Bitcoin risks new lows as US dollar targets highest level since April 2025

CointelegraphPublished on 2026-04-02Last updated on 2026-08-17

Abstract

BTC saw another $69,000 rejection on Thursday as risk-assets suffered over US-Iran war headlines.

Bitcoin (BTC) saw another $69,000 rejection on Thursday as risk-assets suffered over US-Iran war headlines.

Key points:

Bitcoin faces fresh downside pressure as stocks and gold fall on US President Donald Trump’s address to the nation.

US dollar strength ramps up on the back of an anticipated breakout to yearly highs.

Bitcoin would face “new lows” from a dollar comeback, a trader warns.

Bitcoin, stocks and gold all fall on Trump address

Data from TradingView showed 2% daily BTC price losses with lows near $66,200.

Crypto had joined stocks and gold in falling on the back of an address to the nation by US President Donald Trump. While markets anticipated deescalation, Trump’s tone left the door open for further escalation of the conflict.

“Between threatening Iran's power plants, saying the Iran War would last 2-3 more weeks, and calling out NATO, there was nothing new,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter wrote in a reaction on X.

“Yet, the market is now trading like the Iran War is ramping up for another month-long escalation. Why? Because he didn't explicitly de-escalate.”

Kobeissi called the address “incredibly puzzling,” suggesting that it would fuel and not calm market nerves.

“The market, which was finally beginning to show some signs of calming, is now highly agitated, with US oil prices back to $104/barrel, stocks down sharply, and the bond market melting down again,” it added.

“Ironically, President Trump is now back to solving the problem he fixed earlier this week: How will he contain the market?”

With oil firmly above the $100 per barrel mark, US dollar strength also rebounded to the key 100 level on the day.

Traditionally inversely correlated with Bitcoin, the US dollar index (DXY) was already tipped for a more significant rebound after hitting multi-year lows in January.

“DXY stage is set. We are waiting for that breakout confirmation,” trader and analyst Aksel Kibar told X followers last week, offering a target of 104 — its highest level since April 2025.

Crypto trader BitBull forecast an expansion phase for DXY next, with new lows for risk assets as a result.

Analyst eyes copycat BTC price bear flag

Some market participants continued to focus on Bitcoin’s latest bear flag construction — one that also carried the risk of a breakdown.

As Cointelegraph reported, BTC price action closely echoed a bear-flag support collapse seen at the start of 2026.

Commenting, Keith Alan, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, said that BTC/USD still lacks “directional momentum.”

“Structurally, $BTC price action is still nearly identical to the prior bear flag structure,” he wrote on X.

“Nothing says that it has to continue to mimic that price behavior, but I'm following it like roadmap until price deviates from that path.”

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin's Major Drop in October Now Predicts What Could Happen Next

Sean Farrell, head of digital asset strategy at Fundstrat, analyzes the current uncertain and volatile crypto market. He notes that while traditional tech stocks hit record highs, lagging crypto assets have created market apathy, which could be an early sign of a bottom forming. Farrell's base case suggests Bitcoin and the broader crypto market may experience one final sharp decline before initiating a sustained upward trend. It remains unclear if this drop will form a new deep low or test recent lows. He points out that global liquidity conditions and rising US 10-year Treasury yields continue to pressure liquidity-sensitive assets like cryptocurrencies in the short term. Farrell states that the tech sector's growth is driven by significant corporate profit increases, whereas the crypto market hasn't yet received the necessary monetary and fiscal liquidity. Although high US Treasury issuance and rising long-term bond yields are pressuring the market, he predicts a potential shift within the next 3-6 months. After risk appetite diminishes due to high interest rates, liquidity-boosting measures from regulators or central banks could trigger a new bull market. Additionally, Farrell believes that if a new governance proposal aimed at reducing inflation on the Solana network is adopted, it would lessen sell-side pressure and could act as a significant catalyst for the token's price.

cryptonews.ru10m ago

Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin's Major Drop in October Now Predicts What Could Happen Next

cryptonews.ru10m ago

Bitcoin Breaches $64,000 Mark Again as Short Sellers Lose $57.4 Million in Liquidations

Bitcoin surged back above $64,000 on Monday, reversing a dip below $63,000 that had threatened to revisit mid-August lows. The rally coincided with an announcement from MicroStrategy stating it had neither bought nor sold any Bitcoin over the past week. After falling to a daily low near $62,653, Bitcoin sharply reversed course, climbing approximately $1,000 in six hours to reach a daily high above $64,375. By early afternoon EST, it was trading above $64,200, marking a nearly 2% daily gain and turning its weekly performance positive. The price movement triggered significant liquidations in the derivatives market, with leveraged short positions losing $57.4 million over 24 hours, contributing to total crypto market liquidations nearing $220 million. While MicroStrategy paused its Bitcoin purchases, it increased its cash reserves to $4.8 billion using part of the proceeds from a recent common stock sale. The funds were also used for share buybacks and preferred dividend payments. Analysts suggest this focus on balance sheet strength helps mitigate near-term liquidation pressure, especially as Bitcoin's price remains about 15% below MicroStrategy's average acquisition cost of $75,385. However, critics argue the capital allocation disproportionately benefits preferred shareholders (STRC) over common stockholders (MSTR) and sidelines the company's core growth strategy of aggressive Bitcoin accumulation. Bitcoin initially appeared to react positively to reports of a potential 60-day ceasefire extension between the U.S. and Iran, but the rally's momentum faded after Iranian officials denied the reports. Consequently, Bitcoin currently lacks a clear macroeconomic catalyst to sustain a decisive bullish breakout.

cryptonews.ru50m ago

Bitcoin Breaches $64,000 Mark Again as Short Sellers Lose $57.4 Million in Liquidations

cryptonews.ru50m ago

Experienced Analyst Predicts Future of Bitcoin and Altcoin Prices: "Hold on for Another Two Months"

Cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen provided a market outlook in a recent video, focusing on Bitcoin's current price stagnation. Bitcoin is trading in a low-volume sideways range around $62,000-$63,000. Cowen notes a significant drop in market interest, citing declines in social activity and crypto content views. He points out that Bitcoin's price is stuck between the 200-week moving average and a bear market resistance band, making a downward breakout similar to past cycles highly probable. The analyst highlights a divergence from traditional stock markets, as Bitcoin remains stagnant while U.S. equity indices hit new records—a pattern he says has historical precedents, like during the 2014 and 2018 U.S. midterm elections. Cowen asserts Bitcoin follows its own four-year cycle independently of stocks. Market volatility has fallen to historically low levels, with 60-day volatility at 1.47%. Cowen expects a significant volatility spike in the coming weeks, as sharp market moves typically follow such consolidation periods. He suggests a final downward wave could reset on-chain metrics, potentially marking the cycle bottom. Cowen optimistically views the current phase as month 10 of an expected 12-month bear market. He anticipates a new bull market may begin after the cycle bottom approaches. He concludes by advising the crypto industry to focus on fundamental development, moving beyond hype-driven memecoins and security vulnerabilities, rather than just capital attraction. *This is not investment advice.

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Experienced Analyst Predicts Future of Bitcoin and Altcoin Prices: "Hold on for Another Two Months"

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

1.9k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片