasingly unlikely. The Senate's agenda for August 5th completely excluded the CLARITY Act, highlighting a lack of bipartisan consensus, and Democratic senators were reported to intend to block a cloture motion.

QWhat is the current probability of the CLARITY Act coming into force this year according to users on Polymarket, and how does this compare to the probability earlier in the week?

AUsers on Polymarket currently estimate the chances of the CLARITY Act coming into force this year at just 15%. This is 12 percentage points lower than the probability on Monday, which was 27%.

QDespite the current legislative setback, what reasons do proponents give for continued optimism about the CLARITY Act?

AProponents argue that failure in the current legislative session does not mean the end of the bill. Coinbase Vice Chairman Ryan VanGrak pointed to September as a real second chance for its passage. Senator Cynthia Lummis, a chief legislative sponsor, also maintained an optimistic outlook on its ultimate fate, though she acknowledged high-stakes negotiations would likely continue over the weekend.

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1.5k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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