巨鲸增持150万枚PENDLE：代币暴跌65%后是否即将逆转？

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-01-28Last updated on 2026-01-28

Abstract

加密货币PENDLE自2025年8月以来持续下跌65%后出现企稳迹象。近期一鲸鱼地址从币安提取150万枚PENDLE（约282万美元）并锁仓至2028年1月，显示长期看涨信心。同时PENDLE质押量一周内突破1100万枚，表明投资者惜售情绪浓厚。现价1.96美元，24小时上涨4.95%，交易量增长13%至4324万美元。技术分析显示若守住1.70美元支撑位，可能上涨22%至2.38美元；突破2.40阻力位后或进一步上看2.81美元。衍生品市场多头持仓量（50.35万美元）显著高于空头（27万美元），反映市场看涨预期强烈。

自2025年8月以来，Pendle [PENDLE] 在持续下跌中已贬值超过65%。如今下跌趋势终于暂停，该代币似乎正处在潜在逆转的边缘。

支持这一乐观前景的是，某加密巨鲸对PENDLE表现出强烈兴趣。

加密追踪平台Onchain Lens披露，一个新创建的巨鲸钱包地址"0xd28"从币安提取了150万枚PENDLE代币，价值约282万美元。

该巨鲸将代币转入时间锁合约并锁定至2028年1月20日，显示出对资产的长期坚定信心。

在加密领域，从交易所提币被视为看涨信号，因为这表明资产正从交易所储备转移至私人钱包进行长期持有。

PENDLE质押量持续上升

另一个强化乐观前景的看涨指标是过去一周PENDLE质押量的稳步增长。

链上分析平台Dune最新数据显示，PENDLE质押量持续增加，在一周内已突破1100万枚代币。

这表明PENDLE投资者选择锁定资产而非抛售，通常反映出对代币更强的信心，并有助于减轻抛压。

当前价格与交易量攀升

截至发稿，PENDLE交易价格为1.96美元，过去24小时内稳步上涨4.95%。市场参与度同步提升，交易量跃升13%至4324万美元。

伴随价格上涨的交易量增长表明，交易者对该资产当前趋势展现出强烈兴趣。

AMBCrypto技术分析显示，自2024年1月以来，PENDLE在周线图上始终在1.70美元至7美元的平行通道内运行。

在此期间，价格曾四次触及通道下轨，每次接触后均出现强势反弹。

在2024年3月、2024年8月和2025年3月，PENDLE在这些反弹后均录得超过200%的涨幅。

基于历史表现，PENDLE很可能再次重现这一模式。

在日线图上，若PENDLE能坚守1.70美元支撑位，则可能迎来约22%的涨幅，在未来几日触及2.38美元水平。

若看涨动能持续且PENDLE突破2.40美元阻力位，代币可能再涨17%，推向2.81美元目标位。

但若未能守住1.70美元支撑位，看涨论点将失效，PENDLE可能进一步跌向通道下轨。

截至发稿，衡量资金流入流出的资金流量指数（MFI）读数为51.23。

该数值表明当前买卖压力平衡，未出现明显的超买或超卖信号。

但由于价格仍低于50日指数移动平均线（EMA），短期情绪依然偏空。

交易者聚焦多头杠杆仓位

CoinGlass的衍生品数据进一步强化了看涨前景。最新数据显示，日内交易者在1.842美元下行位置与1.983美元上行位置密集布仓。

在这些价位，交易者建立了约50.35万美元的多头杠杆仓位和27万美元的空头杠杆仓位。

这种失衡表明交易者强烈看涨，并认为PENDLE短期内不太可能跌破1.842美元水平。

最终结论

随着价格显现逆转迹象，某加密巨鲸从币安累计购入150万枚PENDLE（价值282万美元）
价格走势与历史表现表明，若PENDLE能维持在1.70美元上方，有望实现22%的涨幅

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