[Анализ рынка от Huobi] BTC обвалился, ликвидация лонгов по ETH растёт, LINK стабилен

HTX NewsPublished on 2022-11-08Last updated on 2022-11-08

Abstract

Биткоин обвалился на панических настроениях. Ликвидация длинных позиций по Эфиру растёт. LINK демонстрирует неплохую стабильную динамику и крепкий фундамент.

1. BTC обвалился

⠀

Панические настроения на криптовалютном рынке спровоцировали распродажи большинства активов. Таким образом, движение рынка криптовалют перестало коррелировать с американскими фондовыми индексами, которые, напротив, продемонстрировали рост. Цена биткоина опустилась ниже торгового уровня 20 000 долл. США, вернувшись в зону консолидации 18 500 — 20 400 долл. США, и совершив небольшой технический отскок от её середины. На данный момент ситуация остаётся довольно неопределенной.

⠀

⠀

2. Соотношение длинных и коротких позиций BTC падает

⠀

Соотношение длинных и коротких позиций BTC значительно снизилось до 0,882 8 ноября, что является локальным минимумом и самым низким значением после 3 ноября 2021 года. Коэффициент быстро меняется, что связано с обвалом цены BTC, что указывает на то, что краткосрочная тенденция дальнейшего снижения цены значительна.

На цену первой криптовалюты также негативное действие оказали новости о рекордных выводы BTC c торговой платформы FTX, а о распродаже активов в портфеле Alameda.

⠀

⠀

3. Рост ликвидаций длинных позиций по Ethereum

⠀

Объём ликвидаций длинных позиций по Ethereum достигло краткосрочного пика в 35 400 ETH 8 ноября. При этом, снижение Эфира в паре к биткоину составило 0,6% за последние 24 часа. Цена опустилась ниже уровня поддержки – 1515 долл. США, который теперь будет выступать уровнем сопротивления. При дальнейшей коррекции цены существует риск падения до следующего уровня поддержки – 1200 долл. США.

⠀

⠀

4. LINK крепко стоит на ногах

⠀

Последнее время ценовые показатели LINK, нативного токена блокчейна Chainlink, были относительно сильными. Дневной график показывает, что цена LINK достигла пикового уровня с мая. Хотя цена не прорвалась вверх, ее динамика была значительно сильнее, чем у большинства основных активов. Исходя из этого, можно сделать вывод, что на фундаментальном уровне у LINK есть потенциал хорошего роста при более благоприятной конъюнктуре на рынке.

⠀

⠀

5. Коэффициент биржевого предложения LINK растёт

⠀

Коэффициент биржевого предложения валюты (Exchange Supply Ratio) рассчитывается как отношение количества валюты на биржах к общему количеству токенов в обращении. По этому показателю LINK неуклонно рос. С марта 2021 года данный коэффициент вырос с 0,07 до 0,1. В этом смысле оборот LINK находится на хорошем уровне, особенно в последние шесть месяцев, что говорит о том, что скорость оборота LINK увеличилась.

⠀

⠀

Trending Cryptos

ctr
CitreaCTR
wstusdt
wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT
apr
aPrioriAPR
ctx
Cryptex FinanceCTX
audio
AudiusAUDIO
comp
CompoundCOMP
mantra
MantraMANTRA
xvs
VenusXVS
waxl
AxelarWAXL
bill
Billions NetworkBILL
pyth
PYTH (Pyth)PYTH
rune
THORChainRUNE
velodrome
Velodrome FinanceVELODROME
brev
BrevisBREV
zrx
ZRX（0X）ZRX

Related Reads

Tidal Investment: We Remain Bullish on the AI Industry Chain, But the Reasons Have Changed

Tidal Investment remains optimistic about the AI industry chain, but the rationale has shifted. The market narrative has changed. While recent large-scale IPOs (e.g., SpaceX) and major fundraising plans by tech giants like Alphabet and Meta have caused some nervousness, this isn't a sign of an AI peak. The focus has moved from the initial question of AI's viability to the sustainability of massive investment cycles. The key players—primarily the major cloud providers—are not slowing down; their capital expenditure (Capex) guidance for 2026 has been increased across the board (e.g., Alphabet to $180B, Amazon to $200B). This investment cycle is proving resilient and difficult to stop. Unlike traditional hardware cycles, current AI Capex is distributed across multiple physical layers—computing, memory, networking, and critically, power infrastructure. Bottlenecks are shifting from chips to elements like electricity, transformers, and cooling systems, which have much longer lead times and cannot be easily pre-built like fiber optics during the dot-com bubble. Supply chain data (e.g., Eaton's 240% YoY data center orders) confirms this broad-based, project-driven expansion. Market concerns are acknowledged but viewed differently. First, while Capex growth currently outpaces revenue growth, raising ROI questions, this mirrors the early scaling phase of cloud computing itself. A change in view would require concrete signals like downward Capex revisions or missed AI product targets, which haven't materialized by mid-2026. Second, comparisons to the 2000 dot-com bust are flawed. That crash was driven by a massive, parallel oversupply of cheap capacity (fiber). The current cycle faces *supply constraints* in critical, capital-intensive physical infrastructure that cannot be overbuilt as easily. In conclusion, the wave of fundraising reflects the next, more complex act of the AI story. Physical bottlenecks and sustained high Capex plans suggest this is not the finale but an ongoing, capital-intensive build-out phase. The script has changed, but the play is far from over.

marsbit1h ago

Tidal Investment: We Remain Bullish on the AI Industry Chain, But the Reasons Have Changed

marsbit1h ago

Tidal Investment: We Remain Bullish on the AI Industry Chain, But for Different Reasons Now

Tidal Investments remains optimistic about the AI industry chain, but the rationale has shifted. The market is concerned about massive concurrent fundraising by tech giants like SpaceX, OpenAI, Alphabet, and Meta, fearing an AI peak. However, the authors argue this signals the next act of AI development, not its end. Capital expenditure (Capex) from major cloud providers (Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Oracle) continues to surge aggressively into 2026. This investment cycle is more resilient than past hardware cycles due to its scale and complexity. Bottlenecks have shifted from chips to critical physical infrastructure like power grids, transformers, cooling, and data center construction—areas with long lead times and limited capacity for rapid expansion. Supply chain data (e.g., Eaton's orders) confirms substantial, tangible progress. Key market concerns are addressed: 1. **ROI vs. Capex Growth**: While Capex growth outpaces revenue, the authors note cloud giants have historically overcome similar phases through scale. The cycle will only be in danger if Capex guidance is cut, orders are canceled, or AI product demand falters—none of which are currently observed. 2. **Comparison to the 2000 Dot-com Bubble**: Unlike the telecom bubble, where cheap, oversupplied fiber crashed prices, AI infrastructure (especially power) is constrained, customized, and subject to lengthy approvals, making a similar supply glut and crash unlikely. In conclusion, the wave of fundraising reflects the immense, ongoing capital needs for AI's next phase, constrained by slow-moving physical bottlenecks. The AI cycle is not over; the script has simply changed.

链捕手1h ago

Tidal Investment: We Remain Bullish on the AI Industry Chain, But for Different Reasons Now

链捕手1h ago

Grayscale: These 15 Profitable Crypto Protocols Are Severely Undervalued

Grayscale Research identifies 15 top-revenue crypto protocols trading at significant valuation discounts, with many at single-digit or even 1x revenue multiples. Protocols like Pump.fun, PancakeSwap, and Meteora have market capitalizations roughly equal to their annual revenue. The report argues these financially-focused protocols (DEXs, lending, staking) are fundamentally undervalued and could benefit from the potential passage of the CLARITY Act, expected as soon as next month. This legislation aims to clarify digital asset regulation, potentially reducing institutional barriers and driving on-chain activity. The analysis breaks down the protocols into three groups: the "1x Club" (market cap ≈ revenue), mid-tier protocols with 3-9x multiples (e.g., Aave, Lido, Jupiter), and high-multiple protocols like Hyperliquid (15x) and Uniswap (37x), where valuation reflects future potential rather than current cash flows. Grayscale applies a traditional DCF model to Aave, suggesting a one-year price target of ~$175, representing ~130% upside from current levels. The report notes a risk-off macro environment since the Iran conflict has further compressed valuations, creating a potential entry window. The conclusion highlights that while the valuation data presents an intriguing opportunity, the investment thesis is contingent on the CLARITY Act's passage and subsequent institutional capital flows. Investors are cautioned to consider Grayscale's inherent conflict of interest as a crypto asset manager with products tied to these assets.

marsbit1h ago

Grayscale: These 15 Profitable Crypto Protocols Are Severely Undervalued

marsbit1h ago

Ripple Launches RLUSD in Japan as Regulated Stablecoin Expansion Gains Momentum

Ripple has officially launched its regulated U.S. dollar stablecoin, RLUSD, in Japan through the SBI VC Trade platform (VCTRADE). This follows approval from Japan's Financial Services Agency under the country's Type 4 Electronic Payment Instrument framework. The launch marks a significant expansion for RLUSD into a major, technologically advanced market and deepens Ripple's long-standing partnership with the SBI Group, which began in 2016. In Japan, RLUSD will be used for cross-border payments, tokenization, and collateral management. The stablecoin is backed by U.S. dollar deposits, Treasury holdings, and cash equivalents, with regular third-party attestations. SBI VC Trade will offer free deposits and withdrawals for the asset. Since its late-2024 debut, RLUSD's market capitalization has grown to approximately $1.7 billion, making it the second USD stablecoin on the VCTRADE platform after USD Coin. Ripple highlights Japan's clear regulatory environment as key to this strategic growth.

TheNewsCrypto1h ago

Ripple Launches RLUSD in Japan as Regulated Stablecoin Expansion Gains Momentum

TheNewsCrypto1h ago

Sam Altman's Personal Alchemy of Wealth: Investing in 400 Companies, Over 10 Deeply Tied to OpenAI

The article investigates Sam Altman's personal wealth strategy, centered around his investments in approximately 400 companies while serving as OpenAI's CEO. Despite not holding direct equity in OpenAI, Altman has built a vast portfolio, with at least 10 of his investments having commercial ties or ongoing negotiations with OpenAI. This creates a complex network of potential conflicts of interest, drawing scrutiny from U.S. congressional committees and state attorneys general. Key investments highlighted include the anti-aging startup Retro Biosciences (valued at $258 million for his stake as of late last year) and the chipmaker Cerebras, whose value soared following an OpenAI procurement deal. His most significant financial gain is linked to the nuclear fusion company Helion, where a recent funding round reportedly increased his stake's value to at least $4.1 billion. The article details a decade-long relationship between Altman, Helion, and OpenAI, including a controversial non-binding power purchase agreement and Altman's efforts to secure investments from OpenAI and its backer SoftBank for Helion. Other points include internal investigations at Tools for Humanity (developer of Worldcoin) and OpenAI's massive contracts with tech giants like Nvidia. According to Forbes, Altman's net worth is around $3.4 billion, ranking him 1251st globally—a rise of over 1400 places since 2024. OpenAI's board states that Altman's external dealings are transparent and potential conflicts are carefully managed.

Odaily星球日报2h ago

Sam Altman's Personal Alchemy of Wealth: Investing in 400 Companies, Over 10 Deeply Tied to OpenAI

Odaily星球日报2h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

450 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions