DeXe下跌13%——但这次回调或许只是暂时的

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-14Last updated on 2026-07-14

Abstract

DeXe代币在近期经历显著上涨,过去180天内涨幅超过1000%,仅过去一周就上涨45%。然而,在过去24小时内,价格出现约13%的回调,主要原因是买家获利了结。 技术分析显示,价格图表上出现了墓碑十字线和蜻蜓十字线,表明买卖双方存在对峙。目前价格处于短期看跌状态,关键支撑位位于需求区1和需求区2。需求区1能否守住尤为重要,若成功支撑,价格可能恢复上涨势头。 动量指标并未完全确认看跌趋势。累积/分配指标在价格下跌时仍小幅上升,显示有逢低买盘介入。相对强弱指数位于52,处于50-70的看涨区间内,表明市场情绪中性偏多,而非彻底转向看跌。 现货市场数据也显示卖压正在缓解。7月12日净流出高达538万美元,但目前已急剧收缩至39.1万美元,表明卖方力量已大幅减弱,买方可能正在回归。 综上所述,DeXe近期的下跌更像是强劲上涨后的技术性回调与获利盘消化,而非趋势逆转。多个指标暗示卖压减弱,买盘有望在关键支撑位附近重新占据主动,中长期上行趋势可能尚未结束。

数周以来,DeXe [DEXE] 持续创下新高,仅过去七天就上涨了45%,过去180天内涨幅更是超过1,000%,正如图表所示。

在过去24小时内,随着买家获利了结并选择观望,资金开始流出,这一转变导致该资产在此期间下跌了约13%。

然而,图表结构显示这可能是一次暂时的回调,价格在长期内仍有望延续上涨趋势。

DeXe的十字星蜡烛图暴露对峙局面

DeXe在今天早些时候形成了两根关键的十字星蜡烛图。

第一根是墓碑十字星,反映出当价格试图延续涨势时遭遇了强烈的卖压;而几根蜡烛图之后形成的蜻蜓十字星则表明多头正在重新介入。

目前价格明确处于看跌状态,短期走势将取决于图表上标注的关键需求区。

来源:TradingView

需求区1提供了第一道支撑线,如果在此处获得有效反弹,价格可能会向上突破左侧曲线所标示的上方流动性区域。

如果卖压持续增加,该支撑位失守,那么需求区2将随时准备托底,并吸收当日大部分时间压制该资产的抛压。

需求区1得以守住仍然是可能性更大的情景,成交量数据也支持这一判断——该时段内成交量下降了36%。

成交量下降伴随价格下跌,通常表明推动走势的动能较弱,这为买家重新掌控局面提供了空间。

指标指向放缓而非反转

动量指标并未与看跌的价格走势完全同步,累积/派发(A/D)指标捕捉到了这种矛盾。

A/D线根据价格在区间内的收盘位置对每期成交量进行加权,可作为资产正在被累积还是派发的参考。

在本报告发布时,尽管价格下跌,该指标却呈小幅上升趋势,这种背离表明该时期内买家活动有所增加。

来源:TradingView

同样,相对强弱指数(RSI)维持在50至70的看涨区间内,读数为52。

RSI衡量近期价格变动的速度和幅度,读数处于中线附近,表明市场情绪中性、放松,而非决定性的看跌转变。

这种平衡表明,价格很可能在该水平附近企稳,而这正与需求区位置重合。

现货市场抛压缓解

现货市场数据显示抛压目前有所缓解。7月12日现货净流入达到峰值,净销售额为538万美元,卖家占据主导。

尽管卖家仍占上风,但净流入已骤降至仅39.1万美元,较之前的读数下降了超过十倍。

来源:CoinGlass

这一点很重要,因为它表明,在净流入基础上,卖家力量已急剧减弱,而买家正在介入。


最终总结

  • DeXe在过去六个月中飙升了超过1,000%,当前的13%回调更像是强劲上涨后的获利了结,而非趋势的转变。
  • 过去一天,抛售已急剧降温,净销售额较7月12日峰值下降了超过十倍,这表明买家可能正在重新进场。

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Related Questions

QDeXe代币在过去半年内的涨幅是多少?

A根据文章,DeXe代币在过去180天内(即半年内)涨幅超过1000%。

Q文章认为DeXe价格近期下跌的主要原因是什么?

A文章认为,DeXe价格近期的下跌主要是在经历强劲上涨后,买家获利了结所导致的回调,而非趋势的根本性转变。

Q技术图表上出现的“墓碑十字星”和“蜻蜓十字星”蜡烛线分别暗示了什么市场情绪?

A墓碑十字星暗示价格试图延续上涨时遭遇了强烈的卖压;而随后出现的蜻蜓十字星则表明多头可能重新介入。

Q文章中提到哪些技术指标支持“下跌是暂时的”这一观点?请至少列出两个。

A1. 累积/派发线(A/D线)在价格下跌时小幅上升,表明买家活动有所增加。 2. 相对强弱指数(RSI)读数为52,位于50-70的看涨区间中线,表明市场情绪中性而非决定性看跌。

Q从现货市场净流量数据看,卖压发生了怎样的变化?

A根据现货市场净流量数据,卖压已显著缓解。7月12日净销售额达到538万美元的峰值后,已大幅下降至仅39.1万美元,降幅超过十倍。

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