VanEck, Managing Billions, Responds: 'Has Bitcoin's End of the Month Arrived?'

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-14Last updated on 2026-08-14

Abstract

VanEck, an investment firm managing billions, suggests that Bitcoin may be nearing the end of its current downtrend. The analysis notes that Bitcoin's drop from a peak around $125,000 to $60,000 aligns with a traditional post-halving bearish phase. However, signs of selling exhaustion are emerging, and some indicators are turning positive. VanEck's proprietary GEO model (assessing Global liquidity, Ecosystem leverage, and On-chain activity) shows two of its three signals at neutral levels, while the ecosystem leverage indicator presents a constructive outlook. The firm interprets these combined signals as pointing to the formation of a cyclical bottom, potentially providing a basis for investors to begin gradually accumulating Bitcoin. Despite this, VanEck cautions that it cannot be definitively stated that Bitcoin has reached its lowest point. The current sharp decline is viewed as part of Bitcoin's typical four-year halving cycle pattern rather than a structural market failure. The firm concludes by noting that while market cycles are based on past behavior, there is no guarantee they will repeat identically in the future.

American investment firm VanEck stated that Bitcoin may be approaching the final stage of the current downtrend.

In a recent analysis, VanEck noted that Bitcoin's decline from a peak of approximately $125,000 to a level of $60,000 aligns with the traditional cyclical bear phase observed in the post-halving period.

In this context, VanEck points out that signs of exhaustion are appearing in Bitcoin's current bear season, and some metrics are beginning to show positive momentum again.

Impressive Chart in the Company's GEO Indicator!

VanEck analyzed the GEO (Global Liquidity, Ecosystem Leverage, On-Chain Activity) framework it uses to assess the Bitcoin market.

According to the company's analysis, the model consists of three signals, two of which are at neutral levels. The third signal, the ecosystem leverage indicator, is said to show a constructive outlook.

In this context, VanEck stated that these indicators, considered together, signal the formation of cyclical lows in Bitcoin and could serve as a basis for investors to begin gradually increasing their positions.

Not a Passively Bearish Partner!

However, the company notes that it cannot be said with certainty that Bitcoin has reached its bottom.

According to VanEck, Bitcoin is in a traditional bear phase related to its four-year halving cycle. In this context, the company asserts that the sharp decline observed in the current cycle aligns with historical patterns rather than indicating a structural failure in the Bitcoin market.

In conclusion, VanEck added that market cycles are based on past behavior, and there is no guarantee they will repeat in the future in the same way.

*This is not investment advice.

end-content

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QAccording to the article, what investment firm suggests Bitcoin may be nearing the end of its current downtrend?

AThe American investment company VanEck suggests that Bitcoin may be approaching the concluding stage of its current downtrend.

QBased on VanEck's analysis, what key indicator within the GEO model is showing a constructive forecast for Bitcoin?

AWithin VanEck's GEO model, the Ecosystem Leverage indicator is reported to be showing a constructive forecast.

QHow does VanEck characterize the recent sharp decline in Bitcoin's price within the context of its historical pattern?

AVanEck characterizes the recent sharp decline as consistent with the traditional post-halving cyclical bear phase, aligning with historical patterns rather than indicating a structural market failure.

QWhat final caveat does VanEck provide regarding market cycles and future predictions?

AVanEck concludes that market cycles are based on past behavior and there is no guarantee they will repeat in the same way in the future.

QWhat does the combined signal from the GEO indicators suggest to investors, according to VanEck?

AVanEck states that the combined signals from the GEO indicators suggest the formation of cyclical lows in Bitcoin and could provide a basis for investors to begin gradually increasing their positions.

Related Reads

5 Lessons from 'The Odyssey' for Traders: Strategy, Discipline, and How to Survive in the Market

"The Odyssey" offers timeless lessons for traders on strategy, discipline, and market survival. This article draws parallels between the epic's themes and the core principles of trading. First, **strategy over brute force** is key. Odysseus’s cunning escapes, like from the Cyclops, highlight that a market view must translate into a concrete plan with entry, exit, position sizing, and failure conditions. Over-trading often harms performance more than it helps. Second, facing **temptation and self-control**, Odysseus had himself tied to the mast *before* hearing the Sirens. Similarly, pre-set trading rules (like stop-losses) are more reliable than willpower in the heat of the moment, preventing emotionally-driven decisions. Third, managing **risk and trade-offs** is crucial. Odysseus chose a limited loss (losing six men to Scylla) to avoid total disaster (Charybdis). In trading, position sizing ensures a loss doesn't prevent future trades, as recovering from large drawdowns becomes exponentially harder. Fourth, the ability to **adapt to change** is vital. Odysseus faced unique challenges requiring different tactics. Markets also change; a strategy effective in one environment (e.g., a trend) may fail in another (e.g., a range). The key is distinguishing when a strategy needs adjustment from normal short-term variance. Finally, success is measured by the **entire journey**, not single events. A decade-long voyage or a series of trades defines performance, not one win or loss. Consistency and long-term metrics matter more than any single trade. Ultimately, a reliable trading system isn't about always being right, but about containing mistakes within manageable limits, ensuring survival and the chance to succeed over the long term—much like Odysseus's arduous but ultimately successful return home.

marsbit2h ago

5 Lessons from 'The Odyssey' for Traders: Strategy, Discipline, and How to Survive in the Market

marsbit2h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

1.9k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片