币安和FTX48小时大战回顾 接下来需关注这些问题

金色财经Published on 2022-11-10Last updated on 2022-11-10

Abstract

过去的48小时发生了疯狂大动荡。

过去的48小时发生了疯狂大动荡。

如果你想知道现在的加密世界到底发生了什么,那你来对地方了。但如果你一直在密切关注着这场闹剧,这篇内容里的信息你可能已经都知道了。

让我们先来看前奏:

第二大加密货币交易所FTX正在经历一场银行挤兑。随着债务危机的传闻兴起及其头号竞争对手币安发布了一个令人震惊的声明,仅在过去几天里就有约10亿美元从FTX平台流失。究竟发生了什么?

这场闹剧的主要角色有两个人,其他人几乎都是周边小角色。

Sam Bankman-Fried(SBF):FTX首席执行官,一位“真正的利他主义者”,在过去几年的大部分时间里,他都忙着与美国的说客和政客搞关系。

赵长鹏(CZ):币安创始人兼首席执行官,被认为可能是加密货币领域里最富有的人。

在发表了一些关于加密货币监管的不讨好的声明后,SBF几周来一直遭受抨击。他坚持与加密货币倡导者/企业家Erik Voorhees辩论,公众情绪也围绕着这位首席执行官波动。

几乎同时,FTX的兄弟公司Alameda Research的资产负债表也泄露出去了。据称,SBF约有90%的自营交易,两家公司合作非常密切。我们不知道他们的具体安排,但目前看来,似乎有一些资金混合是有意为之,这对FTX来说不是什么好事。资产负债表泄露更是雪上加霜。

最严重的问题是什么?Alameda超过20亿美元的借款人抵押品是以$FTT计价的,这是FTX为交易所筹资而推出的一种加密代币。FTX将该代币的大部头都给了Alameda,贷款人允许Alameda将其用作抵押品。

你可以在下面看到更多关于资产负债表的详细信息:

根据CoinDesk数据,Alameda Research资产为146亿美元,负债为80亿美元。

资产:36.6亿美元FTT、21.6亿美元“FTT抵押品”、33.7亿美元加密货币(2.92亿美元SOL、8.63亿美元“锁定SOL”)、1.34亿美元和20亿美元股权证券。

大多数净股本与完全流动性的山寨币挂钩。

但Alameda和FTX或多或少忽略了一个事实,那就是该代币流动性极低。因此,当Alameda和FTX在过去几天经历流动性紧缩时,贷款人来催收,他们无法出售代币来偿还债务。这在很大程度上取决于代币的价格。

与此同时,有关该交易所无力偿还其客户存款的传言开始四散。

这时,CZ和币安入场了。当FTX还是一颗新星时,实际上,币安就孵化了该交易所;他们是最早的投资者之一。但在资产负债表泄露后,币安公开宣布决定退出其持有的21亿美元FTT。

清算我们的FTT只是退出后的风险管理,向LUNA学习。我们之前提供过支持,但分开后不会继续假装相亲相爱。我们不针对任何人。但我们不会支持那些在背后游说反对其他行业参与者的人。

随着CZ准备在市场上抛售数十亿美元的FTT代币,Alameda和FTX的处境更加糟糕。银行挤兑的传言愈演愈烈,给交易所带来了更多麻烦。现在,他们不得不以即将破产的FTT作为抵押提供贷款,同时向交易所注入稳定币来支付客户。链上有大量证据诠释了这种绝望,Alameda在巨额亏损的情况下退出头寸,似乎是为了填补客户的存款提款。

昨晚,FTX似乎停止了对客户的存款服务。流动性危机演变成了明晃晃的破产:

然后,今天早上,社交媒体上一片混乱,而FTX团队则寂静无声。随后,重磅消息来了:币安和CZ决定收购FTX。

如果FTX的困境愈演愈烈,收购价格可能低至1美元。SBF作为一个豪气的政治捐赠者和世界上最年轻的亿万富翁之一,曾在几周前登上《财富》杂志封面,而几周后的现在,他身家大跌。这绝对是个让人瞠目结舌的消息,FTX曾被视为一个坚不可摧的堡垒、加密世界的新一代精英。值得庆幸的是,存款应该完好无损,这样,消费者就不会受到影响了。

还有很多问题没有答案:

收购会成功吗?

FTT代币会怎么样?

FTX会变成什么样?

政府要如何应对行业整合?

这场大规模的动荡将如何影响加密市场?

这些都是接下来几天需要我们关注,也是值得关注的问题。

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Coin Stock Barometer丨BitMine's Total Assets and Investment Reach $10.7 Billion, Exceeding ~$9.3 Billion Floating Loss; Strategy Buys Only 520 BTC, Strive Adds Positions Against the Trend (June 23)

This article provides a weekly market update on "coin-equity" trends, focusing on listed companies holding major cryptocurrencies. Key highlights include: **General Market Trends:** Global equities, particularly in the US, Japan, and South Korea, faced significant sell-offs, led by large tech and AI-related stocks. Analysts cite profit-taking and a shift from hype-driven to performance-driven valuation for AI companies. Market focus is on upcoming Micron Technology's earnings. **Cryptocurrency Treasury Updates:** * **Bitcoin (BTC):** Net weekly BTC purchases by listed companies (excluding miners) totaled approximately $86 million, down 13.97% from the prior week. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) purchased only 520 BTC for ~$34.9 million, while Strive Asset Management increased its holdings by 759 BTC for ~$50 million. Other notable actions include Mara Holdings adding 1,000 BTC and Capital B shareholders approving a massive financing plan (up to ~$1.2 trillion) to potentially expand its Bitcoin reserves. * **Ethereum (ETH):** BitMine emerged as the largest corporate ETH treasury, holding 5.67 million ETH (4.7% of supply). It purchased an additional 52,203 ETH ($92 million) in the past week. Sharplink completed a $75 million private placement to fund further ETH accumulation and stock buybacks. * **Solana (SOL):** The top five listed companies hold over 15.7 million SOL combined. However, Solmate Infrastructure, a SOL treasury firm, faces a lawsuit from its largest external shareholder alleging board misconduct and self-dealing. * **Other:** Updates include Canton Strategic's $50 million stock buyback plan and Lite Strategy's $1 million strategic investment in LitVM, a Layer-2 network for Litecoin. The article notes that while crypto treasury firms continue fundraising and accumulation, their stocks may struggle to rise against the broader market downturn until Q4.

marsbit8m ago

Coin Stock Barometer丨BitMine's Total Assets and Investment Reach $10.7 Billion, Exceeding ~$9.3 Billion Floating Loss; Strategy Buys Only 520 BTC, Strive Adds Positions Against the Trend (June 23)

marsbit8m ago

OpenAI Partners with PE Firms, Investing $4 Billion. Let's Talk About Silicon Valley's Hottest New Role: FDE.

The hottest new role in Silicon Valley is the Forward Deployment Engineer (FDE), a hybrid of engineer and business consultant whose core mission is to transform AI demos into native, practical workflows within client organizations. The recent surge in demand is driven by a strategic shift from leading AI companies. OpenAI, partnering with 19 private equity firms in a $4 billion investment, formed a Deployment Company and acquired Tomoro along with its 150 FDEs. Anthropic also announced a $1.5 billion joint venture with financial institutions like Blackstone. The article, based on interviews with industry experts Jove (FDE lead at Cresta) and Oliver (VP at Invisible Technologies, ex-McKinsey), explores the FDE role and the rise of deployment-focused companies. Key insights include: **The FDE Role:** Jove describes an FDE as a "Forward Deployed CTO"—a technically strong engineer who works intimately with clients to implement AI solutions, learn from the process, and feed those insights back to improve the core product. They require expertise in AI agents, client-facing experience, resilience, and the ability to handle complex, imperfect systems. While AI tools enhance their efficiency, the role's complexity makes full automation a distant prospect. **Industry Shift:** Model companies are moving beyond selling tools to ensuring real-world adoption. This blurs the line between model and application companies. Collaborations with private equity (PE) firms are key, providing access to large portfolios of traditional businesses needing AI transformation. For PE firms, these partnerships offer signal value to LPs, create tangible value in portfolio companies, and provide exposure to high-growth AI assets. **Consulting & Transformation:** AI deployment involves deep, customized workflow redesign, moving beyond simple tool augmentation. Companies like Invisible Technologies build modular platforms to create bespoke, AI-native workflows for clients. While traditional consulting will see growth in helping businesses rethink their models for AI, the real value is captured by firms that leave behind transformed, operational systems. Critical success factors include building robust data foundations and strategically deciding which workflow steps should be deterministic versus AI-driven. The ultimate goal shifts from pure cost-cutting to unlocking new revenue opportunities previously impossible without AI-scale capabilities.

marsbit21m ago

OpenAI Partners with PE Firms, Investing $4 Billion. Let's Talk About Silicon Valley's Hottest New Role: FDE.

marsbit21m ago

Why Is DeFi Insurance Unpopular?

The article explores the core reasons why DeFi insurance remains largely unutilized despite its potential to eliminate traditional insurance inefficiencies and malicious claim denials through automated smart contracts. Key points include: 1. **Low Adoption & Minimal Payouts:** Leading provider Nexus Mutual has paid only ~$18M in claims since 2019, dwarfed by single hack losses (e.g., Kelp DAO's $292M loss). 2. **High Correlation Risk:** Unlike traditional insurance (e.g., house fires), DeFi risks (oracle failures, bridge hacks) are systemic and can simultaneously impact multiple protocols, threatening to drain entire insurance pools. 3. **Prohibitive Cost vs. Reward:** For many protocols (Aave, Morpho, Compound), insurance premiums (1.5%-6%) consume a significant portion or even all of the native yield (3%-4%), leaving investors with meager returns. In some cases (Maple Finance, Ethena), premiums can even result in net-negative yields. 4. **Inadequate Capacity:** The total DeFi insurance pool (e.g., Nexus Mutual's $81.56M) is minuscule compared to the hundreds of billions in total value locked (TVL), creating a massive supply-demand gap. 5. **Structural Flaws:** The claims assessment model (e.g., Nexus Mutual's member voting) creates a conflict of interest, as voters bear the loss if a claim is paid. There is also no regulatory mandate forcing DeFi protocols to obtain insurance. The industry is adapting by focusing on preventative measures (e.g., bug bounty coverage) and seeking external capital via reinsurance. However, the fundamental issues of small pool size, correlated risk, and misaligned economic incentives persist. The article concludes that DeFi insurance, like a public lighthouse, provides shared security benefits, but if everyone relies on others to pay for it, no one will, leaving the ecosystem vulnerable.

Foresight News35m ago

Why Is DeFi Insurance Unpopular?

Foresight News35m ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of SOL (SOL) are presented below.

活动图片