Sự Tăng Lên Trong Tỷ Trọng Altcoin Cho Thấy Altcoin Sắp Vượt Trội Hơn Bitcoin Một Lần Nữa

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-02-19Last updated on 2026-02-19

Abstract

Dữ liệu kỹ thuật từ biểu đồ OTHERS D (theo dõi vốn hóa thị trường tiền điện tử ngoại trừ top 10) cho thấy dấu hiệu luồng vốn đang xoay chuyển khỏi Bitcoin và các tiền mã hóa vốn hóa lớn. Sau một thời gian dài Bitcoin chiếm ưu thế, sự thống trị của altcoin (từ mức dưới 5% đầu năm 2026) đã tăng ổn định lên ~7.6%, chạm ngưỡng kháng cự giảm dần quan trọng. Việc vượt qua ngưỡng kháng cự nằm trong khoảng 7.5% - 8% này, vốn đã từng là hỗ trợ và kháng cự trong nhiều năm, có thể xác nhận xu hướng altcoin bắt đầu hoạt động mạnh hơn Bitcoin trong vài tháng tới, báo hiệu một mùa altcoin tiềm năng nơi các tài sản như Ethereum, Solana và XRP có thể tăng trưởng mạnh. Tuy nhiên, sự phá vỡ dứt khoát của Bitcoin vẫn có thể trì hoãn đà tăng này trong ngắn hạn.

Biểu đồ OTHERS D, theo dõi vốn hóa thị trường tiền điện tử không bao gồm top 10 đồng tiền điện tử hàng đầu, đang cho thấy dấu hiệu của sự luân chuyển khỏi Bitcoin và các đồng tiền điện tử có vốn hóa lớn khác. Sau nhiều tháng Bitcoin duy trì sức mạnh tương đối, phân tích kỹ thuật mới ngụ ý rằng sự cân bằng có thể nghiêng về phía thị trường altcoin rất sớm.

Đột Phá Hai Tuần Báo Hiệu Sự Thay Đổi Đà Tăng

Phân tích kỹ thuật về vốn hóa thị trường tiền điện tử đang cho thấy một sự thay đổi đang phát triển trong dòng chảy vốn, đặc biệt là vào các altcoin nằm ngoài top 10 theo tổng giá trị thị trường. Các cái tên lớn như Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP và Solana đã vật lộn trong một giai đoạn suy yếu về giá, dẫn đến việc các đồng tiền điện tử vốn hóa nhỏ hơn âm thầm tăng trưởng tương đối. Sự luân chuyển tinh tế này chưa nhất thiết chuyển thành các đợt tăng giá bùng nổ, nhưng nó đã thể hiện rõ ràng trong các chỉ số tỷ trọng.

Sự thay đổi âm thầm trong tỷ trọng này được phản ánh trong chỉ số OTHERS D. Đầu năm 2026, tỷ trọng đang ở dưới mốc 5%. Tuy nhiên, kể từ đó, chỉ số này đã tăng lên đều đặn, gần đây đã vượt trên 7%. Nến hai tuần mới nhất hiện đặt tỷ trọng vào khoảng 7.6%, đưa nó tiến sát đường xu hướng kháng cự giảm dần đã chặn một nỗ lực đột phá trước đó.

Thú vị là, động thái này xảy ra đồng thời với việc phá vỡ trên đường xu hướng kháng cự dốc xuống trong Chỉ số Sức Mạnh Tương đối (RSI). Xu hướng này cũng được ghi nhận trên nền tảng truyền thông xã hội X bởi một nhà phân tích tiền điện tử có biệt danh RickUntZ.

Như nhà phân tích lưu ý, đợt đột phá xác nhận hai tuần gần đây nhất trong xu hướng về tỷ trọng altcoin. Tỷ trọng dường như đã hình thành một đáy cao hơn so với dải hỗ trợ nhiều năm trên biểu đồ, tiếp theo là một đợt đẩy lên trên thách thức kháng cự phía trên.

Vùng ngang quanh 7.5% đến 8% đã nhiều lần đóng vai trò là cả hỗ trợ và kháng cự trong nhiều năm. Về mặt kháng cự, mỗi lần chiếm lại khu vực này trước đây đều báo trước những giai đoạn kéo dài nơi altcoin giành được thế so với Bitcoin.

Theo Dõi Kháng Cự Để Xác Nhận

Bất chấp cấu trúc đang được cải thiện, mức kháng cự được đề cập ở trên vẫn còn hiệu lực. Mức kháng cự này đáng chú ý vì tỷ trọng altcoin đã bị từ chối ở đâu đó quanh đây vào nửa cuối năm 2025. Tuy nhiên, theo nhà phân tích, xu hướng 3 tuần đã trông thực sự tốt.

Tại thời điểm viết bài, Bitcoin có tỷ trọng thị trường là 58.1%. Một đợt đột phá dứt khoát của Bitcoin có thể khiến OTHERS D giảm xuống thêm một chút nữa, nhưng kỳ vọng là altcoin vẫn sẽ hoạt động vượt trội hơn BTC bất kể. Một khi mức tỷ trọng này bị chiếm, thì nó sẽ xác nhận trên tất cả các khung thời gian chính trong vài tháng tới khi phân khúc altcoin được kỳ vọng sẽ vượt trội hơn Bitcoin.

Một động thái như vậy sẽ phù hợp với mùa altcoin nơi các altcoin vốn hóa lớn như Ethereum, Solana và XRP cũng sẽ ghi nhận mức tăng phần trăm mạnh mẽ hơn so với Bitcoin.

Tổng vốn hóa thị trường không bao gồm BTC ở mức 957 tỷ USD | Nguồn: TOTAL2 trên Tradingview.com

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