A New Metric Rainbow Pattern in Bitcoin May Signal the Price!

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-15Last updated on 2026-08-15

Abstract

Bitcoin has fallen to its lowest valuation level according to the Rainbow Chart model, which is based on long-term price trends. Its volatility-adjusted Z-score has also dropped to its lowest level in the past 10 years. Analyst Axel Adler Jr. from CryptoQuant stated that Bitcoin is trading within a range describable as a "fire sale price" on the Rainbow Chart. The current price indicates an extremely steep discount relative to the long-term price trajectory within this model. The Rainbow Chart measures not just Bitcoin's price drop. It compares the current price to the long-term historical trend, showing how far the market has deviated. The adjusted Z-score has fallen to -2.293, the lowest level recorded for this indicator since 2016. During the 2022 market downturn, the score was -1.979. According to the analyst, this indicator, which accounts for volatility fluctuations across different market cycles, suggests Bitcoin's current downward divergence has surpassed the level observed at the bottom of the previous bear market. However, the extremely low valuation does not definitively confirm that a final bottom has been reached. While current prospects point to a potentially attractive price range within the model, confirmation of a market direction change requires data from other indicators. *This is not investment advice.

Bitcoin has fallen to its lowest valuation according to the Rainbow Chart model, which is based on long-term price trends. Its volatility-adjusted Z-score has also dropped to its lowest level in the past 10 years.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin is trading in a range that can be described as a "panic selling price" on the Rainbow Chart. According to the analyst, the current price indicates an extremely high level of discount compared to the long-term price trajectory within this pattern.

The Rainbow Chart measures not only Bitcoin's price decline. The model compares the current price with the long-term historical trend, showing how much the market has deviated from this trend.

According to the data, the volatility-adjusted Z-score has fallen to -2.293. This is the lowest level recorded for this indicator since 2016. During the market downturn in 2022, the indicator was -1.979.

In the analyst's view, this indicator, which accounts for volatility fluctuations across different market cycles, suggests that Bitcoin's current bearish divergence has surpassed the level observed at the bottom of the previous bear market.

However, the extremely low valuation does not definitively confirm that the absolute bottom has been reached. Although current prospects point to a potentially attractive price range within the model, data from other indicators is necessary to confirm that the market has changed direction.

*This is not investment advice.

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat has Bitcoin fallen to according to the Rainbow Chart model mentioned in the article?

ABitcoin has fallen to its lowest valuation level according to the Rainbow Chart model.

QAccording to the CryptoQuant analyst, how can Bitcoin's current trading range be described on the Rainbow Chart?

AIt can be described as a 'panic-selling price' range on the Rainbow Chart.

QWhat does the volatility-adjusted Z-score for Bitcoin indicate based on the article?

AIt has fallen to -2.293, which is the lowest level recorded for this indicator since 2016 and indicates that the current downtrend has exceeded the level seen at the bottom of the previous bear market.

QWhat is the primary function of the Rainbow Chart model as explained in the text?

AIt compares the current price with the long-term historical price trend to show how much the market has deviated from that trend.

QDoes the article state that the extremely low valuation guarantees that the final bottom price has been reached?

ANo, it does not. The article states that other indicator data is needed to confirm that the market has changed direction.

Related Reads

Robert Kiyosaki Shares His Mentor's Predictions About the Emergence of Bitcoin and AI

American entrepreneur and author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," Robert Kiyosaki, discussed the influence of futurist R. Buckminster Fuller on his worldview, linking Fuller's past technological predictions to the emergence of Bitcoin and the development of artificial intelligence. In an X post, Kiyosaki also reflected on personal purpose, sharing his journey from the music business—where he worked with bands like The Police and Iron Maiden—to creating the "Cashflow" board game and writing his famous book. He described feeling an inner emptiness despite his success, a turning point that came after meeting Fuller, whom he studied with for three summers. Kiyosaki described Fuller as a "friendly genius" who foresaw world-changing developments like Bitcoin and AI. However, the core of his post focused on Fuller's philosophical impact, particularly a quote about belonging to the universe and finding purpose by dedicating one's life to the maximum benefit of others. The entrepreneur remains a vocal advocate for cryptocurrencies. He regularly advises buying Bitcoin during market panics, viewing it and assets like Ethereum, gold, and silver as hedges against traditional financial system failures. Kiyosaki has predicted a major market crash by 2026, seeing it as an opportunity for prepared investors, with long-term price targets including $750,000 for Bitcoin and $95,000 for Ethereum.

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Robert Kiyosaki Shares His Mentor's Predictions About the Emergence of Bitcoin and AI

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Etherealize CEO Calls Wall Street's Private Blockchains a 'Race to the Bottom'

Etherealize co-founder and CEO Vivek Raman criticized Wall Street's growing interest in private, permissioned blockchains, calling them a "race to the bottom." In an interview with CoinDesk, Raman argued that consortium networks fragment liquidity and return the industry to the siloed systems that blockchain technology was meant to overcome. He stated that closed networks do not interoperate, undermining two key advantages of the technology: system compatibility and liquidity concentration. Etherealize promotes Ethereum as an open, foundational layer for institutional players. Raman insists that privacy and access restrictions should be built on top of public infrastructure—at the application or L2 level—rather than creating separate, closed networks. He compared Ethereum to HTTP as a base layer, with additional permissioned and private layers akin to HTTPS. Examples of this new wave of "closed" solutions mentioned include Canton Network from Digital Asset, Circle's Arc project, and Stripe's Tempo. Raman termed this trend "consortium chains 2.0," recalling earlier initiatives like the R3 interbank consortium and the Hyperledger corporate ecosystem from 2016 that failed to gain significant traction. He reiterated his firm belief that a global, open, permissionless infrastructure is necessary as a foundational base layer. Raman previously noted in June that traditional financial institutions had begun implementing Ethereum-based solutions into real business processes.

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Etherealize CEO Calls Wall Street's Private Blockchains a 'Race to the Bottom'

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

1.9k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片