如果《清晰法案》(“牛市法案”)近期无法通过,比特币将何去何从?知名首席信息官评估...

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-07Last updated on 2026-08-07

Abstract

比特币资产管理公司Bitwise的首席投资官马特·霍根表示,如果旨在为美国加密货币市场建立监管框架的《清晰法案》本周未获通过,可能导致加密货币市场出现短期下跌。霍根在备忘录中指出,法案若不通过,最乐观的情况是市场能迅速消化这一预期。他提到,预测市场对此法案通过概率的预期已大幅下降,这有助于减少市场面临的不确定性。 霍根认为,法案本周通过的可能性较低,更可能的情况是参议院将听证会推迟到九月。他强调,关键点在于投资者需要接受该法案短期内不会通过的现实。霍根表示,若市场能快速将这一因素计入价格,将有助于市场触底并消除不确定性,从而为秋季可能出现的上涨趋势奠定更好基础。 *本文不构成投资建议。

管理加密资产的Bitwise公司首席投资官马特·霍根表示,如果旨在为美国加密货币市场建立监管框架的《清晰法案》本周未能通过,可能会导致加密货币市场短期下跌。

在Bitwise公司首席投资官备忘录中就此问题发表的声明中,霍根指出,如果该法案未能通过,对市场来说最积极的情况将是投资者迅速将这种可能性计入其考量之中。

霍根表示,对《清晰法案》通过概率的预期大幅降低,特别是在Polymarket平台上,可能有助于减少市场面临的监管不确定性。

霍根发表了以下言论:

“如果《清晰法案》本周未能通过,最理想的情况是,预测市场上其通过概率至少跌至10%,这将让我们摆脱这种不确定性。在这种情况下,市场可能会短暂震荡,但这将使我们为秋季的上升趋势处于更有利的位置。”

据Bitwise代表称,虽然市场的最佳情况是该法案在本周获得通过,但这似乎不太可能。霍根表示,更可能的情况是将参议院听证会推迟到九月进行,而当前的事态发展正指向这一点。

霍根表示,关键在于投资者要接受《清晰法案》在短期内不会获得通过这一事实。

“我曾希望市场能迅速将其计入价格,并认识到《清晰法案》目前不会发生。这将有助于市场触底并消除不确定性。”

*本文不构成投资建议。

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Related Questions

Q谁是Bitwise公司的首席投资官,他对加密货币监管法案有何看法?

ABitwise公司的首席投资官是马特·霍根。他认为,如果美国旨在为加密货币市场建立监管框架的《清晰法案》本周未能通过,可能会导致加密货币市场出现短期下滑。

Q如果《清晰法案》未能在本周通过,根据马特·霍根的观点,市场可能出现的最积极情况是什么?

A最积极的情况是,投资者能迅速将这一可能性计入价格预期中。特别是如果预测市场Polymarket上对法案通过的概率预期大幅下降,这将有助于消除市场上的监管不确定性。

Q马特·霍根预测《清晰法案》在国会通过的可能性如何?

A马特·霍根认为,虽然市场的最佳情况是法案在本周通过,但这看起来不太可能。他认为更可能的情况是参议院的听证会推迟到九月进行,而目前的事态发展也指向这一方向。

Q马特·霍根认为,对于市场复苏的关键是什么?

A他认为关键在于投资者要接受《清晰法案》在短期内不会获得通过的现实。一旦市场将这一情况充分计入价格,有助于市场触底并消除不确定性,为未来的上涨趋势奠定基础。

Q文章中提到的“Polymarket”是什么?它在评估《清晰法案》时扮演什么角色?

APolymarket是一个预测市场平台。在文中,它被用作一个衡量市场对《清晰法案》通过可能性的预期指标。如果该平台上对法案通过的概率预期大幅下降,可以被视为市场在消化这一负面消息,从而有助于减少不确定性。

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