Matt Hogan Assesses Bitcoin's Prospects for the End of the Year

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-11Last updated on 2026-08-11

Abstract

Matt Hogan, a top executive at Bitwise, assessed Bitcoin's prospects for the remainder of the year. He identified the lack of significant negative price reaction to bad news as a sign a local bottom may be forming, suggesting sellers have exited the market. Key supportive factors include continued inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and large investors increasing their Bitcoin allocations. Hogan estimates some portfolios now hold 4-5% in Bitcoin, surpassing the traditional 1% benchmark. He also noted a rise in wallets holding over 10,000 BTC, reaching a six-month high. The demand structure for Bitcoin is shifting, according to Hogan. While corporate investors like MicroStrategy were previously dominant accumulators, the advent of spot ETFs has simplified access for traditional financial institutions, leveling the playing field. Hogan concluded that future market dynamics will increasingly depend on growing demand and the rising allocation of Bitcoin within investment funds and large company portfolios.

Hogan considers one of the signs of a local bottom forming to be the lack of a noticeable reaction from the first cryptocurrency to negative news.

"Bad news has stopped affecting the market. The sellers are gone. When bad news stops affecting the market, it means the bottom has been reached," explained the Bitwise top executive.

He named the inflow of funds into spot Bitcoin ETFs as one of the factors that could support the market until the end of the year. Simultaneously, large investors are increasing their share of Bitcoin in portfolios. According to Hogan's estimate, the actual share of the first cryptocurrency for some already reaches 4-5% against the standard benchmark of 1%.

The investment director cited the increase in the number of wallets with a balance of 10,000 $BTC or more as an additional sign of interest in Bitcoin. Over the past eight weeks, their number has grown to 90, updating the six-month high.

Against this background, Hogan believes, the structure of demand for Bitcoin is changing. Previously, corporate investors played a noticeable role in accumulating the first cryptocurrency, with the most famous example being MicroStrategy, the largest publicly traded holder of $BTC. However, the advent of spot ETFs has simplified access to Bitcoin for traditional financial institutions and reduced the advantage of corporate investors, the Bitwise executive is convinced.

The further dynamics of the crypto market will increasingly depend on the growth of demand and the increase in Bitcoin's share in the portfolios of investment funds and large companies, concluded the top manager.

Earlier, Matt Hogan stated that investors are too focused on the short-term price fluctuations of Bitcoin and are trying to determine the minimum level before a new rise.

end-content

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QAccording to Matt Hogan, what indicates that the local bottom for Bitcoin is forming?

AThe local bottom is indicated by the fact that bad news no longer significantly impacts the Bitcoin market, suggesting sellers have left.

QWhat factor does Hogan believe could support the Bitcoin market until the end of the year?

AHogan believes the inflow of funds into spot Bitcoin ETFs could support the market until the end of the year.

QWhat change in Bitcoin demand structure does Hogan observe with the introduction of spot ETFs?

AThe introduction of spot ETFs has simplified access for traditional financial institutions, reducing the relative advantage of corporate investors in accumulating Bitcoin.

QWhat recent trend in Bitcoin wallets does Hogan mention as a sign of investor interest?

AHogan mentions an increase in the number of wallets holding at least 10,000 BTC, reaching 90 and setting a six-month high over the last eight weeks.

QWhat did Hogan previously say about investor focus regarding Bitcoin price movements?

AHe previously stated that investors are too focused on short-term Bitcoin price fluctuations and are trying to pinpoint the lowest level before a new rally.

Related Reads

Strong Growth, Moderate Rate Hikes, Controllable Oil Prices: The Market is Pricing a Non-existent Perfection

The global market is currently pricing in a contradictory "Goldilocks" scenario of robust growth, limited interest rate hikes, manageable energy supply shocks, and declining oil prices. Deutsche Bank strategist Henry Allen warns this leaves little room for error regarding policy, inflation, or geopolitics. While U.S. equities hit record highs and credit spreads are tight, signaling strong growth, interest rate markets price in only minimal Fed tightening ahead, despite inflation remaining above target. This combination is difficult to sustain. Historically, starting inflation levels suggest a much more aggressive Fed hiking cycle than currently anticipated, as seen in 2022. Furthermore, oil price declines contradict ongoing supply risks, with the Strait of Hormuz still disrupted. Market expectations for future supply recovery and lower prices depend on resolutions not yet achieved. Energy volatility and potential new inflationary pressures from AI-driven demand highlight persistent inflation risks. The core risk is that the multiple optimistic assumptions underpinning current asset prices fail to materialize simultaneously. Strong growth with loose financial conditions could force more aggressive Fed action, while prolonged energy disruptions could undermine disinflation. Markets have priced a near-perfect outcome with minimal margin for deviation, meaning any single factor disappointing expectations could trigger a broad repricing of growth, rates, and risk assets.

marsbit46m ago

Strong Growth, Moderate Rate Hikes, Controllable Oil Prices: The Market is Pricing a Non-existent Perfection

marsbit46m ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

How to Buy ONE

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing Harmony (ONE) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy Harmony (ONE) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your Harmony (ONE)After purchasing your Harmony (ONE), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade Harmony (ONE)Easily trade Harmony (ONE) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

4.9k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2026.06.02

How to Buy ONE

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of ONE (ONE) are presented below.

活动图片