Can Strategy rebound after its first close below $100 since 2024?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-06-25Last updated on 2026-06-25

Abstract

MicroStrategy's stock (MSTR) has fallen below $100 for the first time since March 2024, trading at $94.23 after a significant decline. Despite increasing its Bitcoin holdings to 847,363 BTC through recent share sales, the firm's strategy faces criticism. Market strategist Charlie Bilello warns of potential for further deep declines, citing historical precedents. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju suggests the company's aggressive Bitcoin purchases act more as a "liquidity sink" than a price catalyst, noting new buying is offset by selling pressure. He recommends pausing BTC buys to rebuild cash reserves. Analysis shows MSTR's stock price and its price-to-BTC reserve ratio are in decline, meaning investors are paying a much smaller premium for its Bitcoin acquisition strategy compared to prior bull markets. As Bitcoin's price struggles, scrutiny grows on MicroStrategy's leveraged treasury model and its need for greater capital discipline.

Bitcoin [BTC] treasury firm Strategy has dropped below $100 for the first time since March 2024.

Following a 9.26% decline in the previous trading day, MSTR was trading at $94.23 at the time of writing. Its cryptocurrency holdings have climbed to 847,363 BTC after selling 2.71 million MSTR shares. The sale raised $335.5 million in net proceeds, part of which was used to buy 520 Bitcoins for $34.9 million, an average price of $67,068 per BTC.

Notably, Strategy’s late‐May sale of 32 BTC was the initial catalyst for this decline.

The market reaction was swift!

Charlie Bilello, Chief Market Strategist at Creative Planning, cautioned investors not to assume that a stock has little downside simply because it has already fallen significantly.

Source: X

Although MSTR has already fallen more than 80% from its peak, Bilello noted that history shows sharp declines can deepen further. He pointed to Strategy’s shares plunging about 99.86% during the Dot‐com Bubble, underscoring that heavy losses do not always mark the bottom.

He added,

“f it were to match that, it means another -99% decline from here.

In fact, other crypto leaders also criticized Strategy’s Bitcoin buying binge, as CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju noted:

Strategy’s BTC buying here looks more like a liquidity sink than a price catalyst.

Is the Bitcoin buying spree a problem?

Young Ju observed that although the realized market capitalization of Bitcoin has increased by $467 billion over the last two years, the asset’s price has stayed relatively stable. This indicated that new buying has mostly been absorbed by increased selling pressure rather than propelling a sustained rally.

Source: CryptoQuant

According to Young Ju, the Strategy’s ongoing accumulation in this setting might just be keeping a deeper correction from happening, which would otherwise force weaker investors to give up. Hence, he recommended,

They should pause Bitcoin purchases, rebuild cash reserves, and adopt a systematic framework for purchase timing.

Market dynamics are painting a different picture

All of this occurred after Bitcoin fell 1.59% over the previous day to trade at $61,246.22 at press time. As the largest Bitcoin Digital Asset Treasury (DAT), it’s crucial to track how these shifting BTC dynamics affect Strategy’s massive Bitcoin position.

However, CryptoQuant’s MicroStrategy Price‐to‐BTC Reserve Ratio shows that after peaking in late 2024 and early 2025, both Strategy’s stock price and its reserve ratio have been in steady decline.

Source: CryptoQuant

This indicates that the market value of the stock has gotten closer to, or even condensed in relation to, the value of its underlying Bitcoin holdings.

Therefore, compared to the previous bull market, investors are now paying a much smaller premium for Strategy’s Bitcoin acquisition strategy.


Final Summary

  • Investors are paying closer attention to Strategy’s leveraged Bitcoin treasury model as Bitcoin struggles to recover.
  • Instead of depending entirely on ongoing Bitcoin purchases, Strategy might need to exhibit greater capital discipline.

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat event caused Strategy's stock price to drop below $100 for the first time since March 2024?

AThe initial catalyst for the decline was Strategy's sale of 32 Bitcoins in late May, which was followed by a broader market reaction and a significant daily drop in its stock price.

QWhat does Charlie Bilello caution investors about regarding Strategy's stock?

ACharlie Bilello cautions investors not to assume a stock has little downside just because it has fallen significantly, noting that sharp declines can deepen further, as seen during the Dot-com Bubble when Strategy's shares plunged about 99.86%.

QAccording to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, what is a potential issue with Strategy's Bitcoin buying strategy in the current market?

AKi Young Ju observed that Strategy's Bitcoin buying appears to act more as a 'liquidity sink' than a price catalyst. He suggests it may be preventing a deeper market correction that would force weaker investors out, and recommends pausing purchases to rebuild cash reserves and adopt a systematic buying framework.

QWhat does the decline in Strategy's Price-to-BTC Reserve Ratio indicate about the stock's current market valuation?

AThe decline in the Price-to-BTC Reserve Ratio indicates that the market value of Strategy's stock has moved closer to the underlying value of its Bitcoin holdings. This means investors are now paying a much smaller premium for the company's Bitcoin acquisition strategy compared to the previous bull market.

QWhat are the two key points mentioned in the article's final summary regarding Strategy's future approach?

AThe two key points are: 1) Investors are paying closer attention to Strategy's leveraged Bitcoin treasury model as Bitcoin struggles to recover. 2) Instead of depending entirely on ongoing Bitcoin purchases, Strategy might need to exhibit greater capital discipline.

Related Reads

Canada MSB, Why is it More Suitable for Teams Focused on Long-Term Payment Solutions?

**Canada MSB: Why Is It More Suitable for Teams Focused on Long-Term Payments?** Many crypto payment projects initially obtain a U.S. MSB registration for its cost-effectiveness and market recognition. However, as they scale operations, they often find it insufficient for sustainable, real-world payment business. This is where the Canadian MSB, regulated by FINTRAC, gains serious consideration. Unlike the U.S. framework, the Canadian MSB is not a "lightweight alternative" but a choice for projects committed to long-term, compliant operations, especially in B2B payments, cross-border settlements, and stablecoin transactions. **Key Distinctions:** The Canadian MSB emphasizes substantive, ongoing regulation. It requires establishing a full-fledged AML/CTF framework *before* launching operations, with continuous obligations for KYC, transaction monitoring, and reporting. This positions the holder as a regulated financial service provider from day one. **Operational Scope:** A properly structured Canadian MSB can support businesses like stablecoin/crypto payments and transfers, fiat-crypto exchange, B2B batch settlements, payment APIs for merchants, and underlying structures for services like crypto cards. **Strategic Advantages:** 1. **Bank & Partner Relations:** Its clear regulatory framework and operational requirements make it easier to explain compliance to banks and institutional partners, which is crucial for securing stable banking relationships. 2. **Centralized Path:** It offers a nationally unified system, avoiding the complexity and cost of navigating multiple U.S. state-level Money Transmitter Licenses (MTLs). 3. **Business Model Clarity:** It fosters long-term stability by requiring clear business structures, transparent fund flows, and real risk management from the outset, reducing future uncertainties. **Ideal Candidates:** The Canadian MSB is particularly suitable for B2B crypto payment platforms, cross-border stablecoin services, enterprise payment solutions, Web3 financial infrastructure projects, and teams building a "compliance benchmark" for sustainable growth. **Choosing Between U.S. and Canadian MSB:** The choice depends on the project's stage and goals. The **U.S. MSB** is better for **speed, initial validation, and early launch**. The **Canadian MSB** is better for **stability, substantive compliance, and long-term operation**, especially when serving B2B/enterprise clients and requiring reliable banking channels. In essence, while the Canadian MSB involves higher initial compliance rigor, it provides a more solid foundation for building a payment business that banks, partners, and regulators can accept over the long term.

marsbit1h ago

Canada MSB, Why is it More Suitable for Teams Focused on Long-Term Payment Solutions?

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

456 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片