Decentraland加入GameFi反弹行列，MANA能否涨至0.20美元取决于...

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-01-19Last updated on 2026-01-19

Abstract

Decentraland（MANA）在1月17日强势上涨，突破0.15美元的阻力位，跟随GameFi板块整体反弹，其中Axie Infinity（AXS）领涨。但近期比特币回调导致MANA价格下跌，过去24小时全网爆仓8.64亿美元。尽管可能存在流动性寻求导致的反弹机会，但链上数据显示，MANA的未平仓合约在过去几个小时下跌10%，休眠流通量在1月18日激增，表明旧币在链上被抛售。30天MVRV从1月13日的10.3%降至-4.7%，短期持有者面临亏损，平均币龄下降，反映出市场缺乏长期信心。现货交易量气泡图显示市场并未过热，交易所有净流出迹象，但需要持续观察。整体上，获利了结压力较大，虽有可能反弹至0.20或0.25美元，但投资者应保持理性，建议在0.17和0.19美元等阻力位附近获利了结。

Decentraland [MANA] 在1月17日周六实现强劲上涨。

过去十天里，0.15美元附近的局部阻力区持续受到挑战，但多头在周六成功突破该水平。

GameFi板块近日表现强劲，其中Axie Infinity [AXS] 领涨。虽然过去48小时涨势暂缓，但本周可能重拾动能。

比特币[BTC]在最近几小时交易中的回调拖累了MANA价格。过去24小时内，市场因此爆仓8.64亿美元。

若纯粹是流动性清洗，复苏概率将更高。这可能为MANA和部分山寨币创造良好反弹条件。

评估Decentraland多头的实力

Coinalyze数据显示，周末期间增长近50%的未平仓合约，在过去几小时下跌10%。

休眠流通量在1月18日周日出现显著飙升，伴随价格快速下跌。通常休眠流通量增加意味着链上旧币正在转移抛售。

此外，1月13日曾达10.3%的30日MVRV比率，撰稿时已降至-4.7%。这表明短期持有者再次面临亏损。

近一周平均币龄持续下降。缺乏积累、休眠代币频繁移动以及短期持有者获利了结，均表明市场缺乏长期信心。

现货交易量气泡图显示市场并未过热。此前2024年底和2021年牛市顶部曾出现过热状态，最终导致长期下跌趋势。

交易所净流量指标显示近两日MANA出现大幅流出。这虽是略微积极的信号，但投资者更希望看到未来数周持续流出。

总体而言，Decentraland链上指标显示获利了结压力显著。

虽可能反弹至0.20-0.25美元区间，但交易者和投资者应保持合理预期。

交易者尤其应关注在代币挑战0.17美元和0.19美元等邻近阻力位时及时获利了结。

核心观点

前日休眠流通量激增，结合周内平均币龄下降，表明MANA正处于派发阶段
现货交易量地图显示MANA未过热，虽存在上涨空间，但市场缺乏坚定的看涨信心

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3.9k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2026.06.02

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