La hausse de la dominance des altcoins suggère que les altcoins vont à nouveau surperformer Bitcoin

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-02-19Last updated on 2026-02-19

Abstract

L'analyse technique indique un changement de momentum en faveur des altcoins, suggérant qu'ils pourraient bientôt surperformer Bitcoin après des mois de force relative de ce dernier. L'indice OTHERS D, qui suit la capitalisation boursière des cryptomonnaies hors top 10, est passé de moins de 5% début 2026 à environ 7,6%, approchant une résistance descendante clé. Cette hausse de la dominance des altcoins s'accompagne d'une rupture de la ligne de tendance baissière sur le RSI. La zone de résistance horizontale entre 7,5% et 8% a historiquement précédé des périodes prolongées de outperformance des altcoins. Bien que la dominance de Bitcoin reste à 58,1%, une confirmation de la rupture de cette résistance signalerait potentiellement le début d'une saison des altcoins où Ethereum, Solana et XRP afficheraient des gains plus importants que Bitcoin.

Le graphique OTHERS D, qui suit la capitalisation boursière du marché des crypto-monnaies à l'exclusion des 10 principales cryptos, montre des signes d'une rotation loin du Bitcoin et des autres cryptos à grande capitalisation. Après des mois de force relative du Bitcoin, une nouvelle analyse technique implique que l'équilibre pourrait bientôt basculer en faveur du marché des altcoins.

Une cassure bimensuelle signale un changement d'élan

L'analyse technique de la capitalisation boursière du marché des crypto-monnaies montre un changement en développement dans les flux de capitaux, en particulier vers les altcoins en dehors du top 10 par valeur marchande totale. Les grands noms comme Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP et Solana ont traversé une période de faiblesse des prix, conduisant à ce que les cryptos à plus petite capitalisation gagnent discrètement du terrain de manière relative. Cette rotation subtile ne s'est pas encore nécessairement traduite par des hausses de prix explosives, mais elle est clairement apparue dans les métriques de dominance.

Ce changement silencieux de la dominance se reflète dans l'indice OTHERS D. Au début de l'année 2026, la dominance se situait en dessous de la barre des 5 %. Depuis lors, cependant, la métrique a régulièrement grimpé, dépassant récemment les 7 %. La dernière bougie bimensuelle place désormais la dominance à environ 7,6 %, l'amenant juste en face d'une ligne de tendance de résistance descendante qui avait plafonné une précédente tentative de cassure.

Il est intéressant de noter que ce mouvement s'est produit en même temps qu'une cassure au-dessus d'une ligne de tendance de résistance inclinée à la baisse dans l'Indice de Force Relative (RSI). Cette tendance a également été notée sur la plateforme de médias sociaux X par un analyste crypto du nom de RickUntZ.

Source : Graphique de RickUntZ sur X

Comme l'a noté l'analyste, la dernière cassure bimensuelle confirmée dans la tendance sur la dominance des altcoins. La dominance semble avoir formé un plus bas plus haut par rapport à la bande de support pluriannuelle sur le graphique, suivie d'une poussée vers le haut qui défie la résistance sus-jacente.

La zone horizontale autour de 7,5 % à 8 % a servi à la fois de support et de résistance à plusieurs reprises pendant des années. En termes de résistance, chaque reprise antérieure de cette région a précédé des périodes prolongées où les altcoins ont gagné du terrain face au Bitcoin.

Surveillez la résistance pour la confirmation

Malgré la structure qui s'améliore, la résistance mentionnée ci-dessus est toujours en jeu. Cette résistance est notable car la dominance des altcoins a été rejetée quelque part ici dans la seconde moitié de 2025. Cependant, selon l'analyste, la tendance sur 3 semaines est déjà très bonne.

Au moment de la rédaction, Bitcoin a une dominance de marché de 58,1 %. Une cassure décisive du Bitcoin pourrait faire diminuer l'OTHERS D un peu plus longtemps, mais l'attente est que les altcoins surperformeront toujours BTC malgré tout. Une fois ce niveau de dominance atteint, cela confirmerait sur tous les délais majeurs pour les prochains mois que la niche des altcoins devrait surperformer le Bitcoin.

Un tel mouvement s'alignerait avec la saison des altcoins où les altcoins à grande capitalisation tels qu'Ethereum, Solana et XRP afficheraient également des gains en pourcentage plus forts par rapport au Bitcoin.

Capitalisation boursière globale hors BTC à 957 milliards de dollars | Source : TOTAL2 sur Tradingview.com

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Related Questions

QQu'est-ce que l'indice OTHERS D mesure dans le marché des cryptomonnaies ?

AL'indice OTHERS D suit la capitalisation boursière du marché des cryptomonnaies, à l'exclusion des 10 principales cryptomonnaies, permettant ainsi de mesurer la performance des altcoins de plus petite capitalisation par rapport aux géants du marché comme le Bitcoin.

QQuel changement significatif l'analyse technique a-t-elle détecté récemment dans les flux de capitaux ?

AL'analyse technique a détecté une rotation des capitaux qui s'éloigne du Bitcoin et des cryptomonnaies à grande capitalisation au profit des altcoins en dehors du top 10, comme en témoigne la hausse régulière de l'indice de dominance OTHERS D.

QQuel niveau de résistance crucial l'indice de dominance des altcoins (OTHERS D) approche-t-il ?

AL'indice de dominance des altcoins approche la zone de résistance horizontale clé située entre 7,5 % et 8 %, une zone qui a historiquement servi à la fois de support et de résistance et dont la reconquête a souvent précédé des périodes de surperformance des altcoins.

QQuel indicateur technique, en plus du prix, a également montré un signe de rupture haussier ?

AL'Indice de Force Relative (RSI) a également rompu une ligne de résistance en pente descendante, confirmant le changement d'élan et le renforcement de la dynamique haussière pour les altcoins.

QQue se passerait-il si l'indice OTHERS D parvenait à franchir définitivement le niveau de résistance des 8 % ?

AUne rupture décisive au-dessus de la résistance des 8 % confirmerait la force des altcoins sur tous les horizons temporels majeurs et marquerait probablement le début d'une période prolongée, de plusieurs mois, pendant laquelle les altcoins surperformeraient le Bitcoin, potentiellement en alignement avec une 'saison des altcoins'.

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