Opsi Bitcoin dan Ethereum Senilai $1.43B Kadaluwarsa: Akankah Trader Bersiap untuk Langkah Selanjutnya?

TheNewsCryptoPublished on 2026-07-17Last updated on 2026-07-17

Abstract

Kedaluwarsa opsi Bitcoin (BTC) dan Ethereum (ETH) pada 17 Juli mencakup kontrak senilai $1,2 miliar untuk BTC dan $230 juta untuk ETH. BTC tetap dalam kisaran $60.000-$65.000, dengan titik "maximum pain" di $63.000. Untuk ETH, rasio put-call mencapai 1,61, menunjukkan lindung nilai bearish yang tidak biasa dan sentimen pasar yang terbelah. Paparan gamma BTC terkonsentrasi di sekitar $64K dan $70K, sedangkan ETH lebih tersebar antara $1.825 dan $2.000. Posisi trader saat ini masih berhati-hati dengan taruhan kecil dan belum ada keyakinan kuat ke arah mana pun. Secara teknis, BTC diperdagangkan di sekitar $62.777 dengan dukungan dekat di $62.631 dan resistensi di $62.859. ETH turun di sekitar $1.825, berisiko turun menuju $1.782 jika tekanan jual berlanjut, atau berpotensi naik ke $1.867 jika momentum berbalik positif. Sentimen pasar secara keseluruhan tetap tertekan.

Kadaluwarsa opsi 17 Juli membawa 19.000 kontrak BTC yang kadaluarsa dengan nilai nominal $1,2 miliar, rasio put-call 0,9, dan titik penderitaan maksimal berada di $63.000. Di sisi ETH, 123.000 kontrak kadaluarsa dengan nilai nominal $230 juta, dengan rasio put-call 1,61 dan titik penderitaan maksimal $1.800.

Bitcoin telah terikat dalam kisaran antara $60.000 dan $65.000 selama lebih dari sebulan. Volatilitas saham AS, terutama di SpaceX dan sektor penyimpanan, tidak membuat dampak. Selain itu, hanya 5% dari total opsi yang kadaluarsa minggu ini, dan minat terbuka sedikit menurun.

Eksposur gamma BTC terkonsentrasi di sekitar $64K dan $70K, menunjukkan bahwa tingkat tersebut adalah yang paling diperhatikan oleh market maker. GEX ETH lebih tersebar antara $1.825 dan $2.000. Trader sedang mencari peluang beli di dasar dengan opsi out-of-the-money dangkal, taruhan kecil, posisi hati-hati, dan belum ada keyakinan nyata di kedua arah.

Rasio put-call ETH mencapai 1,61 tidaklah biasa. Posisi put telah melebihi 1 selama satu bulan penuh berturut-turut dan terus naik. Tingkat lindung nilai bearish tersebut mencerminkan perbedaan pasar, dengan kekuatan bullish dan bearish saling memperebutkan, dan belum ada pihak yang memiliki kendali definitif. Selain itu, ekuitas AS dan Korea Selatan sedang mengalami koreksi. Sentimen pasar yang lebih luas tertekan.

Menganalisis Trajektori Jangka Pendek: Ke Mana Arah BTC dan ETH Selanjutnya?

Aset dominan, Bitcoin, diperdagangkan di $62.777 setelah tergelincir 3,23% selama 24 jam terakhir. Dengan pola perdagangan saat ini, dukungan langsung mungkin ditemukan di $62.631. Kehilangan berkelanjutan akan memperdalam koreksi bearish, dan harga mungkin mundur di bawah $62,5K.

Jika BTC pulih dari penurunan, resistensi kunci bisa berada di sekitar $62.859. Dengan asumsi bull menguat, harga akan didorong melewati tanda $62,9K.

Melihat altcoin terbesar, Ethereum, telah kehilangan lebih dari 5,05%, melayang di sekitar $1.825. Karena bear mendominasi grafik, harga mungkin terjun ke kisaran dukungan di $1.782. Jika terjadi koreksi lebih lanjut di sisi negatif, harga aset akan jatuh di bawah $1,7K.

Di sisi lain, jika momentum ETH berubah positif, harga bisa naik melalui zona $1.867. Dengan bull mendapatkan lebih banyak daya tarik, tingkat resistensi berikutnya berada di atas $1,9K.

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Related Questions

QBerapa nilai nominal total opsi Bitcoin dan Ethereum yang kadaluarsa pada 17 Juli?

AOpsi Bitcoin yang kadaluarsa memiliki nilai nominal $1.2 miliar, sedangkan opsi Ethereum bernilai $230 juta. Total gabungannya adalah $1.43 miliar.

QApa yang dimaksud dengan 'maximum pain point' untuk BTC dan ETH dalam ekspiri opsi ini?

AMaximum pain point untuk BTC adalah $63,000, dan untuk ETH adalah $1,800. Ini adalah tingkat harga di mana jumlah maksimum pembeli opsi (baik call maupun put) akan mengalami kerugian pada saat ekspiri.

QBagaimana kondisi pasar berdasarkan rasio put-call dan posisi gamma exposure (GEX)?

ARasio put-call BTC sebesar 0.9 menunjukkan keseimbangan, sedangkan rasio ETH yang tinggi (1.61) mengindikasikan lindung nilai bearish yang kuat. GEX BTC terkonsentrasi di $64K dan $70K, sementara GEX ETH tersebar antara $1,825 dan $2,000, menunjukkan area perhatian pembuat pasar.

QApa level support dan resistance jangka pendek untuk Bitcoin menurut analisis dalam artikel?

ASupport langsung BTC berada di sekitar $62,631. Jika bearish berlanjut, harga bisa jatuh di bawah $62.5K. Resistance kuncinya berada di sekitar $62,859, dan jika bullish kuat, harga bisa menembus $62.9K.

QApa prospek harga jangka pendek untuk Ethereum berdasarkan analisis artikel?

ADengan bearish dominan, ETH berpotensi turun ke area support $1,782 dan bahkan di bawah $1.7K. Jika momentum berbalik positif, harga bisa naik menembus zona $1,867 dan menuju resistance di atas $1.9K.

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877 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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