Chiến lược dài hơi của XDC Network – Các nhà giao dịch có nên chuẩn bị cho một đợt điều chỉnh giảm sâu hơn?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-08Last updated on 2026-02-08

Abstract

Mạng lưới XDC (XDC) đã giảm 0,76% trong 24 giờ qua, nhưng vẫn tăng 6,13% so với tuần trước, thể hiện sức mạnh tương đối so với Bitcoin. Mặc dù số lượng người dùng hoạt động hàng ngày giảm mạnh 84% từ năm 2021, nhưng mạng lưới đã đạt được những cột mốc quan trọng, bao gồm nâng cấp hardfork vào tháng 1 và hợp tác với Liqi Digital Assets để phát hành 100 triệu USD tài sản thực (RWA) được token hóa. Áp lực bán có thể đang giảm dựa trên dữ liệu on-chain, nhưng đáy giá có thể còn vài tuần hoặc vài tháng nữa. Giá trị hiện tại của XDC là 0,037 USD, với khả năng kiểm tra vùng hỗ trợ 0,022 USD trong vài tuần tới.

Token XDC Network [XDC] đã mất 0,76% giá trị trong 24 giờ qua. Tuy nhiên, trên biểu đồ tuần, nó vẫn tăng 6,13%. Mức này so sánh thuận lợi hơn so với mức lỗ 12% mà Bitcoin [BTC] ghi nhận trong tuần qua, ám chỉ sức mạnh tiềm ẩn của XDC.

Dường như không có các chất xúc tác cụ thể nào rõ ràng cho đồng coin này. Trên thực tế, mạng lưới gần đây không có gì nổi bật. Một báo cáo gần đây của AMBCrypto thậm chí còn nhấn mạnh rằng mạng Lớp 1 này có thể là một trong những chuỗi có vốn hóa thị trường cao nhưng người dùng hoạt động thấp.

Với vốn hóa thị trường đáng kể là 706 triệu USD, người dùng hoạt động hàng ngày của chuỗi đã giảm 84% từ năm 2021 xuống chỉ còn 45k. Điều này báo hiệu nhu cầu thấp do tiện ích trên chuỗi.

Dữ liệu từ CryptoQuant cho thấy bong bóng khối lượng giao dịch spot đang trong giai đoạn hạ nhiệt, báo hiệu sự sụt giảm về khối lượng giao dịch. Điều này trái ngược với các điều kiện quá nóng thường đi kèm với các đỉnh thị trường. Tuy nhiên, điều này không có nghĩa là đáy của XDC có thể đã hình thành.

Ngoài ra, chênh lệch khối lượng tích lũy của người nhận spot (spot taker cumulative volume delta) đã chuyển sang trạng thái trung lập trong ba tuần qua, sau khi ở trong giai đoạn chi phối bởi người bán (taker-sell-dominant) kể từ tháng Mười. Đây có thể là một dấu hiệu khác cho thấy áp lực bán có thể đang giảm bớt.

Nâng cấp cơ sở hạ tầng và cột mốc phát hành RWA làm nổi bật sự tăng trưởng của XDC

Mặt khác, mạng lưới đã thông báo một đợt hardfork thành công vào ngày 30 tháng 1. Bản nâng cấp này củng cố cơ sở hạ tầng cốt lõi của XDC, vốn tập trung vào mã hóa tài sản trong thế giới thực (real-world asset tokenization).

Công ty fintech của Brazil, Liqi Digital Assets và XDC Network đã công bố quan hệ đối tác chiến lược vào tháng 4 năm 2025. Nhằm mục đích mang lại RWA, DeFi, thanh toán quốc tế và tài trợ thương mại, họ gần đây đã đạt được cột mốc 100 triệu USD tài sản RWA được mã hóa trên mạng XDC.

Vào năm 2026, họ nhắm mục tiêu 500 triệu USD trong các đợt phát hành, tiếp tục củng cố sự dễ dàng của mã hóa như một cách để quản lý nợ và tín dụng.

Quan hệ đối tác với VERT Capital của Brazil là một dấu hiệu cho thấy XDC Network tập trung vào tiện ích doanh nghiệp và tổ chức như thế nào và không phải là một chuỗi tập trung vào bán lẻ. Mục tiêu của thỏa thuận này là mã hóa 1 tỷ USD nợ và các khoản phải thu trên Mạng lưới XDC.

Về mặt giá, token XDC được định giá ở mức 0,037 USD. Xu hướng giảm hiện tại có khả năng sẽ thấy mức hỗ trợ 0,022 USD được kiểm tra trong vài tuần tới. Vùng cầu này đã được tôn trọng kể từ tháng 6 năm 2022.

Một lần kiểm tra lại mức 0,0227 USD có khả năng sẽ được theo sau bởi một giai đoạn củng cố nơi giá có thể hình thành một phạm vi giao dịch dưới mức 0,03 USD. Một khi một phạm vi như vậy được thiết lập, các nhà đầu tư dài hạn có thể xem xét mua và nắm giữ XDC một lần nữa.

Suy nghĩ cuối cùng

Nỗi sợ về một chuỗi ma (ghost chain) do số địa chỉ hoạt động hàng ngày đã được làm loãng bởi câu chuyện RWA mạnh mẽ đang được xây dựng xung quanh XDC Network.
Các số liệu on-chain tiết lộ rằng áp lực bán có thể đang giảm bớt, nhưng một đáy giá có thể còn vài tuần hoặc vài tháng nữa mới hình thành.

Has BTC's 'Digital Gold' Narrative Failed?

The article discusses Bitcoin's "digital gold" narrative, its recent price drop, and long-term outlook through the perspective of "Jason". It argues the narrative is not a failure but that Bitcoin represents a superior, new asset class due to its fixed supply (21 million), portability, and auditability. The piece compares its current ~3-4% global adoption rate to early internet/e-commerce, suggesting significant growth potential. Regarding the 2025-2026 price decline (from ~$126k to briefly under $61k), the author views it as a predictable, consensus-driven sell-off within Bitcoin's ~4-year cycle post-halving, exacerbated by a major "handover" from early, low-cost holders to new institutional buyers via ETFs. A key observation is that historical peak-to-trough drawdowns have lessened over time (e.g., 93% in 2011 to ~50% in 2026), indicating maturing volatility as holder structure changes. For the long term, the author uses a simple framework: Bitcoin's total market cap (~$1.4T at $70k) is only about 7% of gold's (~$20T). Even capturing 30-50% of gold's value would imply substantial upside. However, the article strongly cautions against viewing this as investment advice, emphasizing extreme volatility and the critical importance of risk management, position sizing, and deep fundamental understanding to survive severe drawdowns. It concludes by drawing a parallel to Amazon's 95% crash in 2000 and subsequent 42x recovery, stressing that the key is surviving market cycles to realize long-term potential.

链捕手3m ago

Has BTC's 'Digital Gold' Narrative Failed?

链捕手3m ago

From Code to Cognition: A Ten-Thousand-Word Guide to the Evolution of the Robot Brain

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marsbit33m ago

From Code to Cognition: A Ten-Thousand-Word Guide to the Evolution of the Robot Brain

marsbit33m ago

AI Bubble Is Bursting

The AI Bubble is Bursting: A Necessary Purge on the Path to Ubiquitous Intelligence Market volatility has reignited debates about an AI bubble, with figures like Ray Dalio pointing to high valuations. However, this parallels the dot-com bubble, which, despite its crash, laid the physical infrastructure for today's internet era. The current AI investment frenzy, with tech giants planning trillions in infrastructure spending far outstripping current AI application revenues, appears similarly imbalanced. This 'bubble' is seen as an inevitable phase for a disruptive technology, paying the "innovation tax." Critically, AI inference costs have plummeted over 99.7% since 2023, making intelligence nearly free at the margin. This hasn't reduced spending but has instead unlocked massive new demand, as seen in enterprise AI cloud expenditure tripling. This follows the Jevons Paradox: efficiency gains lead to greater total consumption. The market is now entering a cleansing phase, weeding out speculative ventures lacking real moats. The deeper shift is a move from capital expenditure (CapEx) on hardware to value creation in operational expenditure (OpEx) through AI applications that solve real industry problems. While infrastructure valuations are high, rapid earnings growth from widespread AI adoption across sectors—from manufacturing and finance to law and healthcare—may digest these valuations over time. Ultimately, this creative destruction will leave behind robust infrastructure and optimized models, cheaply powering an AI-augmented future for all industries, much as the internet became indispensable after its own bubble burst. The core productive potential remains undiminished.

链捕手42m ago

The AI Bubble is Bursting

The article argues that while a bubble in the AI sector is real and is currently showing signs of deflation, this is a typical, even necessary, phase for a transformative technology. It draws parallels to the dot-com bubble, where speculative excess was followed by the consolidation of internet infrastructure, enabling the digital age. Similarly, today's massive investments in AI infrastructure (data centers, power, cooling) far outpace current application-layer revenue, creating a valuation imbalance. However, the author contends this apparent bubble is not a sign of failure but of a transition. Key drivers include the plummeting cost of AI inference (over 99.7% in two years), which, per Jevons Paradox, has unleashed massive new demand as AI moves from simple tasks to complex agentic workflows across all industries. The market is now cleansing itself of shallow, speculative ventures, shifting value from capital expenditure (CapEx) on hardware to operational expenditure (OpEx) on transformative AI applications. The conclusion is that the underlying productive force of AI is undeniable. The current financial correction will eliminate weak players, leaving behind robust infrastructure and efficient models. This will ultimately fuel an "AI+" era where intelligence becomes as ubiquitous and essential as the internet, embedding itself into every sector of the economy.

marsbit43m ago

marsbit43m ago

The Next Bitcoin ETF Boom May Be Coming From Japan – Here’s Why

Despite recent outflows from US Spot Bitcoin ETFs, market attention is shifting to Japan as the potential next major market for such funds. This follows regulatory reforms in Japan that are moving cryptocurrency oversight to a financial instruments framework, potentially enabling Bitcoin ETF approval. Analysis suggests a Japanese spot Bitcoin ETF could attract significant inflows, ranging from ¥900 billion ($5.61 billion) in a conservative scenario to ¥3.1 trillion ($19.34 billion) in a bullish one. A base-case estimate of ¥1.4 trillion ($8.73 billion) would equate to demand for roughly 140,000 BTC. Beyond price impact, a Japanese ETF is seen as boosting Bitcoin's legitimacy and accessibility for investors and institutions. Bitcoin's price was around $61,038 at the time of writing, down 2.81% over 24 hours.

bitcoinist1h ago

The Next Bitcoin ETF Boom May Be Coming From Japan – Here’s Why

bitcoinist1h ago

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What is SONIC

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1.6k Total ViewsPublished 2024.04.04Updated 2024.12.03

What is $S$

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54 Total ViewsPublished 2024.12.17Updated 2024.12.17

What is AGENT S

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Its operational model is built around several key features: Human-like Computer Interaction: The framework offers advanced AI planning, striving to make interactions with computers more intuitive. By mimicking human behaviour in tasks execution, it promises to elevate user experiences. Narrative Memory: Employed to leverage high-level experiences, Agent S utilises narrative memory to keep track of task histories, thereby enhancing its decision-making processes. Episodic Memory: This feature provides users with step-by-step guidance, allowing the framework to offer contextual support as tasks unfold. Support for OpenACI: With the ability to run locally, Agent S allows users to maintain control over their interactions and workflows, aligning with the decentralised ethos of Web3. Easy Integration with External APIs: Its versatility and compatibility with various AI platforms ensure that Agent S can fit seamlessly into existing technological ecosystems, making it an appealing choice for developers and organisations. These functionalities collectively contribute to Agent S's unique position within the crypto space, as it automates complex, multi-step tasks with minimal human intervention. As the project evolves, its potential applications in Web3 could redefine how digital interactions unfold. Timeline of Agent S The development and milestones of Agent S can be encapsulated in a timeline that highlights its significant events: September 27, 2024: The concept of Agent S was launched in a comprehensive research paper titled “An Open Agentic Framework that Uses Computers Like a Human,” showcasing the groundwork for the project. October 10, 2024: The research paper was made publicly available on arXiv, offering an in-depth exploration of the framework and its performance evaluation based on the OSWorld benchmark. October 12, 2024: A video presentation was released, providing a visual insight into the capabilities and features of Agent S, further engaging potential users and investors. These markers in the timeline not only illustrate the progress of Agent S but also indicate its commitment to transparency and community engagement. Key Points About Agent S As the Agent S framework continues to evolve, several key attributes stand out, underscoring its innovative nature and potential: Innovative Framework: Designed to provide an intuitive use of computers akin to human interaction, Agent S brings a novel approach to task automation. Autonomous Interaction: The ability to interact autonomously with computers through GUI signifies a leap towards more intelligent and efficient computing solutions. Complex Task Automation: With its robust methodology, it can automate complex, multi-step tasks, making processes faster and less error-prone. Continuous Improvement: The learning mechanisms enable Agent S to improve from past experiences, continually enhancing its performance and efficacy. Versatility: Its adaptability across different operating environments like OSWorld and WindowsAgentArena ensures that it can serve a broad range of applications. As Agent S positions itself in the Web3 and crypto landscape, its potential to enhance interaction capabilities and automate processes signifies a significant advancement in AI technologies. Through its innovative framework, Agent S exemplifies the future of digital interactions, promising a more seamless and efficient experience for users across various industries. Conclusion Agent S represents a bold leap forward in the marriage of AI and Web3, with the capacity to redefine how we interact with technology. While still in its early stages, the possibilities for its application are vast and compelling. Through its comprehensive framework addressing critical challenges, Agent S aims to bring autonomous interactions to the forefront of the digital experience. As we move deeper into the realms of cryptocurrency and decentralisation, projects like Agent S will undoubtedly play a crucial role in shaping the future of technology and human-computer collaboration.

717 Total ViewsPublished 2025.01.14Updated 2025.01.14

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Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of S (S) are presented below.