Can ARB’s price absorb 92.65M new tokens without losing its pace?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-14Last updated on 2026-07-14

Abstract

On July 16th, 92.65 million ARB tokens (worth approximately $8.53 million) are scheduled to unlock, representing 1.65% of the current circulating supply. The release will be allocated to the Arbitrum team, advisors, and investors. While token unlocks do not always lead to immediate selling, they can impact price in the short term. Despite the impending event, ARB's price has recently recovered above $0.09, with technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggesting positive momentum and buyer dominance. Additionally, rising aggregated open interest and a positive funding rate indicate traders are largely holding optimistic, long positions. However, this sentiment could increase volatility if the market moves contrary to expectations. The key question remains whether buying demand will be sufficient to absorb the new token supply without disrupting the recent price recovery.

On 16th July, 92.65 million ARB are scheduled to enter circulation. The release is valued at around $8.53 million and makes up 1.65% of the token’s currently released supply.

The unlocked tokens will be divided between two main groups. Around 56.13 million ARB will go to the Arbitrum team, future team members, and advisors. The remaining 36.52 million ARB will be allocated to investors.

Source: The Tokenomist

Here, it’s worth noting that token unlocks don’t always lead to immediate selling. However, the new supply can move price in the short-term, depending on how recipients manage their holdings.

AMBCrypto previously reported that 10% of fees collected from Robinhood Chain and other Arbitrum Layer-2 networks will be directed to the Arbitrum ecosystem. This development is separate from the token unlock, but the growing source of ecosystem value may also be factoring into ARB’s longer-term outlook.

How is ARB’s price doing?

Despite the impending event, ARB has recovered on the charts in recent sessions.

In fact, after falling towards the $0.07 range, the altcoin moved back above $0.09. Perhaps, there was buying interest ahead of the unlock.

Source: TradingView

The RSI was near 63 at press time meaning that the buyers had the upper hand without moving into overbought territory. MACD also turned positive, and that supported the move up.

The unlock could test this recovery. The future depends on whether buying demand stays strong enough to absorb the additional tokens.

Hope for derivatives traders?

Finally, ARB’s Aggregated Open Interest went up to around $60.9 million. Many more traders seemed to be holding active positions in the market.

Source: Coinalyze

At the same time, the average funding rate was also positive at 0.0083%. Long positions appeared to be outweighing short positions, with traders largely expecting further upside on the charts.

What’s interesting is that this long positioning can also increase volatility if the market moves in the opposite direction.


Final Summary

  • Arbitrum will unlock 92.65 million ARB on 16th July.
  • At the time of writing, ARB’s price had recovered above $0.09, with traders being optimistic too.

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QHow many new ARB tokens are scheduled to be unlocked on July 16th and what is their approximate value?

A92.65 million ARB tokens, valued at approximately $8.53 million, are scheduled to be unlocked.

QWho are the two main groups receiving the unlocked ARB tokens?

AThe unlocked tokens will be divided between the Arbitrum team, future team members, and advisors (around 56.13 million ARB), and investors (36.52 million ARB).

QAccording to the article, what were the RSI and MACD indicators for ARB suggesting at press time?

AThe RSI was near 63, indicating buyers had the upper hand without moving into overbought territory. The MACD had also turned positive, supporting the upward price move.

QWhat does the positive average funding rate for ARB imply about trader positioning?

AA positive average funding rate of 0.0083% implies that long positions are outweighing short positions, indicating traders largely expect further price increases.

QWhat is one potential risk mentioned in the article regarding the high number of long positions in the derivatives market?

AThe high level of long positioning can increase volatility if the market price moves in the opposite direction, potentially leading to sharper price declines.

Related Reads

Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz Escalate, Bitcoin Plunges to $61,700 Amid Safe-Haven Selling

Bitcoin fell sharply to around $61,700 on Monday, July 13th, as geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz triggered a broad shift toward risk-off sentiment across global markets. The decline of roughly 4% mirrored weaker performances in major U.S. stock indices. Market analysts attributed the sell-off to a confluence of factors stemming from the heightened U.S.-Iran tensions. These tensions reignited inflation concerns, reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts, and prompted investors to reduce exposure to risk assets like Bitcoin. Additional pressure came from slowed institutional ETF inflows, Bitcoin's failure to breach a key resistance level, and a wave of liquidations for leveraged long positions. Despite the drop, analysts largely viewed the move as a typical macro-driven correction within a healthy long-term cycle. They emphasized that Bitcoin's underlying growth trajectory remains intact. The sell-off was seen more as a liquidation event targeting over-leveraged longs rather than a structural loss of confidence. Attention now turns to the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. A higher-than-expected inflation reading could further delay Fed rate cuts, making safer assets like bonds more attractive and continuing to pressure volatile assets like Bitcoin. The consensus is that the current volatility reflects short-term macro and geopolitical shocks, not a fundamental breakdown in Bitcoin's long-term proposition.

Foresight News50m ago

Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz Escalate, Bitcoin Plunges to $61,700 Amid Safe-Haven Selling

Foresight News50m ago

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Highlights: Rising Rate Hike Expectations, Crypto Market Stabilizes Amid Fluctuations

BitMart Research Weekly Market Review: Rate Hike Expectations Rise, Crypto Market Stabilizes Macro & Traditional Markets: U.S. stocks weakened with tech and semiconductors leading losses (Nasdaq down 1.55%, Philly Semi Index down 4.78%), while Apple bucked the trend. Brent oil surged 9.3% after Middle East ceasefire破裂, but gold fell 1% as美元 strengthened. The Fed's June FOMC纪要 was hawkish, shifting market expectations toward potential rate hikes, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.56%. Crypto Market Overview: BTC saw a slight 0.2% weekly gain, trading between ~$61.3K and $64.7K and settling near $64K. ETH outperformed, rising 1.2%. Market fear eased slightly but remained in "Fear" territory. Altcoin performance was mixed, with gains concentrated in large-cap assets. Key Developments: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs ended an 8-week outflow streak with a $197.4M net inflow, aiding price stabilization. On-chain, stablecoin growth was minimal. Robinhood Chain's TVL surpassed $132M within two weeks, largely driven by institutional stablecoin deposits. MicroStrategy executed its first major BTC sale (3,588 BTC for $216M) to fund dividends, while maintaining a large BTC reserve. Institutional infrastructure advanced with Swift's blockchain pilot for tokenized deposits and growing Asia-Pacific stablecoin initiatives. *This is market analysis, not investment advice. Cryptocurrency investment is high-risk; assess your risk tolerance and implement strict risk management.*

marsbit1h ago

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Highlights: Rising Rate Hike Expectations, Crypto Market Stabilizes Amid Fluctuations

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

How to Buy ARB

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing Arbitrum (ARB) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy Arbitrum (ARB) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your Arbitrum (ARB)After purchasing your Arbitrum (ARB), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade Arbitrum (ARB)Easily trade Arbitrum (ARB) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

6.0k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2026.06.02

How to Buy ARB

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of ARB (ARB) are presented below.

活动图片